TT-SEA Posted April 25, 2019 Report Share Posted April 25, 2019 ECMWF continues to look troughy early next week... but the result is beautiful weather here. Really cold to the east in Montana starting this weekend and beyond though. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 25, 2019 Report Share Posted April 25, 2019 Coolish and dry during a time of year where dry usually means big warm anomalies. Seems like the kind of spring pattern Jim has been hoping for. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 25, 2019 Report Share Posted April 25, 2019 Strange to see a ULL heading by us to the north late next week going from east to west and then turning to the NW (on the 12Z ECMWF) High latitude blocking is the cause. It also does not carry much moisture with it when it comes from the middle of the continent. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted April 25, 2019 Report Share Posted April 25, 2019 52 and filtered sunshine. A touch cooler than yesterday due to the high clouds but sun still feels nice. Cool north breeze here mitigating that warmth a bit however as well. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted April 25, 2019 Report Share Posted April 25, 2019 61 and very comfortable with lightly filtered sunshine. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted April 25, 2019 Report Share Posted April 25, 2019 Really astonishing how dry the models are. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted April 25, 2019 Report Share Posted April 25, 2019 ECMWF continues to look troughy early next week... but the result is beautiful weather here. Really cold to the east in Montana starting this weekend and beyond though. Nice and sunny! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted April 25, 2019 Report Share Posted April 25, 2019 Really astonishing how dry the models are. You called it. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted April 25, 2019 Report Share Posted April 25, 2019 Really astonishing how dry the models are. Hopefully this doesn’t end up being the beginning of another dry summer starting in late April again. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted April 25, 2019 Report Share Posted April 25, 2019 You called it. I did. Kudos to me. I do think we have a shot at a wet back half of May though. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted April 25, 2019 Report Share Posted April 25, 2019 Blast furnace will be in the cards any day now... Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 25, 2019 Report Share Posted April 25, 2019 Hopefully this doesn’t end up being the beginning of another dry summer starting in late April again. Interesting... have not heard that opinion here. Most people in western WA worry about summer being too long. Its like 80% of the year here in southern California. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 25, 2019 Report Share Posted April 25, 2019 I did. Kudos to me. I do think we have a shot at a wet back half of May though. Maybe even a wet middle of May. EPS keeps hinting at a more consolidate jet in the long range. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted April 25, 2019 Report Share Posted April 25, 2019 I for one am quite happy that things are looking to dry out a bit...Will give me a chance to get my major drainage project done without completely nuking my yard. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 25, 2019 Report Share Posted April 25, 2019 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 25, 2019 Report Share Posted April 25, 2019 You called it. As Dewey says... dry periods tend to follow wet periods and vice versa. It rained on 21 out of the first 24 days of April here... which is unusually persistently wet even here. A drier period was almost inevitable. And the past 6 months have been very streaky in that regard... this shows no signs of changing. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 25, 2019 Report Share Posted April 25, 2019 I for one am quite happy that things are looking to dry out a bit...Will give me a chance to get my major drainage project done without completely nuking my yard.Wow, crazy stuff. I thought for sure you’d be sad about it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted April 25, 2019 Report Share Posted April 25, 2019 I did. Kudos to me. I do think we have a shot at a wet back half of May though. Please refrain from using alt-right slurs here, thanks. 2 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted April 25, 2019 Report Share Posted April 25, 2019 Wow, crazy stuff. I thought for sure you’d be sad about it. As it turns out, the opinions around here tend to be quite stable, persistent, and predictable. Unlike the weather!!! Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted April 25, 2019 Report Share Posted April 25, 2019 Interesting... have not heard that opinion here. Most people in western WA worry about summer being too long. Its like 80% of the year here in southern California. I love warm summer days but I’d like there to be average rainfall this summer. Just a couple of rainy days is all I’m hoping for. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 25, 2019 Report Share Posted April 25, 2019 I love warm summer days but I’d like there to be average rainfall this summer. Just a couple of rainy days is all I’m hoping for. Me too! We agree. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 25, 2019 Report Share Posted April 25, 2019 As Dewey says... dry periods tend to follow wet periods and vice versa. It rained on 21 out of the first 24 days of April here... which is unusually persistently wet even here. A drier period was almost inevitable. And the past 6 months have been very streaky in that regard... this shows no signs of changing.Dewey’s snarky oversimplifications sort of break down during stretches like the last year and a half or so, though. For the Portland area starting in 2018: Average January, dry February, dry March, near average April, record dry May, dry June, dry July, dry August, near average September, near average October, dry November, near average December, dry January, wet February, very dry March, near average April, record dry May. Sometimes dry spells give way to more dry spells. And it can last for much longer than a seasonal cycle. Might even out for the long term but that doesn’t matter for areas in the midst of gripping drought, the frequency of which will only increase with climate change. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted April 25, 2019 Report Share Posted April 25, 2019 I love warm summer days but I’d like there to be average rainfall this summer. Just a couple of rainy days is all I’m hoping for. Long term climo says SEA should get 5 rainy (.10"+) days in May, 4 in June, 2 in July, 3 in August, and 5 in September. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted April 25, 2019 Report Share Posted April 25, 2019 Dewey’s snarky oversimplifications sort of break down during stretches like the last year and a half or so, though. For the Portland area starting in 2018: Average January, dry February, dry March, near average April, record dry May, dry June, dry July, dry August, near average September, near average October, dry November, near average December, dry January, wet February, very dry March, near average April, record dry May. Sometimes dry spells give way to more dry spells. And it can last for much longer than a seasonal cycle. Might even out for the long term but that doesn’t matter for areas in the midst of gripping drought, the frequency of which will only increase with climate change. Debatable. Just ask Phil. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 25, 2019 Report Share Posted April 25, 2019 Debatable. Just ask Phil.Well the proof is in the pudding this decade so far. Rainier cool seasons but persistent warm season drought. I guess we’ll see if that changes at all moving forward. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 25, 2019 Report Share Posted April 25, 2019 Dewey’s snarky oversimplifications sort of break down during stretches like the last year and a half or so, though. For the Portland area starting in 2018: Average January, dry February, dry March, near average April, record dry May, dry June, dry July, dry August, near average September, near average October, dry November, near average December, dry January, wet February, very dry March, near average April, record dry May. Sometimes dry spells give way to more dry spells. And it can last for much longer than a seasonal cycle. Might even out for the long term but that doesn’t matter for areas in the midst of gripping drought, the frequency of which will only increase with climate change. Where is this gripping drought now? You need to update your fear mongering tactics. We have seen MASSIVE improvements across most of the western US in the last 6 months. And hard-hit Oregon ended up being the epicenter for rain and snow recently. I guess it shows abnormally dry up here because January - March were dry. Its not dry now... that is for sure. And yellow is not drought on this map. I am sure there will always be some yellow on this map somewhere. There is almost no actual drought anywhere across the western US now. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 25, 2019 Report Share Posted April 25, 2019 Kind of hazy sunshine today, and a little too warm. Yesterday was prettier, a visually stunning day. I’ll be happy when a cooler airmass moves back in the next few days. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted April 25, 2019 Report Share Posted April 25, 2019 Tim's post was accurate. The drought situation in the West is actually the best it's been in a long time, at least currently. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted April 25, 2019 Report Share Posted April 25, 2019 Please refrain from using alt-right slurs here, thanks. Typical liberal seeing racism in everything. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 25, 2019 Report Share Posted April 25, 2019 Tim's post was accurate. The drought situation in the West is actually the best it's been in a long time, at least currently. Jesse is seemingly so consumed with crippling drought that he missed the part where the drought all but disappeared. There are like 5 or 6 counties in the entire western US that are technically still in drought. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 25, 2019 Report Share Posted April 25, 2019 Jesse is seemingly so consumed with crippling drought that he missed the part where the drought all but disappeared. There are like 5 or 6 counties in the entire western US that are technically still in drought.The crippling drought comment was there for your benefit. It’s just fun to trigger you sometimes. Kind of like shooting fish in a barrel I guess. If this summer ends up dry that drought will indeed come roaring back, though. And the ten day Euro has me thinking that’s what will happen. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted April 25, 2019 Report Share Posted April 25, 2019 Jesse is seemingly so consumed with crippling drought that he missed the part where the drought all but disappeared. There are like 5 or 6 counties in the entire western US that are technically still in drought. Yeah I'm not worried about Drought. And from mid-June to Mid-September it almost never rains here. But I would like at least average rain through mid-June to help us not have another bad fire season. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 25, 2019 Report Share Posted April 25, 2019 Yeah I'm not worried about Drought. And from mid-June to Mid-September it almost never rains here. But I would like at least average rain through mid-June to help us not have another bad fire season. Me too! We agree. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 25, 2019 Report Share Posted April 25, 2019 Yeah I'm not worried about Drought. And from mid-June to Mid-September it almost never rains here. But I would like at least average rain through mid-June to help us not have another bad fire season.Pretty much where I’m at. Would also be nice to have less in the way of persistent sun/heat this summer since I think that is playing as large a role in the ongoing tree dieoff as drought is (although the two are possibly linked). Not gonna hold my breath for now, though. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 25, 2019 Report Share Posted April 25, 2019 It’s just fun to trigger you sometimes. Kind of like shooting fish in a barrel I guess. If this summer ends up dry that drought will indeed come roaring back, though. And the ten day Euro has me thinking that’s what will happen. So if it turns really dry then it will be really dry? Interesting theory. Pretty radical idea. Your delay and response was Phil-like... if you are wrong then just say you were trolling and never meant it. You were on a roll with that post... about how its always dry and nothing will ever be the same again. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 25, 2019 Report Share Posted April 25, 2019 So if it turns really dry then it will be really dry? Interesting theory. Pretty radical idea. Well as you can see from your drought maps much of Washington and northern Oregon is still on the knife’s edge. Would take less than usual to push them back into drought category this warm season. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 25, 2019 Report Share Posted April 25, 2019 Well as you can see from your drought maps much of Washington and northern Oregon is still on the knife’s edge. Would take less than usual to push them back into drought category this warm season. Its unbelievable here... I have given up trying to keep everything watered. So scared. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted April 25, 2019 Report Share Posted April 25, 2019 Pretty much where I’m at. Would also be nice to have less in the way of persistent sun/heat this summer since I think that is playing as large a role in the ongoing tree dieoff as drought is (although the two are possibly linked). Not gonna hold my breath for now, though. Yeah big tree die offs especially in the lower foothills. My dad has a couple acres of Douglas Firs on the valley floor. Just driving by his place the other day it looked like some of them weren't doing so well. More firewood for me I guess. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted April 25, 2019 Author Report Share Posted April 25, 2019 18z GFS looks very Tim-friendly with a ridge starting to form at about 7 days. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted April 26, 2019 Report Share Posted April 26, 2019 Unusually quiet here tonight. Weather must have become boring or it's really nice and people are out enjoying the long evenings. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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