Hawkeye Posted May 24, 2019 Report Share Posted May 24, 2019 I just checked the HRRR and its runs have been very poor all night and continue to be poor. It has had no grasp at all on this big line moving through. So, if I am at work and a severe storm comes through... for my location, should I tell them my coordinates, my address, or what? For reporting, just tell them where you are. It's easy for me because I'm 2 miles due west of downtown CR. 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iowawx Posted May 24, 2019 Report Share Posted May 24, 2019 Line is closing in on Cedar Rapids. Kind of surprised there is no warning on it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted May 24, 2019 Report Share Posted May 24, 2019 Rumbling thunder and constant rain up here. Nothing severe though. Really enjoying the sound of that thunder! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted May 24, 2019 Report Share Posted May 24, 2019 Torrential rain with some good rumbles... although the wind isn't a big deal. It's not going to last too long. 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted May 24, 2019 Report Share Posted May 24, 2019 Looks like the line is losing it's severe threat, which is fine. But it's going to result in some serious rainfall totals, it appears. I agree with the poor performance of the HRRR. It totally whiffed on the rain we got early this morning and doesn't appear to have a great grasp on the current line. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iowawx Posted May 24, 2019 Report Share Posted May 24, 2019 My rain gauge blew over as the storm moved in. Had some guests around 30-35mph. Not sure how much rain has fallen, but probably at least 0.5" if not more. That would bring my total so far to at least 1.53" 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iowawx Posted May 24, 2019 Report Share Posted May 24, 2019 The Cedar River in Cedar Rapids is forecast to rise to 13.3 feet on Tuesday. My guess is that it could be higher and crest again higher than that with heavy rain expected into next week. Indications are that at least early June looks wet around here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted May 24, 2019 Report Share Posted May 24, 2019 Sun is coming out now Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted May 24, 2019 Report Share Posted May 24, 2019 This is something else. What a roller coaster. Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted May 24, 2019 Author Report Share Posted May 24, 2019 CFSv2 trending towards the idea of a dominant NW Flow pattern heading into June. June Gloom??? The last 10 runs show a clear trend to park a trough right over the GL's/MW. Pattern suppression is definitely in the cards back home. Cooling Degree Demand will be quite low next month and I'm sure many will be saving on their electric bills this summer. Always a silver lining...right??? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iowawx Posted May 24, 2019 Report Share Posted May 24, 2019 CFSv2 trending towards the idea of a dominant NW Flow pattern heading into June. June Gloom??? The last 10 runs show a clear trend to park a trough right over the GL's/MW. Pattern suppression is definitely in the cards back home. Cooling Degree Demand will be quite low next month and I'm sure many will be saving on their electric bills this summer. Always a silver lining...right??? Tom, does that signal a continued wet pattern for Iowa? Models do look active in the extended, into early June. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted May 24, 2019 Report Share Posted May 24, 2019 My rain total today is 1.59". I received 0.80" overnight and 0.79" this morning. My garden needs warm and dry. It seems like that combo will be rare this spring/summer. 2 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted May 24, 2019 Report Share Posted May 24, 2019 Can't check my rain gauge, obviously, but I'm very interest to see how much rain fell. Had to be at least an additional half an inch, at least. Guessing upwards of 0.75", but I will have to wait to see on that one. That said, I'll be over an inch of rain since ~2:30 this morning, which is more than I expected. Wonder if we'll add any more tonight. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted May 24, 2019 Report Share Posted May 24, 2019 Hopefully this cool/wet pattern doesnt mean a warm/dry winter. This type of pattern cant last forever. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted May 24, 2019 Author Report Share Posted May 24, 2019 Tom, does that signal a continued wet pattern for Iowa? Models do look active in the extended, into early June.My best judgement ATM is from IA/IL on north will see drier conditions heading into June. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted May 24, 2019 Report Share Posted May 24, 2019 Watching another possible tornado moving toward my family in IL. Coupling looks south but the warning is knocking on their door. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted May 24, 2019 Report Share Posted May 24, 2019 Well, it looked like it was getting dryer..... Nope. Not this time. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted May 24, 2019 Report Share Posted May 24, 2019 Watching another possible tornado moving toward my family in IL. Coupling looks south but the warning is knocking on their door.Looks like a tornado has been observed with this now 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iowawx Posted May 24, 2019 Report Share Posted May 24, 2019 Based on radar estimates, I am going with 1.75" for my total so far today. I will put rain gauge back up so it can record the rainfall from storms later today and tonight. The sun is out here, but some clouds are still hanging around. Temperature has warmed up to 68. If we can keep warming up and continue with the sunshine for the afternoon, then we should be able to get some storms developing around here later this afternoon. SPC still has us in slight risk. My rainfall total for the month of May so far is 6.12" Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted May 24, 2019 Report Share Posted May 24, 2019 Sun is fully shining now. Temp has jumped about 10 degrees over the past 2 hours. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted May 24, 2019 Report Share Posted May 24, 2019 Another 0.67" from this morning's round. That makes 2.18" total from last night and this morning. Basement is wet for the 2nd time this spring. Fields and ditches have some standing water now too. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iowawx Posted May 24, 2019 Report Share Posted May 24, 2019 We have warmed up to 75 and the dew point is now 68. It feels humid outside. Looks like we do have some instability for storms to form here later today. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted May 24, 2019 Report Share Posted May 24, 2019 NW IL/SW WI and NE IA under the gun this aft Def threat for tornadoes 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BMT Posted May 24, 2019 Report Share Posted May 24, 2019 https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0772.html 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted May 24, 2019 Report Share Posted May 24, 2019 We have warmed up to 75 and the dew point is now 68. It feels humid outside. Looks like we do have some instability for storms to form here later today. I am not very knowledgeable on the severe side of things, but I can definitely confirm that it feels quite humid outside. I'm guessing this won't hurt our chances of storms 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted May 24, 2019 Report Share Posted May 24, 2019 https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0772.html Fingers crossed that I get my first severe storm of the year! ... but I will pass on the tornado part of it. Luckily, I'm in an area that is basically impossible to have one. Hoping it's not an issue for anyone, though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iowawx Posted May 24, 2019 Report Share Posted May 24, 2019 I don't want a tornado but it would be nice to see a shelf cloud or just a nice looking supercell. SPC has 60% chance of watch for Eastern Iowa. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted May 24, 2019 Report Share Posted May 24, 2019 I don't want a tornado but it would be nice to see a shelf cloud or just a nice looking supercell. SPC has 60% chance of watch for Eastern Iowa. True. I am realllly craving a nice storm. Like, at least a "strong" storm. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iowawx Posted May 24, 2019 Report Share Posted May 24, 2019 Based on conditions, would SPC be more likely to issue a severe thunderstorm or tornado watch for Iowa? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted May 24, 2019 Report Share Posted May 24, 2019 Something is trying to pop sw of Cedar Rapids. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted May 24, 2019 Report Share Posted May 24, 2019 Something is trying to pop sw of Cedar Rapids. That could be the beginning of things. I guess I should mention that the last round of storms this morning only dropped 0.40" of rain here. The storms weren't even strong enough to cause a wind shift to the west, but there were nice cracks of thunder. My total was 1.18". Right now It's around 80° with a dew of 71° or so. Plenty of low level instability I would think. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted May 24, 2019 Report Share Posted May 24, 2019 First 70 dew of the year. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted May 24, 2019 Report Share Posted May 24, 2019 Here's one time that we had a "high risk ". Maybe the last time for my area? 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted May 24, 2019 Report Share Posted May 24, 2019 The cells are struggling to do anything so far. We may have to wait until the LLJ kicks in a bit. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted May 24, 2019 Report Share Posted May 24, 2019 A nice surfaced based low hanging updraft or wall cloud just to my west. Cracks of thunder. My phone just alerted me to a tornado warning! None that I see yet Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted May 24, 2019 Report Share Posted May 24, 2019 Definitely a supercell! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted May 24, 2019 Report Share Posted May 24, 2019 TW storm heading right towards Iowa City with a nice hook developing Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted May 24, 2019 Report Share Posted May 24, 2019 KGAN has a strong tornado live on air track northeast toward the Iowa City area. 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryan1117 Posted May 24, 2019 Report Share Posted May 24, 2019 Live webcam from the University of Iowa campus showing the tornado in clear view in the distance!!! This could be a nightmare situation for Iowa City... http://webcam.iowa.uiowa.edu/live/view.htm Prayers for everyone in this storm's path. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted May 24, 2019 Report Share Posted May 24, 2019 It seems to have lifted somewhat for now, although the wall cloud is rotating rapidly. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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