May 2019 Observations and Discussion

[jcwxguy]

Lincoln and Omaha got hit pretty good this morning. I expected to see some posts from our members over there.

had some hail and wind here, also knocked out power for several hours

[Minny_Weather]

If there are severe storms North of the state line (not including the Falls City area), I will personally deliver the SPC a box of donuts. Right now though, I am not agreeing with their forecast.

 

The sun is out. That's a good thing. Cloud forecasts have been pretty bad the past few weeks so it is very well possible we could see quite a bit of sun today.

[jcwxguy]

Also several inches of hail

[St Paul Storm]

I’d be interested be know when the last time a confirmed tornado crossed the path of a previous tornado like last night near Dayton. That’s some wicked stuff, and unfortunate luck right there.

[St Paul Storm]

15.6” of precip at MSP since Jan 1. Third wettest start on record, and only 0.2” from the record. We need to dry out a bit for sure.

[Niko]

Cloudy and coolish w temps in the 60s currently. A stalled front to my south will provide rain for my area ova the next 2 days. Chilly weather arrives thereafter w 40s for lows and by that time, we will be in June and highs expected in the 60s w sunshine.

[Niko]

Also several inches of hail

Wow..that must look like snow out there

[Andie]

15.6” of precip at MSP since Jan 1. Third wettest start on record, and only 0.2” from the record. We need to dry out a bit for sure.

Amazing wet year.

 

Would you please post this in the 2019 rainfall thread?

 

I'm trying to document members rainfall for the year. We may be amazed by Dec. 31st.

[Niko]

All the morning convection is not going to help the front lift north today.

Its definitely staying south of my area. Rain for the next 2 days, but brief periods of rainfree moments.

[Hawkeye]

There's some heavy rain moving into the Iowa City area.  Here in Cedar Rapids it's just general light to moderate rain.  Tonight's radar will probably look pretty similar, with storms along and south of I-80 and a general blob of rain extending northward in the CR area.

[jcwxguy]

https://www.ketv.com/article/hail-clogs-streets-in-southwest-omaha-and-elsewhere-in-the-metro/27607924

[westMJim]

As of today here is the break down of 80° days at several official locations around the area. Grand Rapids 0 (the warmest so far is just 78) Holland 1 day (80 on May 28^th) Lansing 1 day 81 on May 25^th Kalamazoo 2 days (82 on May 18^th and 81 on May 25^th ) Muskegon 3 days (80 April 22^nd 81 May 22^nd and 80 May 18^th) Grand Haven 0 days, Freemont 0 days Big Rapids 0 days.  Other areas around Michigan Saginaw 0, Flint 1, Detroit 2, Alpena 1, Houghton Lake 0, Sault Ste Marie 0, Cadillac 0, Traverse City 1.  So while several locations have had one or 2 days in the lower 80’s so far this year several others are still waiting for their first one. BTW the average first 80 day at Grand Rapids is April 30^th the latest date is June 12^th 1924. This year will be the latest since 1983 when it did not officially reach 80 at Grand Rapids until June 9^th

[Stormy]

Just a garden variety thunder shower here. At the last second it increased a bit here when I thought it would miss to the north. At least it had enough umph to shift the wind out of nw. to 30+ mph. Rain rate not even quite as high as the small cells on Saturday evening. Got another 0.41” so far.

[St Paul Storm]

Amazing wet year.

Would you please post this in the 2019 rainfall thread?

I'm trying to document members rainfall for the year. We may be amazed by Dec. 31st.

Yep, I’ll post it there now.

[Stormy]

https://www.ketv.com/article/hail-clogs-streets-in-southwest-omaha-and-elsewhere-in-the-metro/27607924

That would be nuts! How do the trees look?

[Stormhunter87]

That would be nuts! How do the trees look?

Apparently in North and west Omaha they are shredded. Some are bare.

[james1976]

The cloudy cool and light rain this morning definitely won't help at getting any decent storms going later.

[james1976]

Happy Birthday Tom. Enjoy that nature!

[Stormy]

You can kind of tell where the outflow & or stationary front are in northern Mo. in this satellite loop. I don’t think that front will be moving much further north, but what do I know. Probably that Ks convection is what will be streaming into Ia later today.

https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/sector_band.php?sat=G16&sector=umv&band=GEOCOLOR&length=24

[Minny_Weather]

Not surprised in the least to see a flattened MDT zone in SPC's latest update.

 

We're not getting severe weather today.

[Stormy]

SPC has shifted the moderate risk further south now as expected.

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0851.html

[jaster220]

 

I hope everyone is having the best possible Memorial day weekend. It is now party cloudy with a temperature of 65. We went up to Bay City yesterday and boy is it wet up there. A lot of standing water and the rivers are high in their banks.

 

 

Spoke with my sister, and her farm in Bridgeport was flooded bad. They were under a Flood Warning along the Cass river for several days. Thankfully, this has not happened down in Marshall since I dealt with an inundated basement twice last year. 

[Stormy]

Yep, as soon as the sun starts shining, low stratus form. At least the strong east wind behind the MCS suddenly subsided.

Rainfall = 0.69” so far today.

[East Dubzz]

Obviously very limited severe threat tonight, but the chances of a good rainfall are still looking decent, I suppose. GFS is the furthest north of the 3 models I've looked at (GFS, NAM,  & HRRR), but even the NAM & HRRR have a half inch of rain falling. 

[Hawkeye]

I picked up about 0.33" this morning.

[Niko]

Currently at 73F under mostly cloudy skies. Must say its a tad humid.

[Niko]

Spoke with my sister, and her farm in Bridgeport was flooded bad. They were under a Flood Warning along the Cass river for several days. Thankfully, this has not happened down in Marshall since I dealt with an inundated basement twice last year. 

That must have sucked big time. Have a friend who had the same issue...UGH! Good luck amigo w that basement of yours.

[Niko]

SPC has shifted the moderate risk further south now as expected.

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0851.html

Little bit more north and I will be included in the "Marginal" color....WoooHooo!

[Stormy]

Obviously very limited severe threat tonight, but the chances of a good rainfall are still looking decent, I suppose. GFS is the furthest north of the 3 models I've looked at (GFS, NAM,  & HRRR), but even the NAM & HRRR have a half inch of rain falling.

 

Yes many of the models still are quite robust on rainfall amounts.

[Iowawx]

Radar looks pretty good for us here in Cedar Rapids.

[Hawkeye]

This batch of rain moving in may be all we get tonight.  All the heavy convection down in Missouri should intercept much of the moisture.

[East Dubzz]

This batch of rain moving in may be all we get tonight.  All the heavy convection down in Missouri should intercept much of the moisture.

 

Not that I'd trust this model too much, but the HRRR is showing more development later. 

[james1976]

Just boring rain up here. Doesn't look to last too long.

[Stormy]

Doesn’t look very impressive for my area. Looks much better for Jefferson and Van Buren counties.

[East Dubzz]

Looks pretty good for CR. I am very much riding the border right now on the northern edge. Can't tell if I'm going to get much rain or not.

[Iowawx]

There was just a very loud burst of thunder here. Big white flash all over the sky. The boom was so loud, it shook my house. 

[Hawkeye]

Yeah, there are a few nice cracks in this line.

[Stormy]

Really getting screwed here with the only gap headed for me. If wet and rainy it would just as well be a thunderstorm.

[Stormy]

Pouring pretty good after all with decent lightning on the north edge of a cell.

[Minny_Weather]

Looks like we'll get some storms with a second wave developing around the triple point in NC KS and moving Northeast towards here. I expect marginally severe at best, though I do think flash flooding will be a concern. Seriously questioning OAX's judgment for not including the entire Southern half of the CWA in a flash flood watch. The ground here can't take any more rain.