ShawniganLake Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 Agreed. The only way to go!That looks pretty new. I have the BR 700 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 Backpack blower is the only way to go.Surprised those aren’t banned up there. I think they are in the city of Portland. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 That looks pretty new. I have the BR 700It’s about 5yrs old now. We had the 700’s at my previous job, they are fantastic but I wanted something lighter for home use since my back/neck are toast from 20+yrs of manual labor...And not being smart about it in my 20’s. Anyway this little guy does the job okay. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 Things are looking really interesting going forward. As I've mentioned many times the pattern has to get shaken up by the current MJO wave The analogs to the GFS solutions are quite awesome.Unfortunately the GFS looks like an outlier. The Euro and its ensembles, the Canadian and especially its ensembles pretty much continue the theme of high pressure over us for the next few weeks. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 Agreed. The only way to go!https://www.rd.com/home/gardening/leaf-blower/ 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 https://www.rd.com/home/gardening/leaf-blower/Oh good god. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 Oh good god.I agree. We had a bunch of leaves last year that were left beneath the snow just before the first real snow of the season. 4 months later, after the snow melted, they were still there, not having composted at all. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 Unfortunately the GFS looks like an outlier. The Euro and its ensembles, the Canadian and especially its ensembles pretty much continue the theme of high pressure over us for the next few weeks.I'm seeing that too the 00z CMCE is milder than the GFS.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 00Z ECMWF is way drier than the 12Z run... no AR event even for Oregon. More split flow on this run. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 Surprised those aren’t banned up there. I think they are in the city of Portland.There has been mumblings about banning them in parts of Victoria. People always find something to whine about. My backpack blower operates at 75 decibels. A little more than a vacuum cleaner and a little less than a lawn mower. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 https://www.rd.com/home/gardening/leaf-blower/What a bunch of ******* cry babies. NOPE! 6z GFS in 2 hours 44 minutes12z ECMWF in 11 hours 1 minute 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 00Z ECMWF is way drier than the 12Z run... no AR event even for Oregon. More split flow on this run.7 Day Rainfall Totals Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 I agree. We had a bunch of leaves last year that were left beneath the snow just before the first real snow of the season. 4 months later, after the snow melted, they were still there, not having composted at all.Yeah and over here if you leave the leaves on the grass for any period of time it creates diseases and death to the grass blades. Not to mention roof/gutter damage, a mucky awful driveway...yeah that would not work for me. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 Unfortunately the GFS looks like an outlier. The Euro and its ensembles, the Canadian and especially its ensembles pretty much continue the theme of high pressure over us for the next few weeks.Maybe the Euro is coming around to the GFS idea. Hope so. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 Just a thought about the temperature maps. Looking at day 9 on the Euro, for example, it shows at 4PM, which would be close to the high for the day, temps in the mid 40s for Bellinghm, upper 40s for Seattle, mid 30s for my area, and 50 for Portland. That seems to be at or below normal. Definitely below normal for Bellingham and for my area. BUT the map says it is 11 degrees above normal for Seattle, implying that it is normally about 38 for a high on November 22nd. 3 degrees above normal for Wenatchee, meaning the normal high for Nov. 22nd is 32. And 6 degrees above normal for Bellingham, meaning that their normal high is 38 or 39. All are obviously false, so where in the hell do they get their anomaly maps? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 Surprised those aren’t banned up there. I think they are in the city of Portland.merica 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 Just a thought about the temperature maps. Looking at day 9 on the Euro, for example, it shows at 4PM, which would be close to the high for the day, temps in the mid 40s for Bellinghm, upper 40s for Seattle, mid 30s for my area, and 50 for Portland. That seems to be at or below normal. Definitely below normal for Bellingham and for my area. BUT the map says it is 11 degrees above normal for Seattle, implying that it is normally about 38 for a high on November 22nd. 3 degrees above normal for Wenatchee, meaning the normal high for Nov. 22nd is 32. And 6 degrees above normal for Bellingham, meaning that their normal high is 38 or 39. All are obviously false, so where in the hell do they get their anomaly maps?There is a 6-hour max temp map on WB. And it usually runs 3-4 degrees too cool. Using your example... here are the high temps on day 9 on WB: Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 There has been mumblings about banning them in parts of Victoria. People always find something to whine about. My backpack blower operates at 75 decibels. A little more than a vacuum cleaner and a little less than a lawn mower.I hate the D**n things. But that is just my opinion. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 Let's take a look back. Last week some models/runs and even ensembles were suggesting a *possible* pattern change around November 9th. The EPS said NOPE! Fast forward to a few days ago and the possible pattern change was pushed back to the 16th. Other than 1 or 2 times the EURO/EPS said NOPE! Now we're at November 14th and yet again the GFS/GEF/GEM/CMCE are showing some wet weather with a pattern change around November 23rd-24th pushed back again. EURO/EPS says NOPE! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 There is a 6-hour max temp map on WB. And it usually runs 3-4 degrees too cool. Using your example... here are the high temps on day 9 on WB: And the same hour on pivotal. Different temps for sure. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 00z ECMWF Day 10 shows some flattening of the ridge, but that's so far out. EPS probably won't. A hunch. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 00z ECMWF Day 10 shows some flattening of the ridge, but that's so far out. EPS probably won't. A hunch. Kinda splitty Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 I hate the d**n things. But that is just my opinion.Why? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 Agreed. The only way to go!Ditch that wimpy Stihl, dude. Echo 8010 or Redmax 8500 are the big kahunas. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 https://www.rd.com/home/gardening/leaf-blower/Dumbest article I’ve ever read. Blowers are a way of life for those of us surrounded by old 150ft hardwoods that drop leaves, acorns, and nuts year round. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 I hate the d**n things. But that is just my opinion.I guarantee you’d buy one if you lived here. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 I like the way the Euro looks to be trending at hour 240. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 Kinda splittyand kinda shitty 6z GFS in 1 hour 23 minutes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 Loud things scare me and I HATE them and they should be OUTLAWED. - my dogs Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 00Z ECMWF is way drier than the 12Z run... no AR event even for Oregon. More split flow on this run.Hmm. Models underestimating the persistence of this split flow pattern. Not too surprised Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 Didn’t realize this place was a leaf blower fan club. Good lord. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 14, 2019 Author Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 Didn’t realize this place was a leaf blower fan club. Good lord.No need to buy one here. I like raking. I can only do it when other people are here so it’s been really nice to have dry weather to make it easier, even though we need the rain. 2 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 00z CMCE Analog Composite Day 6-10 No pattern change. Ridge right along the Coast. C = 0.950400Day 8-14 No pattern change. Ridge strengthens axis near the Coast. C = 0.912711. Crummy. 12z NAM in 5 hours 23 minutes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 Nov 20th is getting pretty close now. Not looking good for that one. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 00z EPS Day 9-10 some hints the ridge is flattening. Maybe. Perhaps. C'MON!!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 ^^ Need that pattern in February. I’d be a happy man. Too bad it’s November. #Wasted 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 Enjoy this mild, zonal reprieve while it lasts..because it might be the last one until late January. Mr. -EPO is almost certainly coming back, either later this month or in December. 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 Enjoy this mild, zonal reprieve while it lasts..because it might be the last one until late January. Mr. -EPO is almost certainly coming back, either later this month or in December.As long as it coincides with a -PNA that sounds great to me! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 As long as it coincides with a -PNA that sounds great to me!Probably not, but a -PNA isn’t required for Arctic blasts out there. Doesn’t look crazy +PNA either, though. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 Nov 20th is getting pretty close now. Not looking good for that one.That blows. Leaves. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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