Part I - January 2020 Weather Discussion for the PNW

[MossMan]

How about earlier in the run? I barely care about moderation right now-- the snow and cold I feel from Sunday-Wednesday should be our main priority. The rest can and will change for sure.

Teleconnections...We are screwed.

[TT-SEA]

How about earlier in the run? I barely care about moderation right now-- the snow and cold I feel from Sunday-Wednesday should be our main priority. The rest can and will change for sure.

 

There are no snowfall maps... but it looks like the operational run from Sunday - Thursday.

 

Here is the coldest point... on Tuesday afternoon.

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Tim has called this one. Looks like W7ENK was right after all.

[MossMan]

Tim has called this one. Looks like W7ENK was right after all.

Amazing how quickly this turned into a non event.

[Deweydog]

Teleconnections...We are screwed.

[Requiem]

Am I dumb for thinking that things look fine? Two models are saying nearly opposite things, and they are going to flip flop the next few days, I feel.

[TT-SEA]

Remember... the EPS is most useful in the 7-15 day period.   And best used a general guide and not for surface details.

 

00Z EPS for next Saturday...

 

[ShawniganLake]

The 29F outside could be the pinnacle of this January

[TT-SEA]

Back to a ridge over Alaska by day 11 and 12... could almost see this leading somewhere decent.

 

[seattleweatherguy]

Pray for better runs tomorrow good night

[Deweydog]

Am I dumb for thinking that things look fine? Two models are saying nearly opposite things, and they are going to flip flop the next few days, I feel.

Nothing is set it stone. It’s just a matter of looking for trends and applying our climate’s tendencies. It’s a complicated pattern with a ton of moving parts.

[jakeinthevalley]

Where's the Kona Low?

[MikeInEverett]

Pray for better runs tomorrow good night

If this doesn't happen it's because we didn't pray hard enough.

[Deweydog]

Pray for better runs tomorrow good night

Jesus wore sandals. He hates cold and snow.

[TT-SEA]

Pray for better runs tomorrow good night

 

 

What if more people are praying for it not to happen?

 

My wife's prayers are canceling out yours.   

[Deweydog]

Where's the Kona Low?

Rob ate it.

[MossMan]

No need for a night shift tonight, guys.

 

What-A-Shame.

[Omegaraptor]

Wonder if this January will still finish above average at PDX.

[ShawniganLake]

Back to a ridge over Alaska by day 11 and 12... could almost see this leading somewhere decent.

 

I have no idea how this will end up but I feel like we’ve seen the models try and do that before. In 16-17 I seem to remember the ensembles hinting at the block lifting away with a big undercut but it never really succeeded. Ridge bounced back and the jet failed to truly break through. I’m probably wish casting!

 

Where’s Phil?

[TT-SEA]

Just gorgeous outside. Trees are all coated with snow and I can see Mt. Si and all of the Cascades perfectly clear. So different than the very gloomy day it was here.

[Requiem]

I don't know about anyone else, but I'm still excited. Cold and possible snow, let's just see how these crazy models go.

[MikeInEverett]

Just gorgeous outside. Trees are all coated with snow and I can see Mt. Si and all of the Cascades perfectly clear. So different than the very gloomy day it was here.

A long exposure picture with your camera would probably look amazing.

[TT-SEA]

Back to a ridge over Alaska by day 11 and 12... could almost see this leading somewhere decent.

 

 

 

Disregard... here is day 15.

 

[MossMan]

It was my phantom dusting that 33 this entire pattern...I apologize.

 

Pretty night!

[ShawniganLake]

Looks like the Euro has Abbotsford with a 5/0 day on Tuesday. That would be nutty.

[TT-SEA]

A long exposure picture with your camera would probably look amazing.

Night setting...

 

[ShawniganLake]

It was my phantom dusting that 33 this entire pattern...I apologize.

 

Pretty night!

Time to take the lights down.

[Deweydog]

Night setting...

 

Purty

[MossMan]

Time to take the lights down.

Yep, going to do that Sunday evening after the Seahawks lose and it’s a balmy 51 degrees outside still.

[TT-SEA]

Yep, going to do that Sunday evening after the Seahawks lose and it’s a balmy 51 degrees outside still.

Two negatives in one post!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Tim what kind of phone do you have?

[TT-SEA]

Tim what kind of phone do you have?

Galaxy

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Galaxy

 

That is what I thought. Such higher quality than the iPhone. 

[MossMan]

Expect the 6z to be even worse.

 

Like Matt said...Nighty night and sweet dreams! (Of a slushy quick transition back to Split flow)

[MossMan]

That is what I thought. Such higher quality than the iPhone.

Yeah I tried to take a pic of the moon reflecting off of the snow on the trees with my IPhone...Didn’t work.

[TT-SEA]

That is what I thought. Such higher quality than the iPhone.

My son vehemently disagrees!

[MikeInEverett]

Night mode on the iPhone 11 ain't too bad

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I have an iPhone 9. I really don't like the camera. I used to have a Galaxy and found it to be far superior, even in its earlier incarnations. 

[ShawniganLake]

Yep, going to do that Sunday evening after the Seahawks lose and it’s a balmy 51 degrees outside still.

You might be racing against the arctic front. But it’ll be a nice chore to take your mind off the hawks losing

[SilverFallsAndrew]

HIO and Astoria down to freezing. Been a while since we saw that.