January 2024 Weather in the PNW (Part II)

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

That radar is curling there because that is a weak meso low moving east. Some models showed this and i can see the rotation on sat loop

[T-Town]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

That would include the snow that has fallen in the last hour out here.

This is the map from now through 11 p.m.

A perfect donut hole where I live. 

[TT-SEA]

2 minutes ago, the_convergence_zone said:

Yeah it was a trace around here so it wouldn’t show up on a WRF map. 

Exactly.   The maps didn't say there would be no snow falling.   That would not show up unless there is accumulation.  

[Slushy Inch]

3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

That would include the snow that has fallen in the last hour out here.

This is the map from now through 11 p.m.

Those are two different models.

[MikeInEverett]

Snow starting to pick up and stick at home! We are right smack in the middle of the CZ currently. Downtown Everett gets a win.

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

1 minute ago, Ken in Wood Village said:

I think he doesn't know how good Mark is. Sometimes people forget how good he actually is  

I actually think there is going to be a battle zone in the Portland area. It's going to be the clash of two air masses. Cold dry air and warm moist air. The combination of the two with the strong winds will stir the atmosphere to give us convection which should produce more precipitation. At least that's my theory. We'll see 🌨

I'd say it'll be between Woodburn and salem, but I wish it will be between Albany and Salem because I'm in salem this weekend, but I doubt that'll happen. Portland got their turn last year, salem hasn't had good snow since January 2017, it's their turn now. 

[North_County]

2 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

This would of been nuts with a low out there off Vancouver island with this airmass.  One day.

It's a pretty good indication of the extreme luck needed to have all the moving parts align JUST right to allow the "generational" type of historic events to occur. One or two things just slightly off, and it all falls apart.

(To be clear to our Oregon friends, I am aware that things falling apart for Western Washington might mean things aligning just right for Oregon. I'm not discounting what you get to experience this weekend.)

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Maybe @MossMan can eke out a dusting overnight?

[Snownerd3000]

31 minutes ago, Parrot said:

Very sad how close I am to greatness. Got a half inch or so sticking to cars and grass

Having a band to the north and south by juts a few miles sucks. 

[MV_snow]

29 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Strangely that southern c-zone is lifting north again.    Snowing a little harder here but don't think it will last too much longer.  

I’ve been waiting for the I-90 band to shift south for a while now… getting worried it’s not going to or we’ll be left with peanuts by the time it does.

[snow_wizard]

Looking at the temperature map this blast has some serious teeth.  Probably the new January standard for this century.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

NAM 3km

[snow_wizard]

Just now, MV_snow said:

I’ve been waiting for the I-90 band to shift south for a while now… getting worried it’s not going to or we’ll be left with peanuts by the time it does.

Models have been showing it happening a bit later.

[iFred]

Meet up started

[LowerGarfield]

It is really coming down. Don't mind my washing machine going in the background.

 

I probably have at least half an inch of new snow maybe more. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

1 minute ago, snow_wizard said:

Looking at the temperature map this blast has some serious teeth.  Probably the new January standard for this century.

I think it will be colder than december 22

[SnowWillarrive]

2 minutes ago, MV_snow said:

I’ve been waiting for the I-90 band to shift south for a while now… getting worried it’s not going to or we’ll be left with peanuts by the time it does.

I’m in the same boat as you. I’m probably just a few miles from you. Even the EURO shows close to 1 inch here. Precip is allergic to us.

[TT-SEA]

Just now, Rubus Leucodermis said:

NAM 3km

Need to adjust to take out first 7 hours since that already happened.   This is what it shows is remaining.  

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

***, Bellingham 19 and gusting to 55. This blast is the real deal.

[MossMan]

2 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Maybe @MossMan can eke out a dusting overnight?

Is that future snowfall or is that accumulation that has already supposedly happened? 

[MikeInEverett]

Just now, TT-SEA said:

Need to adjust to take out first 7 hours since that already happened.   This is what it shows is remaining.  

Really curious as to how long this CZ over Everett will last. Doesn’t seem like any of the models picked up on it being there this late. The NAM shows that it “already happened” and it would be over by now. Euro somewhat too

[Cold Snap]

2 minutes ago, iFred said:

Meet up started

I’ll be there in about 20 minutes.

[Deweydog]

Front made it to Tri Citiez

[RayRay]

Finally something in Redmond wa

 

 

[MV_snow]

2 minutes ago, SnowWillarrive said:

I’m in the same boat as you. Even the EURO shows close to 1 inch here. Precip is allergic to us.

The Euro is the stingiest model so good it still shows an inch. Honestly I’d just take a half inch now to not go into the blast with bare ground.

[MossMan]

3 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

I think it will be colder than december 22

I had a 17/8 day in 2022…It will be close. 

[TT-SEA]

2 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

***, Bellingham 19 and gusting to 55. This blast is the real deal.

Wow!!  That is brutal.

[MossMan]

Just now, TT-SEA said:

Wow!!  That is brutal.

That will make you feel alive!! 

[lowlandsnow]

-15 at Harts Pass only 33 degrees from Washington's all time record

[Rubus Leucodermis]

5 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

I think it will be colder than december 22

Could be hard to pull off here. Had a lot more snow in Dec 2022.

[T-Town]

Wind just flipped to northerly here. 

[North_County]

3 minutes ago, MossMan said:

That will make you feel alive!! 

About to walk to the car in a minute. First time I've worn a jacket in probably a year. The kids didn't even now I had one.

Tomorrow I might even wear gloves.

[MossMan]

2 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Could be hard to pull off here. Had a lot more snow in Dec 2022.

Exactly. I believe this was my 17/8 day. 

[TT-SEA]

So we got about an inch out here which about what the models showed.  However... my wife just came home from work and had to park the car down the hill thanks to a school bus being sideways on the road.   I don't think there were any kids on it at the time... it was going back down after dropping off the kids up here.   I would love to be drinking a beer in Seattle right now but I knew it was not good evening to be trying to navigate the hills up here.   And I didn't want to miss what is likely the only snow I will get from this event!   

[RayRay]

[Rubus Leucodermis]

 

[ajreich]

16 minutes ago, Ken in Wood Village said:

I think he doesn't know how good Mark is. Sometimes people forget how good he actually is  

I actually think there is going to be a battle zone in the Portland area. It's going to be the clash of two air masses. Cold dry air and warm moist air. The combination of the two with the strong winds will stir the atmosphere to give us convection which should produce more precipitation. At least that's my theory. We'll see 🌨

I think Mark is really good with marginal setups because he’s conservative and that usually wins 75% of the time when temps are iffy. But…with setups are colder like this I think he busts far more often because precip tends to overdo what’s modeled. We’ll see though! 

[BLI snowman]

9 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Front made it to Tri Citiez

Fastest moving backdoor buddy of the century. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

6 minutes ago, lowlandsnow said:

-15 at Harts Pass only 33 degrees from Washington's all time record

-2 at my cabin already. forecast low is -20.

[ajreich]

Just now, Rubus Leucodermis said:

 

Portland tomorrow