January Weather In The PNW 2024 (Part III) - The Warming Shot

[iFred]

2 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

I love videos like this.   Looks like June 20th was lovely back in 1988!   That was a 75/53 day up here but a less than ideal 4th of July was coming.  I recently came across a video of someone driving 405 from SEA to Bothell back in 1983.    It was interesting seeing how much its changed and in some ways has not changed... but I was also looking at the weather and the specific date and then looking ahead at what would happen for those people next.    

 

 

[Skagit Weather]

9 hours ago, Slushy Inch said:

Wet.

This would be impressive if it verified. It would make it one of the wetter months (especially Januaries) I've ever had at this location.

[MossMan]

I just watched one from June of 1987 where the person drove southbound from Smokey Point to Everett. Memories! Trees instead of the Tulalip Casino, and the ThunderBird drive in between McDonalds and Roy Robinson Chevy in Marysville. I remember when the parents would load us up in the 1972 Chevy Impala with the peeling vinyl roof and take that special trip to McDonalds once a month, and while we were in the drive thru you could see the movie playing at the Thunderbird! 

Edited January 22 by MossMan

[TT-SEA]

12 minutes ago, MossMan said:

I just watched one from June of 1987 where the person drove southbound from Smokey Point to Everett. Memories! Trees instead of the Tulalip Casino, and the ThunderBird drive in between McDonalds and Roy Robinson Chevy in Marysville. I remember when the parents would load us up in the 1972 Chevy Impala with the peeling vinyl roof and take that special trip to McDonalds once a month, and while we were in the drive thru you could see the movie playing at the Thunderbird! 

I just watched that one after you mentioned it... another beautiful day on 6/25/87 and the grass along the freeway was surprisingly brown already.

[RentonHill]

Todays history

 

[Phishy Wx]

49 minutes ago, iFred said:

Nah, you'd get drowned out pretty quickly by LongIslandTim and BeltwayBuster pretty quickly as they need to know how much snow they are getting and why those seven extra inches of model fluff qualify it as a HECS.

WxRisk

good 'ol DT?

 

[Cascadia_Wx]

Low of 39 just after midnight. Up to 45 now which is the mildest it’s been since the early morning of the 9th.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

The upper mountain spots at crystal mountain are getting buried in snow right now. Looks cool.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

4.5 inches of rain here since friday evening. Insane.

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

I don't hate this

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

2 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

4.5 inches of rain here since friday evening. Insane.

I have only recorded 0.06". Full on shadow

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

2 minutes ago, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

I have only recorded 0.06". Full on shadow

WOW, I wish i had this crap overrun that arctic air!

[Slushy Inch]

3 minutes ago, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

I don't hate this

Looks like a CA special. It is possible to get a minor snow event with a weak system out of the south with some offshore flow and evaporate cooling. If enough cold air makes it west.

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

1 minute ago, Slushy Inch said:

Looks like a CA special. It is possible to get a minor snow event with a weak system out of the south with some offshore flow and evaporate cooling. If enough cold air makes it west.

As long as this builds snow pack I'm cool with it. 

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

4 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said:

Looks like a CA special. It is possible to get a minor snow event with a weak system out of the south with some offshore flow and evaporate cooling. If enough cold air makes it west.

 

It is close.

[Slushy Inch]

Feb 27th 2017 pscz. The beginning of the FEB streak 

[Slushy Inch]

3 minutes ago, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

 

It is close.

Some chilly members for sure.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

I doubt February will let us down. It's the gold standard month here now.

[Slushy Inch]

2 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

I doubt February will let us down. It's the gold standard month here now.

Just a solidly below average Feb temperature wise would be a nice way to continue the streak

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

it's a shame that most of this precip falling in the Olympics is rain. Hurricne ridge is 33 degrees at 5260ft. Snow level looks to be around 5600ft. 

[Phil]

2 hours ago, High Desert Mat? said:

Sometimes I wonder if Phil is even in Maryland. Maybe it’s a double reverse psychology and he’s really here somewhere. I mean, why does someone care so much about what’s happening here 3000 miles away?  

This makes me sad. 15 years and some of you guys still misread my heart and personality.  I’m used to it now so it doesn’t bother me as much, but it still sucks. Lol

But then again, I posted under a false identity for 5 years so I should expect it. I was 16 years old when I joined the forums and I’m not sure whether it was attention seeking behavior or fear of not fitting in, but whatever the reason, it was some stupid s*** and it follows me to this day. Deservedly so.

I wanted so badly to “come out of the closet” so to speak and admit the whole thing for years but it was so stupid and embarrassing that I never mustered the courage in time.

As they say, you reap what you sow. Fair is fair.

[Slushy Inch]

1 minute ago, Phil said:

15 years and some of you still misread my heart and personality.  I’m used to it now so it doesn’t bother me as much, but it still sucks. Lol

But then again, I posted under a false identity for 5 years so I should expect it. I was 16 years old when I joined the forums and I’m not sure whether it was attention seeking behavior or fear of not fitting in, but whatever the reason, it was some stupid s*** and it follows me to this day. Deservedly so.

I wanted so badly to “come out of the closet” so to speak and admit the whole thing for years but it was so stupid and embarrassing that I never mustered the courage in time.

As they say, you reap what you sow. Fair is fair.

You pretended to live in the area for years?

[Deweydog]

3 minutes ago, Phil said:

15 years and some of you still misread my heart and personality.  I’m used to it now so it doesn’t bother me as much, but it still sucks. Lol

But then again, I posted under a false identity for 5 years so I should expect it. I was 16 years old when I joined the forums and I’m not sure whether it was attention seeking behavior or fear of not fitting in, but whatever the reason, it was some stupid s*** and it follows me to this day. Deservedly so.

I wanted so badly to “come out of the closet” so to speak and admit the whole thing for years but it was so stupid and embarrassing that I never mustered the courage in time.

As they say, you reap what you sow. Fair is fair.

I love you, Phillip.

[Phil]

2 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said:

You pretended to live in the area for years?

I masqueraded living in western MD, amongst other things.

I laugh whenever I think back to that. So ridiculous.  

[Phil]

1 minute ago, Deweydog said:

I love you, Phillip.

Love u too brother 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

7 minutes ago, Phil said:

This makes me sad. 15 years and some of you guys still misread my heart and personality.  I’m used to it now so it doesn’t bother me as much, but it still sucks. Lol

But then again, I posted under a false identity for 5 years so I should expect it. I was 16 years old when I joined the forums and I’m not sure whether it was attention seeking behavior or fear of not fitting in, but whatever the reason, it was some stupid s*** and it follows me to this day. Deservedly so.

I wanted so badly to “come out of the closet” so to speak and admit the whole thing for years but it was so stupid and embarrassing that I never mustered the courage in time.

As they say, you reap what you sow. Fair is fair.

You have my respect, You were a young kid. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Heck if the internet would of been around when i was 16 i would of been Dangerous lol.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

East of the cascades sure are holding the cold air better than i expected. Leavenworth still looks like a winter wonderland.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I think some people take things too seriously. 

[Phil]

I think this is realistic. MJO p8/1 transition probably occurs mid-Feb.

https://x.com/commoditywx/status/1749499893373149507?s=46&t=656Z973wLtGKaIyhhq_7QQ

[Phil]

Still not seeing AAM drop on EPS weeklies but suspect that will come into focus sometime in mid-Feb (-dAAMt starts 2/15-20?).

[Slushy Inch]

4 minutes ago, Phil said:

I think this is realistic. MJO p8/1 transition probably occurs mid-Feb.

https://x.com/commoditywx/status/1749499893373149507?s=46&t=656Z973wLtGKaIyhhq_7QQ

Goa ridge developes in ensembles,  should give PNW a chance.

[Slushy Inch]

Wow looks like a stormy weather pattern.

[Snownerd3000]

18 minutes ago, Phil said:

I think this is realistic. MJO p8/1 transition probably occurs mid-Feb.

https://x.com/commoditywx/status/1749499893373149507?s=46&t=656Z973wLtGKaIyhhq_7QQ

Well I'm headed out to the coast again President's Day weekend so book that weekend for snow chances.

[Slushy Inch]

Really nice euro run really cuts down Pineapple Express duration.

[Slushy Inch]

Fun run!

[iFred]

2 hours ago, RentonHill said:

Todays history

 

2nd best snow experience in my life.

[Slushy Inch]

Cold pattern developing at the end… interested to see eps. 

[Slushy Inch]

4 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said:

Cold pattern developing at the end… interested to see eps. 

Question Cascadia?

[Cascadia_Wx]

3 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said:

Question Cascadia?

I’m just not seeing the potential for a cold pattern on that frame. Appreciate the enthusiasm but I think there’s room for growth here in terms of pattern interpretation.