February 2024 Weather in the PNW

[TT-SEA]

Sunday night and Monday system shifted north... big event for Randy and maybe Bellingham. 

[MossMan]

2 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

About every model shows 8-12 here

You are going to get nuked on! 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Problem with the EURO is it is pretty sparse on precip.

[skywatcher]

31 minutes ago, Skagit Weather said:

but I find that hard to believe considering how little snow Crystal normally sees

If the stars somehow lined up, I'd believe it. Crystal is in such a weird place that it takes just the right combination of conditions to make true magic happen.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, TT-SEA said:

Sunday night and Monday system shifted north... big event for Randy and maybe Bellingham. 

That's the low that will be hanging off the coast all weekend, it is a bit north on this run, but it's not the same system which was producing all the overrunning pandemonium on some of the models. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

3.90 rain on the day!

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

9 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Found an affordable place there that we could all move into! 
 

170k for that is criminal. But if it gets snow, sign me up! There's 2 bedrooms, so we could probably sleep atleast 8 of us in there, maybe even more if we bunk!

[FroYoBro]

Still 50 degrees here. Smells like snow. 

[lowlandsnow]

38 minutes ago, Skagit Weather said:

This storm is going to be one of the more impressive ones I've seen in the mountains over the last couple years. At least 31" of new snow at Mt. Baker in the last 24 hours and 40" in the last 30 hours. Should probably pick up another 18-24" by morning.

The Washington State 24 hour record is supposedly 65" at Crystal Mountain on 2/24/94, but I find that hard to believe considering how little snow Crystal normally sees. But maybe the pattern was perfect. Paradise has an unofficial record of 70" in 24 hours from 11/26/55 which is a location I'd be more inclined to believe has the record, but that may just be in the record books as a result of not being able to clear off the snowboard one day. 

I bet the top of Baker got over 65 inches in 24 hours from this storm. Temps have probably been in the lower teens there given the temps at Camp Muir and I wound assume they received the same amount of precip if not more.

[lowlandsnow]

[Skagit Weather]

8 minutes ago, skywatcher said:

If the stars somehow lined up, I'd believe it. Crystal is in such a weird place that it takes just the right combination of conditions to make true magic happen.

Paradise picked up 44" that day so it's certainly possible, but it just seems so strange that it would get so much more. I mean honestly, I'm just skeptical of most snow measurements. It's so hard to measure snowfall whether it's from compaction or drifting or too frequent of measurements.

The National Center for Environmental Information, which maintains the US weather records acknowledges that this reading is a bit suspect so they also list a 52" one day reading from Winthrop on 1/21/35.

[Weiner Warrior]

Nice overrunning event in the middle of the night!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, lowlandsnow said:

Low goes into NORCAL, but the deformation is way up in W. Washington. Interesting. 

[lowlandsnow]

Just now, Skagit Weather said:

Paradise picked up 44" that day so it's certainly possible, but it just seems so strange that it would get so much more. I mean honestly, I'm just skeptical of most snow measurements. It's so hard to measure snowfall whether it's from compaction or drifting or too frequent of measurements.

The National Center for Environmental Information, which maintains the US weather records acknowledges that this reading is a bit suspect so they also list a 52" one day reading from Winthrop on 1/21/35.

52" at Winthrop also seems suspect

[Skagit Weather]

5 minutes ago, lowlandsnow said:

I bet the top of Baker got over 65 inches in 24 hours from this storm. Temps have probably been in the lower teens there given the temps at Camp Muir and I wound assume they received the same amount of precip if not more.

Almost certainly, but it's hard to know whether the summit was above the heaviest precipitation and how much just got wind blasted off the summit.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Shelton down to 39 under heavy rain. The komo radar shows snow in the area developing 

[snow_wizard]

I'm sure liking how the ECMWF handles that low early next week.  Possible widespread snowfall!

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

5 minutes ago, lowlandsnow said:

Looks perfect 

 We did it!

[SnowWillarrive]

6 minutes ago, lowlandsnow said:

Puget Sound Special 

[snow_wizard]

3 minutes ago, lowlandsnow said:

52" at Winthrop also seems suspect

1935 was a very special animal.  I think Palmer which is similar to where Tim lives had like 58 inches on the ground and it all melted within 5 days.

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, snow_wizard said:

I'm sure liking how the ECMWF handles that low early next week.  Possible widespread snowfall!

Low is stronger than on other models and even the 12z EURO and further north and creeping up the coast. I wouldn't worry too much about it yet. 

[snow_wizard]

2 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Looks perfect 

 We did it!

Looks good on paper at least.

[Cloud]

Rain started just before 1am… hasn’t stopped since. Ahhh welcome to Februvember in the PNW!

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

1 minute ago, SnowWillarrive said:

Puget Sound Special 

We are due!

[snow_wizard]

Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Low is stronger than on other models and even the 12z EURO and further north and creeping up the coast. I wouldn't worry too much about it yet. 

No doubt there is a huge range of possible outcomes.  Looks like a legit major lowland snow threat for somebody though.

[Weiner Warrior]

37 in forks. Still 47 in Bellevue

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, snow_wizard said:

No doubt there is a huge range of possible outcomes.  Looks like a legit major lowland snow threat for somebody though.

Let's keep it south and stay in a cool pattern. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, Weiner Warrior said:

37 in forks. Still 47 in Bellevue

It's coming. 

[Weiner Warrior]

Fun week ahead starting now!

[snow_wizard]

If the ECMWF were to verify it shows more of a northerly wind situation for my area than would be normal with an overrunning event.  Shouldn't be as much of a potential warm nose / down sloping problem.

[Cloud]

2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

If the ECMWF were to verify it shows more of a northerly wind situation for my area than would be normal with an overrunning event.  Shouldn't be as much of a potential warm nose / down sloping problem.

Looks great! Get that north winds cranking.

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

The rumors are true, he has RETURNED! if he starts commenting that means we have to look at his profile picture every time he comments... The accounts with faces get annoying to say the least.... except Weiner Warrior's account, we need more ones like that.

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

6 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Let's keep it south and stay in a cool pattern. 

Make it trend south, let's get a good snowstorm for the willamette valley and extend the cold.

[snow_wizard]

Stays cold forever on this run.  Nice clipper being show at day 9 to keep the cold air going.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Splat test confirmed.  40 degrees. 

[snow_wizard]

1 minute ago, Sunriver Snow Zone said:

Make it trend south, let's get a good snowstorm for the willamette valley and extend the cold.

We totally deserve some snow up here.

[SouthHillFrosty]

1 minute ago, snow_wizard said:

We totally deserve some snow up here.

Haven’t seen more than 4.5 inches of snow in one storm since 2019. We are DUE

Edited February 29 by SouthHillFrosty

[SnowWillarrive]

1 minute ago, snow_wizard said:

We totally deserve some snow up here.

Puget Sound needs a good snow storm. 

[Dave]

Eugene and especially Springfield suffered from one of the most devastating ice storms in years. In that storm, not a single flake was to be had. I've had one event of slushy snowfall the entire winter. Let's keep it south for a change.

[RCola]

Ehh, the Euro is a bit of a letdown for Sounders. It pulled back on snow in the Friday-Sunday time frame for Seattle. Now the decent snow is delayed until mid week next week. Feels like we're just kicking the can. Of course, if CMC is to be believed, there was never a can to kick.