jaster220 Posted January 8, 2015 Report Share Posted January 8, 2015 Same here...last nights light snow that swept through KC/STL area was not supposed to be all that impressive but if you got underneath those heavy bursts it accumulated pretty quickly. This system will have a little better moisture supply and it will be falling along another arctic front. I find these situations bring surprises here and there. Expecting a pretty nice surprise on this side of the lake. If either of the two increase (winds or qpf), I would think GRR may be forced to upgrade some SWMI counties. As it stands, this looks like very high-end WWA event at the least. Potential ingredients are there for more though. Time will tell if this over-performs as it would be a first for this season over my way anyhow. Have a solid 4" OTG so it's not starting from scratch wrt blowing and drifting component either. 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 8, 2015 Report Share Posted January 8, 2015 Hrrr looking Canadian like but who knows. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Seahawkfan Posted January 8, 2015 Report Share Posted January 8, 2015 In eastern Iowa does anyone think were get snow again from this clipper? n.w.s saying pretty much Flurries at best. But RGem gives us a decent Snow event. Last time the upgraded during event when it was Obvious Clipper was pushing south. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted January 8, 2015 Report Share Posted January 8, 2015 I'd say the further NE you go in Iowa, the better chance you have. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Seahawkfan Posted January 8, 2015 Report Share Posted January 8, 2015 Gem really the only Modal showing Snow for my area Most likely the outliner This storm will be a strike miss for my area. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 8, 2015 Author Report Share Posted January 8, 2015 00z NAM a little more generous in NE IL... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WBadgersW Posted January 8, 2015 Report Share Posted January 8, 2015 Maybe, just maybe, after this storm the snowmobile trails will be open. Im glad to see the NAM increase its snowfall totals a bit. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 8, 2015 Author Report Share Posted January 8, 2015 00z 4KM NAM a little wetter for N IL as well...a blip of .20qpf over NE IL... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted January 8, 2015 Report Share Posted January 8, 2015 Heard 0z RGEM is a nice hit for NE IL Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 8, 2015 Author Report Share Posted January 8, 2015 Heard 0z RGEM is a nice hit for NE IL00z RGEM...nice to see the 00z NAM a bit wetter...both of these models have stayed course...nice hit for WI/N IL/N IN/MI Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 8, 2015 Author Report Share Posted January 8, 2015 00z PGFS...I could see SW MI getting some heavy squalls when the front moves on through...local 6-10" totals... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted January 8, 2015 Report Share Posted January 8, 2015 RGEM has stayed super consistent. Wish I could believe it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
6789 Posted January 8, 2015 Report Share Posted January 8, 2015 I'd be happy with an 1" but hopefully I could squeeze 2" if everything sets up right! I'm just glad I can stay home and watch it tomorrow! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 8, 2015 Report Share Posted January 8, 2015 It's looking like really nasty conditions tomorrow afternoon. Winds are supposed to be up near 40 mph! Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 8, 2015 Author Report Share Posted January 8, 2015 00z GGEM...it'll be interesting to see the what the radar looks like tomorrow afternoon...afternoon commute doesn't look pretty. Especially with the frozen ground from this frigid cold weather...the roads will be a mess. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted January 8, 2015 Report Share Posted January 8, 2015 I don't know about you but it's hard to get pumped up over 1-2 inches of snow. When's the real stuff coming? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthandturf Posted January 8, 2015 Report Share Posted January 8, 2015 As someone who plows, 2" of snow pays my bills, enough to get me pumped. I know what you mean though......patience, it will come. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted January 8, 2015 Report Share Posted January 8, 2015 DVN saying half and inch to an inch up here. Obviously nothing worth getting super excited about, but I will take it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 8, 2015 Report Share Posted January 8, 2015 Snowed hard under the best return that moved through. This thing is flying though. Expecting over 1-2 inches is out of the question. Winds should be interesting though Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trinomial Posted January 8, 2015 Report Share Posted January 8, 2015 12z 4km NAM looks to bring in a decent amount of qpf. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 8, 2015 Report Share Posted January 8, 2015 12z 4km NAM looks to bring in a decent amount of qpf.Be carefull with those qpf maps with this thing. Its literally flying and unless you are under a real nice radar return its barely flurries Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trinomial Posted January 8, 2015 Report Share Posted January 8, 2015 Be carefull with those qpf maps with this thing. Its literally flying and unless you are under a real nice radar return its barely flurriesSo basically we're looking at a dusting then? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BigDizBliz420 Posted January 8, 2015 Report Share Posted January 8, 2015 models were only showing .1 at most for MN Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trinomial Posted January 8, 2015 Report Share Posted January 8, 2015 Latest discussion sounds promising from LOT: SUGGESTING A FEW SITES IN MCHENRY/LAKE COUNTY IL APPROACHING 3-4".THE DIFFICULTIES WILL BE THE GUSTY WIND CONDS. WITH THE SNOW LIQUIDRATIOS HOVERING ARND 20:1... N IL looks to get a decent snow with this clipper. More so, then the last one (maybe). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 8, 2015 Report Share Posted January 8, 2015 models were only showing .1 at most for MNThey have beefed up qpf here this morning but its not going to matter. I am riding an inch at best here. Somewhere east of here could score a couple inches. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trinomial Posted January 8, 2015 Report Share Posted January 8, 2015 They have beefed up qpf here this morning but its not going to matter. I am riding an inch at best here. Somewhere east of here could score a couple inches.It appears that the model is taking into effect the speed of the storm with QPF. This thing is going fast. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted January 8, 2015 Report Share Posted January 8, 2015 Most of the models have this clipper stronger(wetter) as it travels farther east. WAA will be a big factor as it enters our area especially with that 70+kt LLJ poking into the area. Don't know how it will all play out but as Tom alluded to yesterday, this is a bonus no matter what happens! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trinomial Posted January 8, 2015 Report Share Posted January 8, 2015 Will this hit before the evening rush in N IL? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted January 8, 2015 Report Share Posted January 8, 2015 Latest discussion sounds promising from LOT: SUGGESTING A FEW SITES IN MCHENRY/LAKE COUNTY IL APPROACHING 3-4".THE DIFFICULTIES WILL BE THE GUSTY WIND CONDS. WITH THE SNOW LIQUIDRATIOS HOVERING ARND 20:1... N IL looks to get a decent snow with this clipper. More so, then the last one (maybe). Most of the hi-res models have been showing this for the past couple runs. 12zRGEM continues to show this. Of course the ratios being shown are too high but you get the idea. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
6789 Posted January 8, 2015 Report Share Posted January 8, 2015 It looks like it's back building in middle to upper WI. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 8, 2015 Report Share Posted January 8, 2015 It appears that the model is taking into effect the speed of the storm with QPF. This thing is going fast.Chicago has 1.8 inches in their point and click so it is not like I am downplaying the system Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trinomial Posted January 8, 2015 Report Share Posted January 8, 2015 Chicago has 1.8 inches in their point and click so it is not like I am downplaying the systemRight, but they also do mention a possible 3 -4 inches for part of N IL. Either way, it will be interesting to see what happens. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 8, 2015 Report Share Posted January 8, 2015 Will this hit before the evening rush in N IL?Ya. Will be there by noon. Western illinois in minutes 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 8, 2015 Report Share Posted January 8, 2015 Going off radar I should be getting destroyed right now but its just very light snow. Wind is picking up though. Winter Weather Advisory over here. Kind of a surprise event so I will take it.These arctic fronts are really packing a punch. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted January 8, 2015 Report Share Posted January 8, 2015 Lots of dry air to deal with. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted January 8, 2015 Report Share Posted January 8, 2015 Some flakes flying here now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted January 8, 2015 Report Share Posted January 8, 2015 And now moderate snowfall. Nice. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dubuque473 Posted January 8, 2015 Report Share Posted January 8, 2015 Heavy snow at my place, rollover right down the street from me... Quote Dubuque 2007-2008 Winter 78.1" Total snowfall February Snowfall 32.5" City salt usage : 12,211 tons Days of measurable snow : 40 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yerf Posted January 8, 2015 Report Share Posted January 8, 2015 Is there still 2 waves with this Clipper? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BigDizBliz420 Posted January 8, 2015 Report Share Posted January 8, 2015 2 waves, no just one Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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