Grizzcoat Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 GFS following trend-- though not as much as NAM-- on phone so others can post maps. Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEJeremy Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 Boo, I have a feeling this is going to miss us to the east Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FarmerRick Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 Boo, I have a feeling this is going to miss us to the east It's looking that way. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 24, 2015 Author Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 00z GFS... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 00z GFS...A tad east and more juiced. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 NAM and GFS are both showing a strip of 8-10. Wow. Getting wetter each run. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 6+ from DSM to OMA Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 Nice plume showing up with the LES. Could be interesting Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 RGEM- Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 24, 2015 Author Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 Nice plume showing up with the LES. Could be interestingCould be a nice lil surprise LES event for us in NE IL. Last year we had a similar situation and it dumped 3-6" in late January. However, the amount of ice on the lake at that time was much less BUT temp profiles look colder with this set up. Should be interesting. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 Ggem. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 CAN--- 1 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 CAN---cmc_snow_acc_east_12.pngThat actually puts me in the 6+ area. Nice Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 UK MET shows the trend also-- I don't know to post a total qpf-- but it has moved N and E--- Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 24, 2015 Author Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 GGEM has been the most consistent with the amped solution. Nice to see this trend continuing in the models. Interested in what the Euro shows tonight. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 24, 2015 Author Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 00z UKIE...more juice from its 12z run...http://img.meteocentre.com/models/ukmet_amer_00/accum/PA_000-072_0000.gif 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 Thanks Tom-- I just found it-- never putzed enough on that site Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 Still a pretty large track spread this evening. My area could get anywhere from 1 inch to 6 inches. I would lean away from the high end, but still a 1-4 inch spread is quite a bit for this area. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 24, 2015 Author Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 00z Euro...seems like all the models are amping this Clipper each run. Could be a nice warning type of event for IA. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 24, 2015 Author Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 In the past 36 hours, the Euro model model has shifted the accumulating snowfall about 100-150 miles eastward in IA. Wondering how much farther it will shift, if any. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 Wow, this is starting to look pretty nice for my area, at least according to the foreign models. 00z UK and Euro have 0.40" in Cedar Rapids, while the GGEM has 0.60". The Euro has a history of being too dry with clippers as well, although the UK has been pretty spot on with the few systems we've had this year. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 24, 2015 Author Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 Wow, this is starting to look pretty nice for my area, at least according to the foreign models. 00z UK and Euro have 0.40" in Cedar Rapids, while the GGEM has 0.60". The Euro has a history of being too dry with clippers as well, although the UK has been pretty spot on with the few systems we've had this year.I think your area will cash in pretty well. I'd say 4-6" on the safe side, if you can get underneath some of the heavier bands then maybe locally 6-8". Not to shabby for a Clipper. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 24, 2015 Author Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 This is going to be a real fluffy snowfall with temps in the mid/upper 10's. Might get some blowing/drifting if the winds are strong enough as well. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ToastedRavs Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 CAN---cmc_snow_acc_east_12.png Totally off topic, but take a look at the total for N. GA. Atlanta will be crippled if that happens. D**n southerners! And yes, I can say that b/c I was once one of them. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 60 hr 06Z NAM- Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 Wxbell NAM 60hrs Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ToastedRavs Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 From HPC: 4" probability http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/wwd/day2_psnow_gt_04.gif Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 Thanks for that Ravs-- I get so busy watching the Hi-res NAm-- I forgot. That is a good sign-- they are usually on at this range. According to HPC-- the clipper maxes out right over C.IA and then weakens. Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ToastedRavs Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 My guess is while there may be an isolated 6" report here in Central IA, DSM WFO will go with advisories b/c it will be so isolated. Just wondering if they will do it this morning or wait til mid morning update after the 12z runs come in. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 I think that comes down to if they take the time to watch the 06Z GFS before or during ; writing the discussion. Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 06Z Hi RES NAM- Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 Most think between OMA and DSM--- I think the MAX will be really close to the I-35 corridor-- maybe even to the East of it.Remember what I said.-- at the time of this post-- not many, if any-- thought an E shift this great. Just saying.... (now watch it go way West) ) Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 No advisory or nothing and still going with 5-7" (as of the morning update) warm bias takes the cake--- http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lon=-93.87721&lat=41.62671#.VOxM1iyJSzk Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEJeremy Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 wow definitely not looking good for us in eastern Nebraska, even the GFS is no longer on our side. It definitely was the model on crack on this one. Euro looks to have pegged it right from the beginning I believe. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 00z and 06z model runs continue to shift northeast. The 06z RGEM is bullish and even farther northeast than it already was. I was surprised to wake up this morning and see two of our three local mets really pooh-poohing this system, calling for only T-1" here. One of the mets barely even thought it was worth mentioning. If the northeast models are right there will be a lot of surprised people around here. 06z RGEMhttp://img.meteocentre.com/models/gemreg_amer_06/accum/SN_000-048_0000.gif Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 Nam remaining further west. I'm interested to see the rgem Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ToastedRavs Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 12z Nam gives Des Moines around 2/3" qpf. I will take that! Shoot, I will take half that! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 12z Nam gives Des Moines around 2/3" qpf. I will take that! Shoot, I will take half that!I think you get more from this system than the weekend one Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 I bet we see another 150 to 200 mile shift south yet on the weekend system. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 24, 2015 Author Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 12z GFS...nice lil 3-4" blob over Cook county... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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