Jesse Posted August 24, 2015 Report Share Posted August 24, 2015 Lots of southerly flow with the potential for little/no progression to what could be a moist pattern. Don't freak...Both the GFS and Euro and advertising a fairly progressive trough kicking through starting Friday. Between now and then the low is stalled offshore, but it's too far away to give us any precip until late in the week. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 24, 2015 Report Share Posted August 24, 2015 Both the GFS and Euro and advertising a fairly progressive trough kicking through starting Friday. Between now and then the low is stalled offshore, but it's too far away to give us any precip until late in the week.Lots of possibilities. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 24, 2015 Report Share Posted August 24, 2015 Lots of possibilities.Maybe another convection, wind-fueled fire explosion. Looks like same pattern as the one that started the firestorms 10 days ago on some runs. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 24, 2015 Report Share Posted August 24, 2015 Lots of possibilities.Most of them warmer! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 24, 2015 Report Share Posted August 24, 2015 Most of them warmer!Okay. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 24, 2015 Report Share Posted August 24, 2015 Maybe another convection, wind-fueled fire explosion. Looks like same pattern as the one that started the firestorms 10 days ago on some runs.Starting on a ridge above a certain North Bend, WA yuppie haven perhaps? 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 24, 2015 Report Share Posted August 24, 2015 Okay.Okay? Okay. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 24, 2015 Report Share Posted August 24, 2015 Okay? Okay.Fine. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 24, 2015 Report Share Posted August 24, 2015 Fine.I'm fine if it's fine. As long as you're fine. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 24, 2015 Report Share Posted August 24, 2015 I'm fine if it's fine. As long as you're fine.I'm good. You alright? It's been awfully warm... Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 24, 2015 Report Share Posted August 24, 2015 I'm good. You alright? It's been awfully warm... https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VKpQgEyjNdM 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted August 24, 2015 Report Share Posted August 24, 2015 For months the CFS has been focused on rain chances in the late August/early September time frame. Looks like it may have nailed it. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 24, 2015 Report Share Posted August 24, 2015 For months the CFS has been focused on rain chances in the late August/early September time frame. Looks like it may have nailed it. Unless the whole thing cuts off way offshore and pumps a 612dm ridge over us, like the Canadian has been showing. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 24, 2015 Report Share Posted August 24, 2015 For months the CFS has been focused on rain chances in the late August/early September time frame. Looks like it may have nailed it. I'm saying it NOW. 80% chance we see rain in late August/early September 2016. Plan accordingly. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 24, 2015 Report Share Posted August 24, 2015 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VKpQgEyjNdM I don't have nearly as much hair as any of those guys. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 24, 2015 Report Share Posted August 24, 2015 Starting on a ridge above a certain North Bend, WA yuppie haven perhaps? Maybe! Its a possibility. Original point was that an ejecting ULL that has been spinning offshore for several days could be a bad situation given the conditions to our east. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 24, 2015 Report Share Posted August 24, 2015 For months the CFS has been focused on rain chances in the late August/early September time frame. Looks like it may have nailed it. I am guessing rain in November. I am going to nail this one. You watch. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 24, 2015 Report Share Posted August 24, 2015 I don't have nearly as much hair as any of those guys. I hope you actually watched it because it was incredibly fitting. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 24, 2015 Report Share Posted August 24, 2015 I hope you actually watched it because it was incredibly fitting. I've actually seen it. And it is funny because I could see you being both of them. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 24, 2015 Report Share Posted August 24, 2015 Maybe! Its a possibility. Original point was that an ejecting ULL that has been spinning offshore for several days could be a bad situation given the conditions to our east.Sorry, man. This isn't a classic cut off low set up. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 24, 2015 Report Share Posted August 24, 2015 Sorry, man. This isn't a classic cut off low set up.The low never fully cuts off like the one a few weeks ago did. At least that's how it's looking for now. It just kind of stalls and elongates offshore before finally getting punched in with the help of some northern steam energy. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 24, 2015 Report Share Posted August 24, 2015 I've actually seen it. And it is funny because I could see you being both of them.Nah. The "okay" guy is totally you. It's perfect because I'm they guy who gets his feathers all ruffled by it. I didn't know you were a Key and Peele fan. We have so much in common. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 24, 2015 Report Share Posted August 24, 2015 Sorry, man. This isn't a classic cut off low set up. OK... good to know. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 24, 2015 Report Share Posted August 24, 2015 The low never fully cuts off like the one a few weeks ago did. At least that's how it's looking for now. It just kind of stalls and elongates offshore before finally getting punched in with the help of some northern steam energy.Okay. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 24, 2015 Report Share Posted August 24, 2015 Nah. The "okay" guy is totally you. It's perfect because I'm they guy who gets his feathers all ruffled by it. I didn't know you were a Key and Peele fan. We have so much in common. Big fan. Especially after their role in Fargo. And you freak out either direction. Not caring enough or caring too much... Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 24, 2015 Report Share Posted August 24, 2015 12Z Canadian brings it through as a typical trough late Sunday into Monday... http://img.meteocentre.com/models/gemglb_amer_12/GZ_D5_PN_168_0000.gif And then returns us to ridging heading into September... http://img.meteocentre.com/models/gemglb_amer_12/GZ_D5_PN_228_0000.gif Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 24, 2015 Report Share Posted August 24, 2015 Big fan. Especially after their role in Fargo. That was great! Season 2 starts in October... sans Billy Bob of course. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 24, 2015 Report Share Posted August 24, 2015 Okay. Is this your new thing? Fall ball. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 24, 2015 Report Share Posted August 24, 2015 That was great! Season 2 starts in October... sans Billy Bob of course.Yeah, that's a bummer. But where the Coen brothers go I'll follow. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 24, 2015 Report Share Posted August 24, 2015 Is this your new thing? Fall ball. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/OK Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 24, 2015 Report Share Posted August 24, 2015 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/OK Such a rich history. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 24, 2015 Report Share Posted August 24, 2015 Such a rich history.Exceeded in richness only by PNW weather history. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 24, 2015 Report Share Posted August 24, 2015 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 24, 2015 Report Share Posted August 24, 2015 12Z ECMWF still plows everything through on Saturday afternoon and into Sunday. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 24, 2015 Report Share Posted August 24, 2015 I'm sure it will change and the trough will continue getting pushed back, but the Euro sure is purdy. Hopefully the rain this weekend won't be accompanied with any wildfire igniting winds. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 24, 2015 Report Share Posted August 24, 2015 I'm sure it will change and the trough will continue getting pushed back, but the Euro sure is purdy. Hopefully the rain this weekend won't be accompanied with any wildfire igniting winds.I sense some Atmospheric Wrath-patented cautious optimism! Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 24, 2015 Report Share Posted August 24, 2015 Almost every trough in any form this summer has come through on a Friday. This week should be no different. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 24, 2015 Report Share Posted August 24, 2015 Quite a slug of tropical moisture moving up on Saturday says the 18z! Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted August 24, 2015 Report Share Posted August 24, 2015 Looks wet this weekend and early next week. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted August 24, 2015 Report Share Posted August 24, 2015 Through hour 234 the 18z GFS looks amazing. . 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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