You’ve been getting incredible rainfall this winter. KSEA is finally doing better this month and should finish above average. So far January and August are the only months in 2024 with positive precip anomalies there.

There have been many -ENSO's that have produced dud winters in the PNW. In my opinion, ENSO is often overly relied on when conducting a winter forecast. It's only one of the many factors.

The Pacific does get at least temporarily shut down here soon. It's just that the cold goes east.

GFS with a snoozer!

I just logged my third month in a row with 10" or better!