Ratios could also be held down to some extent wherever it gets pretty windy, which Kuchera maps do not account for. Overall I'd probably do some kind of a compromise between the 10:1 maps and the Kuchera maps for most areas. Obviously areas near the snow/sleet line could struggle quite a bit with ratios.

I'm of the opinion we are due for the Pacific to make up for how active it's been. You could make a case for both. One of many examples would be the way the horrific Dec 1979 went into the wonderful January 1980.

.65 IMBY, he's got a little work to do to catch up!

Part of the trough will still be off the west coast but I'm not sure how much it will matter. We get pretty decent sampling over the oceans these days, just not RAOB sampling.

Really good GEFS on the 18z. This just might work out.