I put the best frame from the best run on the meetup t shirt

One thing I will say that I know Jim has mentioned is that historically speaking, arctic outbreaks centered between mid-late January, rare as they've become, do seem to have the highest propensity to be really snowy in our region. Jet stream tends to suppress with a little more ease by this point in the season which makes it much harder to avoid snow on one end or another of an airmass. And we also still have the midwinter sun angles to help with inversions and low level cold pools, which can be a beneficial needle-threader at times.

Could be worse...

Both the 00z GFS and EURO showed and in the 10-15 day range.

That would be crazy. Not sure I’ve ever seen that happen. Fraser river outflow shunted to the north before it reaches the south island.