With your pessimism, even if somehow everyone gets snow on Christmas Eve, you will not.

Ooh yes I do remember that, had about half an inch here at 175 feet. But the track of this one is a bit more different, has a more anafrontal look to it.

Tim Jr mode activated. Assuming it follows the EURO… The bulk of the precip falls during the day… I highly doubt surface heating will let up at all during that time. By the time it gets cold and dark enough.. the precip is gone. Unfortunate and boring for Xmas eve.

It’s very close! Was trying to think of recent analogs and 12/4/22 comes to mind. Very marginal with the bulk of the precip coming through mid day. Turned over to snow with heavier precip rates mid day and had a 2 hour period of very wet gloppy snow. 1” at my old location at 300’.

Yes was just about to say, looks a lot juicer, also look at that track, just wish we had access to just a bit more cold air.