dubuque473 Posted December 26, 2017 Report Share Posted December 26, 2017 Take what I can get and I am happy with it right now. Quote Dubuque 2007-2008 Winter 78.1" Total snowfall February Snowfall 32.5" City salt usage : 12,211 tons Days of measurable snow : 40 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted December 26, 2017 Report Share Posted December 26, 2017 After these last 2 full years the term "turd" should be retired... Turd patterns die hard... 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tabitha Posted December 26, 2017 Report Share Posted December 26, 2017 12z Canadian is fantastic for the Black Hills; with almost continuous snow here from Hour 48 through Hour 120. Of course the Canadian is terrible outside of 48 hours; so take it with a grain of NaCl... As bad as the EC is for the Black Hills (maybe 0.2 - 0.4 LE depending on altitude); I'm still quite optimistic. The GFS, Canadian, & UKMET all look good; they all look like at least 8 inches or more of snow from Thursday through Sunday. Truth be told; the 12z EC was a slight improvement over the terrible 0z run for this area. The ratio for the month has averaged around 23:1 out here... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tabitha Posted December 26, 2017 Report Share Posted December 26, 2017 JMA actually look excellent for much of eastern Nebraska; though I'm not sure I would bet my life on it... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted December 26, 2017 Report Share Posted December 26, 2017 JMA actually look excellent for much of eastern Nebraska; though I'm not sure I would bet my life on it...I wouldn’t even bet a penny on the JMA. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tabitha Posted December 26, 2017 Report Share Posted December 26, 2017 I wouldn’t even bet a penny on the JMA. Smart person... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tabitha Posted December 26, 2017 Report Share Posted December 26, 2017 Deutscher Wetterdienst ICON (Icosahedral Nonhydrostatic) model lookin' good through 72; FWIW; which is probably not much... Not quite sure what it means; but it sounds impressive... Take it to the bank... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 26, 2017 Author Report Share Posted December 26, 2017 18z NAM looks better for IA peeps...trending towards the Euro and earlier GFS runs?? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 26, 2017 Report Share Posted December 26, 2017 The NAM has the Friday system cutting through the heart of Iowa. Similar to the Euro. http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/nam/2017122618/084/snku_024h.us_mw.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted December 27, 2017 Report Share Posted December 27, 2017 The NAM has the Friday system cutting through the heart of Iowa. Similar to the Euro. And it's totally gone on the 00z. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig-OmahaWX Posted December 27, 2017 Report Share Posted December 27, 2017 6z NAM wants a little surprise over Omaha into northeast Nebraska and western Iowa lol http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/nam/2017122706/021/snku_acc.us_c.png Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5" For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 : https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted December 27, 2017 Report Share Posted December 27, 2017 Looks like 06z gfs misses Nebraska and puts the heavier band into central Iowa Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted December 27, 2017 Report Share Posted December 27, 2017 Through 84 hrs eastern neb looks good Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 27, 2017 Report Share Posted December 27, 2017 A number of short term models are showing a band of heavier snow developing in western and SW Iowa tonight. Seems to dry up a bit as it heads east though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 27, 2017 Author Report Share Posted December 27, 2017 06z NAM likes IA...through the 29th.... http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/nam/2017122706/072/snku_acc.us_mw.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted December 27, 2017 Report Share Posted December 27, 2017 According to NAM Saturday might be a fun day in Lincoln. I'm feeling lucky, I got thru TSA without getting my bag full of food checked just now! 1 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 27, 2017 Author Report Share Posted December 27, 2017 06z High-rez NAM also likes IA... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted December 27, 2017 Report Share Posted December 27, 2017 OAX completely failed to mention Saturday's system. Why am I not surprised. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 27, 2017 Author Report Share Posted December 27, 2017 00z EPS mean likes C IA/C IL as the corridor of the heaviest precip...00z Euro control hits all of IA with at least 2-4" and into C IL/C IN...E NE gets clipped as well...N IL roughly 1-2"...Nice overnight trends that did not look all to well yesterday. Don't throw in the towel in a pattern like this. These waves tend to deliver some interesting meso scale banding in such an cold air mass. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dubuque473 Posted December 27, 2017 Report Share Posted December 27, 2017 Local mets going with 2-3" here... Quote Dubuque 2007-2008 Winter 78.1" Total snowfall February Snowfall 32.5" City salt usage : 12,211 tons Days of measurable snow : 40 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted December 27, 2017 Report Share Posted December 27, 2017 00z EPS mean likes C IA/C IL as the corridor of the heaviest precip...00z Euro control hits all of IA with at least 2-4" and into C IL/C IN...E NE gets clipped as well...N IL roughly 1-2"...Nice overnight trends that did not look all to well yesterday. Don't throw in the towel in a pattern like this. These waves tend to deliver some interesting meso scale banding in such an cold air mass.Yup, DMX mentioned banding but are not getting aggressive with accumulations. Said maybe iso 3". Did mention potential advisory but with current wind chill headlines they dont want confusion. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 27, 2017 Author Report Share Posted December 27, 2017 12z NAM showing a quick burst of snow for C IA peeps overnight tonight with 2-3"...MSP rush hour may not be to nice.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 27, 2017 Author Report Share Posted December 27, 2017 12z NAM not all that bad for IA/MN peeps with the first wave tonight into tomorrow am... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted December 27, 2017 Report Share Posted December 27, 2017 12z NAM showing a quick burst of snow for C IA peeps overnight tonight with 2-3"...MSP rush hour may not be to nice....Several inches of very dry snow falling on frozen concrete during rush hour equals disaster. I’m already thinking about working from home tomorrow so I don’t have to deal with that madness. 2-5” in my point and click for tonight thru tomorrow morning. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted December 27, 2017 Report Share Posted December 27, 2017 Several inches of very dry snow falling on frozen concrete during rush hour equals disaster. I’m already thinking about working from home tomorrow so I don’t have to deal with that madness. 2-5” in my point and click for tonight thru tomorrow morning.Best solution bud. I do that all the time, if I must. 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted December 27, 2017 Report Share Posted December 27, 2017 12z NAM not all that bad for IA/MN peeps with the first wave tonight into tomorrow am...I assume these are with predicted ratios? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dubuque473 Posted December 27, 2017 Report Share Posted December 27, 2017 DVN says 18-20:1 Quote Dubuque 2007-2008 Winter 78.1" Total snowfall February Snowfall 32.5" City salt usage : 12,211 tons Days of measurable snow : 40 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted December 27, 2017 Report Share Posted December 27, 2017 Man thats a dry looking GFS run. Is it even gonna snow lol? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted December 27, 2017 Report Share Posted December 27, 2017 ick... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted December 27, 2017 Report Share Posted December 27, 2017 Local mets going with 2-3" here...Seems a bit too aggressive if you ask me. First storm is drying up. Second storm is south. Let’s bring back the 50s so I can use my new golf membership and new clubs. This cold weather is useless if there’s no snow. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted December 27, 2017 Report Share Posted December 27, 2017 12Z NAM is lighter here for Saturday. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted December 27, 2017 Report Share Posted December 27, 2017 Models are very weak with the Wednesday night/Thursday wave. Here's the UK, which only has about 0.03" in CR. http://wx.graphics/models/ukmet/2017122712/conus/ukmet_acc_precip_conus_36.png Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted December 27, 2017 Report Share Posted December 27, 2017 Be lucky to get flurries out of this. Models are really drying up. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted December 27, 2017 Report Share Posted December 27, 2017 The UK is more robust Friday, with a more sw track. Here's the UK map through the weekend. A last wave adds a bit to Nebraska over the weekend. http://wx.graphics/models/ukmet/2017122712/conus/ukmet_acc_precip_conus_108.png Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted December 27, 2017 Report Share Posted December 27, 2017 The 12z euro continues to show the more robust Friday wave a bit farther northeast, missing Nebraska. The total precip map isn't loading, but here's the 10:1 snow map through the weekend. http://wx.graphics/models/ecmwf/2017122712/mw/ecmwf_acc_snow_mw_102.png Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted December 27, 2017 Report Share Posted December 27, 2017 NWS Quad Cities has 1-2” for tomorrow here; Des Moines has 2-3”; and LaCrosse has 1-2” here. I’d side even more towards the 1” mark than anything, but we’ll see what happens. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted December 27, 2017 Report Share Posted December 27, 2017 Yup looking way dry. See what the radar does this evening. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted December 27, 2017 Report Share Posted December 27, 2017 Forecast totals down to 2-3” here. Will probably be down to an inch by this evening. I always thought the initial forecast totals were a bit too high given the dry, cold air. Temps will be in the low single digits above 0F when the snow falls. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NH4NU Posted December 27, 2017 Report Share Posted December 27, 2017 My .02 is that we can’t overlook the fact that 00z and 12z GFS have been relatively consistent with storm track and placement since last Thursday. GFS also caught on to these brutal temps. Appears that EURO is playing catch-up this time around. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted December 27, 2017 Report Share Posted December 27, 2017 My .02 is that we can’t overlook the fact that 00z and 12z GFS have been relatively consistent with storm track and placement since last Thursday. GFS also caught on to these brutal temps. Appears that EURO is playing catch-up this time around.Euro is playing catch up? Please elaborate. Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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