Front Ranger Posted December 17, 2015 Report Share Posted December 17, 2015 Not for my neck of the woods. Looks dry. But I mean this snow is going to melt before the 25th. Way too soon to say for Christmas. But yeah, of course lowland snow rarely lasts on the ground for more than a week. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted December 17, 2015 Report Share Posted December 17, 2015 wow, 12z euro is much improved over its 12z run yesterday and the gfs this morning. I don't care if it is an all out blast, still could produce what we want to see.http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ecmwf/2015121712/ecmwf_z500_mslp_namer_9.png 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 17, 2015 Report Share Posted December 17, 2015 12z Euro has similar temps to 0z run, but looks like there would be more moisture. Definite white Christmas possibilities for some people with this run. Also, -20C into western MT at day 9. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westcoastexpat Posted December 17, 2015 Report Share Posted December 17, 2015 12z Euro has similar temps to 0z run, but looks like there would be more moisture. Definite white Christmas possibilities for some people with this run. Also, -20C into western MT at hour 192. Definitely a chance for some people. But I was talking about Whatcom County/Metro Vancouver. I'd say the chance for snow around Xmas will be further south. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 17, 2015 Report Share Posted December 17, 2015 Definitely a chance for some people. But I was talking about Whatcom County/Metro Vancouver. I'd say the chance for snow around Xmas will be further south. Hard to say at this point. Trying to pinpoint where possible snow might be is an exercise in futility 8 days out. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 17, 2015 Report Share Posted December 17, 2015 We are getting definite rain/snow mix now with the heavy precip rates. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted December 17, 2015 Report Share Posted December 17, 2015 on the euro after christmas with the ridge collapsing eastward, i would imagine this solution would lead to some type of overrunning event in the lowlands. not too pretty but it would get the job done. If anyone wants to post some wxbell precip maps for late in the run, it might look interesting. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather101 Posted December 17, 2015 Report Share Posted December 17, 2015 Heavy wet snow falling Quote 2013/2014 Winter season Coldest Low: 14 F December 7thColdest High: 27.3 F December 7thColdest Wind chill: 5 F December 7thLowest Dew Point: -2.2 F December 6thDays below freezing: 5Total Snowfall: 11 inchesMost snowfall in a Day: 8 inchesDays With Snow: 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westcoastexpat Posted December 17, 2015 Report Share Posted December 17, 2015 Hard to say at this point. Trying to pinpoint where possible snow might be is an exercise in futility 8 days out. Sure, but I did nail today's snow 8 days out Not that futile. I get that you have an issue with me, but sometimes if you have nothing nice to say... no need to respond in the first place. Let's keep the peace. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted December 17, 2015 Report Share Posted December 17, 2015 We are getting definite rain/snow mix now with the heavy precip rates.meanwhile mt. hood's pass is changing to rain. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 17, 2015 Report Share Posted December 17, 2015 The Euro is definitely transitory, but much better than the GFS. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted December 17, 2015 Report Share Posted December 17, 2015 I really like this. This has "snowstorm" written all over it.http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ecmwf/2015121712/ecmwf_T850_namer_11.png 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 17, 2015 Report Share Posted December 17, 2015 Sure, but I did nail today's snow 8 days out Not that futile. I get that you have an issue with me, but sometimes if you have nothing nice to say... no need to respond in the first place. Let's keep the peace. According to Tim, everyone talking about snow around this time frame a week ago were idiots. I have no issue with you. I didn't say anything mean or derogatory. Don't take this stuff personal, I don't mean it that way. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 17, 2015 Report Share Posted December 17, 2015 The Euro is definitely transitory, but much better than the GFS. The initial surge of cold air looks transitory, but low level cold would likely be in place for an overrunning event. Plus, the infamous "reload" looks very possible. Plenty of potential with the upcoming pattern, if the Euro is correct. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Winterdog Posted December 17, 2015 Report Share Posted December 17, 2015 The rebuilding ridge on day 10 is quite a bit stronger than previous runs and at a great spot. Hopefully it builds northward. Pretty good looking run! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 17, 2015 Report Share Posted December 17, 2015 According to Tim, everyone talking about snow around this time frame a week ago were idiots. I have no issue with you. I didn't say anything mean or derogatory. Don't take this stuff personal, I don't mean it that way. I did not say that... clearly there was an overrunning potential this morning. Just said that most places will not see snow. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 17, 2015 Report Share Posted December 17, 2015 How was that old sage the Canadian this morning? Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted December 17, 2015 Report Share Posted December 17, 2015 How was that old sage the Canadian this morning?I just looked, figured it couldn't have been bad or else Tim would have posted it. It looks like the Euro. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 17, 2015 Report Share Posted December 17, 2015 How was that old sage the Canadian this morning? Not as quite as good as Euro, but much better than GFS. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 17, 2015 Report Share Posted December 17, 2015 Raining at Tiger Summit at 1,300 feet... and snowing here at 1,100 feet. Outflow rocks. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crf450ish Posted December 17, 2015 Report Share Posted December 17, 2015 Not snowing here yet, but sitting at 22 degrees, STILL! It was 22 @ 6am this morning! Something else I'd like to point out is the frost covered trees in the distance from my house. Theres a foothill called Miller Mountain that I can see from my house....as soon as there was enough daylight this morning, I could see the tops of the trees frosted over with what appears to be freezing fog. As the morning progressed, I have noticed the frost getting lower and lower and lower...... until now the tops of trees on my property shroud the trees in the distance, unable to see where the frost stops. Its pretty neat to observe this. I am curious though, what does this mean? Does it indicate falling snow level? Or just that the fog is increasing in density? Obviously its a few degrees colder up there (difference of ~500 feet)....but would that be enough for the right conditions to exist to allow freezing fog to stick to everything up there and not down here on my property? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted December 17, 2015 Report Share Posted December 17, 2015 I quite liked the Euro. Pretty nice to see the potential there for Christmas. And that is one massive area of positive height anomalies south of the Aleutians at Day 10. Should we allow Jim to enjoy this 12Z run? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 17, 2015 Report Share Posted December 17, 2015 http://www.wsdot.com/traffic/nwcam.aspx?cam=1055 Looks like some snow along I-5 in Whatcom Co. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 17, 2015 Report Share Posted December 17, 2015 Raining at Tiger Summit at 1,300 feet... and snowing here at 1,100 feet. Outflow rocks.I love that live north bend cam!! looks like the snow is getting better there. The roofs are turning white. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 17, 2015 Report Share Posted December 17, 2015 I love that live north bend cam!! looks like the snow is getting better there. The roofs are turning white. Very white here... and still no wind. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave Posted December 17, 2015 Report Share Posted December 17, 2015 I love that live north bend cam!! looks like the snow is getting better there. The roofs are turning white.Google was my friend. http://146.129.248.180/northbend.html Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 17, 2015 Report Share Posted December 17, 2015 Very white here... and still no wind. whats the temp? Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted December 17, 2015 Report Share Posted December 17, 2015 Snow sticking now near Lynden and Blaine. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 17, 2015 Report Share Posted December 17, 2015 whats the temp? 31 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 17, 2015 Report Share Posted December 17, 2015 Snow sticking now near Lynden and Blaine.Yep. More cams up north showing snow on the ground now.http://www.wsdot.com/traffic/border/default.aspx?cam=1209 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted December 17, 2015 Report Share Posted December 17, 2015 31Wow. Very Nice. How much accumulation? 2" here, light snow and 32.5F. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 17, 2015 Report Share Posted December 17, 2015 Wow. Very Nice. How much accumulation? 2" here, light snow and 32.5F. Maybe 2 inches. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 17, 2015 Report Share Posted December 17, 2015 Some actual defined snowflakes falling here at work now as I look out my window at I-5. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westcoastexpat Posted December 17, 2015 Report Share Posted December 17, 2015 Massive flakes here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 17, 2015 Report Share Posted December 17, 2015 Massive flakes on here. Fixed it. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 17, 2015 Report Share Posted December 17, 2015 http://s4.postimg.org/9giturlnh/2015_12_17_11_57_13.jpg Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parksvillewx Posted December 17, 2015 Report Share Posted December 17, 2015 Been rain/snow mix here all AM. No accumulation tho. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 17, 2015 Report Share Posted December 17, 2015 Really let up now... sky is much brighter as well. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westcoastexpat Posted December 17, 2015 Report Share Posted December 17, 2015 Roads completely covered now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luminen Posted December 17, 2015 Report Share Posted December 17, 2015 Really? Where are you? I'm at 300 feet elevation in south Vancouver and it's mostly chunky rain still. Good day to head up to SFU. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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