December 2015 in the Pacific Northwest

[TT-SEA]

WRF actually does get a little cooler on the next image and dumps snow out here.

 

Also the Hood Canal and down to Shelton and maybe Olympia is snow all day.

[Timmy]

By hr 90. Noticeably warmer and drier

[MossMan]

WRF actually does get a little cooler on the next image and dumps snow out here.

 

Also the Hood Canal and down to Shelton and maybe Olympia is snow all day.

Can you post the image? Any chance for my area?

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Interesting is that now it looks like decent snow above 1000' on Wednesday morning. Thursday looks dry and then maybe light snow across W. Oregon on Christmas day?!

[bainbridgekid]

Can you post the image? Any chance for my area?

Your area isn't favored in tomorrow's setup. Better chance of some kind of CZ Wednesday-Thursday up there.

 

[MossMan]

wa_snow24.24.0000.gif

 

Your area isn't favored in tomorrow's setup.

And it sounds like Christmas is trending warmer. Oh well.

[Timmy]

00z so far for my location better before Christmas night. Then warmer quite a bit quicker...

[TT-SEA]

Can you post the image? Any chance for my area?

http://www.atmos.washington.edu/mm5rt/data/current_gfs/images_d3/ww_snow24.36.0000.gif

[bainbridgekid]

 

Gives you some pretty heavy snow tomorrow evening after that map too.

[TT-SEA]

Gives you some very heavy snow tomorrow evening after that map too.

 

 

I was just about to look at that next.   Can't keep up with tracking all the models and my prep for work tomorrow and getting my daughter to bed and watching football.  

[TT-SEA]

WRF shows another low coming in along the same track on Tuesday night... much weaker though.   

[bainbridgekid]

I was just about to look at that next.   Can't keep up with tracking all the models and my prep for work tomorrow and getting my daughter to bed and watching football.  

Priorities, man. Come on!

 

4-7 PM:

 

[TT-SEA]

I am going out on a limb... guessing 12 inches at my house by Tuesday morning.     That would assure a white Christmas if it works out! 

[MossMan]

 

 

Can you post the image? Any chance for my area?

http://www.atmos.washington.edu/mm5rt/data/current_gfs/images_d3/ww_snow24.36.0000.gif

Actually that maps shows a light amount of snow at my work. I will take anything at this point.

[Bryant]

Actually that maps shows a light amount of snow at my work. I will take anything at this point.

You live in Bellingham?

[bainbridgekid]

I am going out on a limb... guessing 12 inches at my house by Tuesday morning.     That would assure a white Christmas if it works out! 

No major warmth before Christmas, so it wouldn't take too much for at least a somewhat white Christmas there.

 

Meanwhile the grass is almost fully green with no hint of snow here in Chicago and it looks like it will be 60 degrees Wednesday.

[snow_wizard]

Holy crap!  Now the WRF shows snow here Tuesday night as another weak low tracks across southern WA.  It has also moved closer ro indicating snow for the East Puget Sound lowlands tomorrow.  The 1000 foot temp / snow mixing ratio map is hinting at a mix at least.  This might be a fun week.

[Deweydog]

Perfect track on the 00Z WRF... just not cold enough.

 

http://www.atmos.washington.edu/mm5rt/data/current_gfs/images_d2/slp.21.0000.gif

November 2003.

 

Mic drop.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Looks like 6 inches for me tomorrow. Sweet.

[snow_wizard]

The WRF does show 925mb temps dropping to zero in the late afternoon tomorrow over the East Puget Sound lowlands.  With good precip intensity and deep low pressure that should be snow for even the lower hills.

[snow_wizard]

Looks like 6 inches for me tomorrow. Sweet.

 

It shows decent snow here Tuesday night.  The first time it has indicated that.  Liking the trends on this.

[HighlandExperience]

The WRF does show 925mb temps dropping to zero in the late afternoon tomorrow over the East Puget Sound lowlands.  With good precip intensity and deep low pressure that should be snow for even the lower hills.

 

Nice to see a little bit of snow on the higher resolution WRF. Most of East King County would at least see flakes in the air. 

 

 

 

http://www.atmos.washington.edu/mm5rt/data/current_gfs/images_d3/wa_snow72.72.0000.gif

[snow_wizard]

Wow!  We even get close to snow with the trough early next week.  Pretty exciting stuff tonight.

[snow_wizard]

Nice to see a little bit of snow on the higher resolution WRF. Most of East King County would at least see flakes in the air. 

 

 

 

 

And that's before the best stuff gets here.

[bainbridgekid]

Wow!  We even get close to snow with the trough early next week.  Pretty exciting stuff tonight.

I've known this would be an exciting time since I booked my Christmas vacation to Chicago last Summer.

 

You're welcome.

[snow_wizard]

New post from Mark Nelsen. He sees gusts 40 to 50 mph and for betting purposes doesn't think PDX will get over a 46 mph gust.

 

https://fox12weather.wordpress.com/2015/12/20/will-there-be-a-windstorm-monday/

 

Sounds a little conservative to me.

[epiceast]

Ugh. Latest WRF is storm cancel for me The low decides to veer of the path due East around central WA and take a  jog up to Spokane and put the Palouse in the warm sector for a long time tomorrow afternoon and evening.

[MossMan]

You live in Bellingham?

No, in Arlington but my work is right at the edge of that very light green finger at the Snohomish/Skagit line just east of I-5.

[HighlandExperience]

Ugh. Latest WRF is storm cancel for me The low decides to veer of the path due East around central WA and take a  jog up to Spokane and put the Palouse in the warm sector for a long time tomorrow afternoon and evening.

 

 

You live in Moscow. You always get snow. Dont be greedy =)

[Snowman5678]

I've known this would be an exciting time since I booked my Christmas vacation to Chicago last Summer.

 

You're welcome.

I feel your pain. I wen't back to new england during the November 2010 event. Around 8" of snow at my place...I'm still bitter. 

[Timmy]

Does anyone know what the contour lines in the n Oregon coast range represent? I'm guessing 2000'?

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Tim will have 18 inches.

[Timmy]

According to the wrf by hour84 I will have 4-8" of snow on the ground

[Skagit Weather]

The WRF does show 925mb temps dropping to zero in the late afternoon tomorrow over the East Puget Sound lowlands.  With good precip intensity and deep low pressure that should be snow for even the lower hills.

 

According to the WRF snow looks pretty close on Wednesday evening as well throughout the sound. With 925mb temps a degree or two below freezing and precip rates that look to be .1-.2" per hour some places near sea level could pick up a sloppy inch.

http://www.atmos.washington.edu/mm5rt/data/2015122100/images_d3/ww_slp.75.0000.gif

http://www.atmos.washington.edu/mm5rt/data/2015122100/images_d3/ww_pcp3.75.0000.gif

[MossMan]

On this day 2yrs ago!

[Timmy]

Boy howdy, the 00z sets a big ol ridge over the west in the long range.

[Deweydog]

New post from Mark Nelsen. He sees gusts 40 to 50 mph and for betting purposes doesn't think PDX will get over a 46 mph gust.

 

https://fox12weather.wordpress.com/2015/12/20/will-there-be-a-windstorm-monday/

He's a fart smeller.

[epiceast]

You live in Moscow. You always get snow. Dont be greedy =)

Usually I'd be really happy with any amount of snow, but I just moved here and haven't seen over a foot of snow on the ground in town/lowland location since I lived in tri-cities. It would be really nice if this storm panned out so this could happen by Christmas! Right now I have 3 inches of freeze-thaw crap left.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

So will the nws mention snow in the forecast for tomorrow? Yes or no?

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

He's a fart smeller.

And he is also ugly.