Deweydog Posted December 18, 2015 Report Share Posted December 18, 2015 Then maybe close out the year with a little rain? Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted December 18, 2015 Report Share Posted December 18, 2015 Looks like more of an occlusion, which was essentially what made 12-30-03 such a benign looking overperformer. Unfortunately it's the amount of dry advection leading up to it I'm more skeptical about. Xanax por favor!  Like I said last night, it really doesn't take a ton this time of year to make things interesting. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted December 18, 2015 Report Share Posted December 18, 2015 Like I said last night, it really doesn't take a ton this time of year to make things interesting. Right, impeccable timing for us to have several marginal events and come out on the good side of them. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 18, 2015 Report Share Posted December 18, 2015 Like I said last night, it really doesn't take a ton this time of year to make things interesting.No, but it's still consequential even if you're eyeing a pretty small scale event. For instance if you can't get dew points into the 20's it's a tough game to win regardless of the sun angle. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 19, 2015 Report Share Posted December 19, 2015 Well today was my lucky day. Off topic but i own a automotive repair shop and today one of the lifts to raise the cars broke a cable! i moved out of the way just in time. been here 24 years and this is a first. Scary... Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 19, 2015 Report Share Posted December 19, 2015 Well today was my lucky day. Off topic but i own a automotive repair shop and today one of the lifts to raise the cars broke a cable! i moved out of the way just in time. been here 24 years and this is a first. Scary...  Glad you are still with us!  Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 19, 2015 Report Share Posted December 19, 2015 Glad you are still with us! Â Thanks man. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcmcgaffey Posted December 19, 2015 Report Share Posted December 19, 2015 Very intense rain/hail storm in Fremont right now just north of downtown Seattle. Checked the radar but this is much more intense than the radar shows. Very strong downburst of wind as well. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slim1357 Posted December 19, 2015 Report Share Posted December 19, 2015 Wire rope needs regular inspections. You got lucky. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 19, 2015 Report Share Posted December 19, 2015 Well today was my lucky day. Off topic but i own a automotive repair shop and today one of the lifts to raise the cars broke a cable! i moved out of the way just in time. been here 24 years and this is a first. Scary... Wow! That'll leave you a little shaky. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prairiedog Posted December 19, 2015 Report Share Posted December 19, 2015 Downtown Winthrop, just down the hill from Sun Mountain Lodge. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 19, 2015 Report Share Posted December 19, 2015 That's pretty scary. Are you checking the rest of your cables? I hope no one from OSHA reads this.Yep all 4 other lifts look perfect. They were serviced 2 years ago. Called the maker of the lift and said it must of been a bad cable. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted December 19, 2015 Report Share Posted December 19, 2015 Snoqualmie Pass just passed last year's TOTAL seasonal snowfall.  http://www.komonews.com/weather/blogs/scott/Snoqualmie-Pass-passes-last-years-entire-snow-total-by-mid-December-362959481.html 4 Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75"    Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 19, 2015 Report Share Posted December 19, 2015 Well today was my lucky day. Off topic but i own a automotive repair shop and today one of the lifts to raise the cars broke a cable! i moved out of the way just in time. been here 24 years and this is a first. Scary... Wow that's crazy. Glad you're okay. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 19, 2015 Report Share Posted December 19, 2015 I thought some people might like this. One of the best maps I've seen for lowland snowfall in Western WA. The ECMWF obviously likes the idea of an overrunning snow event around day 9. Some of this falls a couple of days earlier also.  1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies!  Winter 2023-24 stats  Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9  Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 19, 2015 Report Share Posted December 19, 2015 Snoqualmie Pass just passed last year's TOTAL seasonal snowfall.  http://www.komonews.com/weather/blogs/scott/Snoqualmie-Pass-passes-last-years-entire-snow-total-by-mid-December-362959481.html 11221284_10153488220854900_4863147946284178729_n.jpg Totally amazing and there's a lot more to come. This Nino has been good to us so far. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies!  Winter 2023-24 stats  Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9  Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 19, 2015 Report Share Posted December 19, 2015 So I got totally amped for winter weather today... I just started a second job...at the place I left 3yrs ago where I had worked for 7yrs. Worked as a full time landscaper at a senior community. Well I was part of the snow removal process during all the snowstorms from 2006 to 2013. Well I am back as very part time since I already have a full time job. Anyway I spend the day getting all the equipment ready for snow removal (which was severely neglected over the last 3yrs) got the chains and plow on the front of the mid deck mower, and the sweeper unit on the big enclosed cab mower. Can't wait!! This was 2008! 3 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 19, 2015 Report Share Posted December 19, 2015 Ground is still covered with snow here at my house. Â Â Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted December 19, 2015 Report Share Posted December 19, 2015 I thought some people might like this. One of the best maps I've seen for lowland snowfall in Western WA. The ECMWF obviously likes the idea of an overrunning snow event around day 9. Some of this falls a couple of days earlier also. That looks nice for Puget Sound area. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 19, 2015 Report Share Posted December 19, 2015 That looks nice for Puget Sound area. 10 inches in bremerton 2 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted December 19, 2015 Report Share Posted December 19, 2015 I thought some people might like this. One of the best maps I've seen for lowland snowfall in Western WA. The ECMWF obviously likes the idea of an overrunning snow event around day 9. Some of this falls a couple of days earlier also.That map shows 2 to 4 inches for the puget sound area? I pray that this verifies Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randyc321 Posted December 19, 2015 Report Share Posted December 19, 2015 10 inches in bremerton"If only we could get that lucky. It's been so long. People would be buried in Seabeck. Tahuya looks like it would see about 18". Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Winterdog Posted December 19, 2015 Report Share Posted December 19, 2015 snow_wizard, on 18 Dec 2015 - 5:44 PM, said:I thought some people might like this. One of the best maps I've seen for lowland snowfall in Western WA. The ECMWF obviously likes the idea of an overrunning snow event around day 9. Some of this falls a couple of days earlier also.That looks good. It shows me getting 6"+. Too bad it's out at day 9 and not just around the corner. Is that a Weatherbell map? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 19, 2015 Report Share Posted December 19, 2015 That map shows 2 to 4 inches for the puget sound area? I pray that this verifies East Puget Sound lowlands is more like 6 to 8. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies!  Winter 2023-24 stats  Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9  Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 19, 2015 Report Share Posted December 19, 2015 That looks good. It shows me getting 6"+. Too bad it's out at day 9 and not just around the corner. Is that a Weatherbell map?  yes...some of the snow falls a couple of days before that. Most is in the 7 to 9.5 day period. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies!  Winter 2023-24 stats  Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9  Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 19, 2015 Report Share Posted December 19, 2015 Already back down into the 30s this evening. Nice to see temps below 40 much of the time the past several days. It's worth mentioning the CFS has had a number of runs showing notable cold in the NW in Janaury. A number of runs have indicated a nationwide freeze while many others have showed the cold focused in the NW (shocking I know). An emerging theme is for anomalous warmth developing over Northern Canada with much colder anoms over the US. Interesting trend. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies!  Winter 2023-24 stats  Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9  Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 19, 2015 Report Share Posted December 19, 2015 If only we could get that lucky. It's been so long. People would be buried in Seabeck. Tahuya looks like it would see about 18".It can happen man. Been a minute since we had a good upslope event. But it can drop 2 feet or more over here in the canal with that type off pattern. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randyc321 Posted December 19, 2015 Report Share Posted December 19, 2015 It can happen man. Been a minute since we had a good upslope event. But it can drop 2 feet or more over here in the canal with that type off pattern.It will be interesting to see my first winter weather at our new house. I used to live at 375' in East Brem. Now I live basically at zero on the water. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted December 19, 2015 Report Share Posted December 19, 2015 Ground is still covered with snow here at my house.   Here too. The snow that fell yesterday was like cement, 5:1 ratios and we had a light freeze here overnight before the south wind kicked in. Getting a few mixed showers here this evening at 36F. There was some light wet snow falling above about 1000ft on my drive home. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 19, 2015 Report Share Posted December 19, 2015 Here too. The snow that fell yesterday was like cement, 5:1 ratios and we had a light freeze here overnight before the south wind kicked in. Getting a few mixed showers here this evening at 36F. There was some light wet snow falling above about 1000ft on my drive home.  That's pretty encouraging considering it will be colder next week. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies!  Winter 2023-24 stats  Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9  Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted December 19, 2015 Report Share Posted December 19, 2015 East Puget Sound lowlands is more like 6 to 8.I am east puget sound lowlands so I hope it verifies. Now this is for after christmas Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westiztehbest Posted December 19, 2015 Report Share Posted December 19, 2015 Looks like this thing has peaked. ECMWF has it near neutral by May.    The Scripps model is looking really good for next late summer/autumn leading into winter. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 19, 2015 Report Share Posted December 19, 2015 Looking back at other strong Ninos at my location... December of 1972 and January of 1973 were insane. Massive arctic blast with 8 inches of snow in early December... then very heavy rain for days on end around Christmas... then another arctic blast with 9 inches of snow in early January. It did not go above freezing here from the evening of 12/3/72 until 12/14/72.   That is crazy.  That entire progression of snow and cold and then flooding rain and then back to snow and cold was all during a strong Nino. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 19, 2015 Report Share Posted December 19, 2015 Looking back at other strong Ninos at my location... December of 1972 and January of 1973 were insane. Massive arctic blast with 8 inches of snow in early December... then very heavy rain for days on end around Christmas... then another arctic blast with 9 inches of snow in early January. It did not go above freezing here from the evening of 12/3/72 until 12/14/72.   That is crazy.  That entire progression of snow and cold and then flooding rain and then back to snow and cold was all during a strong Nino.  That was a good one alright. Goes to show it's possible. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies!  Winter 2023-24 stats  Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9  Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 19, 2015 Report Share Posted December 19, 2015 Wowzers... Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 19, 2015 Report Share Posted December 19, 2015 The Scripps model is looking really good for next late summer/autumn leading into winter. fcst_made_2015-12_for_2016-09.jpg Strong Nino to strong Nina transitions are often good for an Arctic blast the following winter. A couple of great examples are 1942-43 and 1998-99. If you consider the 1986 and 1987 Nino a major one then you could add 1988-89. Going further back into the 19th century similar examples can be found. In particular the winter of 1892-93 which featured perhaps the strongest Arctic blast ever recorded in Western WA. One of these days I have to do a post about that one. A truly amazing winter for these parts! Quote Death To Warm Anomalies!  Winter 2023-24 stats  Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9  Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 19, 2015 Report Share Posted December 19, 2015 Wowzers...image.png Thankfully the color is rapidly fading in the NW. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies!  Winter 2023-24 stats  Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9  Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 19, 2015 Report Share Posted December 19, 2015 Already back down into the 30s this evening. Nice to see temps below 40 much of the time the past several days. It's worth mentioning the CFS has had a number of runs showing notable cold in the NW in Janaury. A number of runs have indicated a nationwide freeze while many others have showed the cold focused in the NW (shocking I know). An emerging theme is for anomalous warmth developing over Northern Canada with much colder anoms over the US. Interesting trend.I haven't given up on the January 1-10 period. Would like to see more poleward momentum transport during the next AAM cycle. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 19, 2015 Report Share Posted December 19, 2015 That was a good one alright. Goes to show it's possible.  My location also had multiple snow events in December of 1997 and January of 1998 with some very heavy rain events in between.  Almost constant storms for 6 weeks.  Again during a very strong Nino.  And then you have the insanity of 1965-66. It seems that  this active pattern craziness should have been expected this year.   Not surprising at all. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 19, 2015 Report Share Posted December 19, 2015 00z GFS HR 96 low is developing a bit more slowly 2-5mb weaker than previous 3-4 GFS runs http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2015121900/gfs_z500_mslp_wpac_17.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.