Madtown Posted March 21, 2016 Report Share Posted March 21, 2016 3" of frozen precip?!?!?! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 21, 2016 Report Share Posted March 21, 2016 Those Euro txt outputs are as crazy as I've ever seen! If that would happen, it would make up for the lackluster Winter for Madtown and MKE! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted March 21, 2016 Report Share Posted March 21, 2016 KVTI bud? Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 21, 2016 Report Share Posted March 21, 2016 Looks like a 29-30° snow for the most part. Fairly wet. NAM going~ Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MKEstorm Posted March 21, 2016 Report Share Posted March 21, 2016 MKEWED 18Z 23-MAR 0.9 -1.8 1016 87 97 0.16 556 543 WED 21Z 23-MAR 0.4 -3.5 1017 89 100 0.18 556 542 THU 00Z 24-MAR 0.1 -2.7 1018 89 100 0.33 556 542 THU 03Z 24-MAR 0.0 -3.3 1019 93 100 0.15 556 541 THU 06Z 24-MAR -1.4 -4.0 1018 86 99 0.27 555 541 THU 09Z 24-MAR -1.6 -4.6 1016 82 98 0.10 553 541 THU 12Z 24-MAR -2.1 -4.8 1016 86 100 0.30 553 541 THU 15Z 24-MAR -1.6 -4.0 1014 87 98 0.14 552 541 THU 18Z 24-MAR -1.4 -3.8 1011 88 98 0.27 550 541 THU 21Z 24-MAR -1.2 -5.1 1007 89 99 0.30 548 542 FRI 00Z 25-MAR -1.5 -7.6 1006 90 99 0.71 544 539 FRI 03Z 25-MAR -1.7 -8.0 1005 90 96 0.33 541 537 FRI 06Z 25-MAR -1.7 -8.2 1005 87 93 0.45 539 535 FRI 09Z 25-MAR -2.0 -9.7 1005 86 91 0.06 537 533 FRI 12Z 25-MAR -2.4 -10.0 1007 85 91 0.10 538 533 FRI 15Z 25-MAR -1.6 -9.0 1010 78 74 0.02 542 533 FRI 18Z 25-MAR -0.5 -8.8 1013 71 57 0.02 543 533 OLUWED 18Z 23-MAR 3.0 -0.2 1007 91 97 0.06 553 548 WED 21Z 23-MAR 2.0 -2.6 1007 92 91 0.10 552 546 THU 00Z 24-MAR 0.9 -3.8 1010 90 94 0.36 551 543 THU 03Z 24-MAR -0.4 -5.4 1013 90 98 0.27 550 540 THU 06Z 24-MAR -1.4 -7.1 1014 88 100 0.41 548 537 THU 09Z 24-MAR -1.7 -7.5 1014 87 98 0.15 546 535 THU 12Z 24-MAR -2.3 -5.5 1015 85 94 0.27 545 534 THU 15Z 24-MAR -2.5 -5.6 1016 79 87 0.05 546 533 THU 18Z 24-MAR -1.0 -4.5 1016 76 46 0.05 547 534 4.43 QPF?!?!??? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEJeremy Posted March 21, 2016 Report Share Posted March 21, 2016 OMA please Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 21, 2016 Report Share Posted March 21, 2016 4.43 QPF?!?!??? I get 3.89" Edit: I got 4.1" for UGN. About 3.9" of that is frozen.I can see why the EURO is painting higher totals near the lake. For lake enhancement purposes. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted March 21, 2016 Report Share Posted March 21, 2016 SREF Plumes: MKE: Mean: 2.37Highest: 10.52Lowest: 0.00 MSN: Mean: 4.57Highest: 25.33Lowest 0.00 Majority above 5 LSE: Mean: 7.84Highest: 25.00Lowest: 0.00 Majority above 10 OSH: Mean: 7.86Highest: 19.00Lowest: 0.00 Majority above 10 GRB: Mean: 7.27Highest: 24.80Lowest: 0.00 Majority above 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted March 21, 2016 Report Share Posted March 21, 2016 SREF Plumes: MKE: Mean: 2.37Highest: 10.52Lowest: 0.00 MSN: Mean: 4.57Highest: 25.33Lowest 0.00 Majority above 5 LSE: Mean: 7.84Highest: 25.00Lowest: 0.00 Majority above 10 OSH: Mean: 7.86Highest: 19.00Lowest: 0.00 Majority above 10 GRB: Mean: 7.27Highest: 24.80Lowest: 0.00 Majority above 10Where r u again? Fond du lac? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted March 21, 2016 Report Share Posted March 21, 2016 how far out is nam? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 21, 2016 Report Share Posted March 21, 2016 NAM about the same with the initial low over Hastings at 18z Tuesday. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted March 21, 2016 Report Share Posted March 21, 2016 NAM about the same with the initial low over Hastings at 18z Tuesday. Early guess is it comes north again. HP to the north is def weaker and more north this run so far. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted March 21, 2016 Report Share Posted March 21, 2016 Yeah this is def going farther north than 18z looking at HR 51. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 21, 2016 Report Share Posted March 21, 2016 Yeah this is def going farther north than 18z looking at HR 51. The timing of the front is huge between the NAM and EURO. 6-7pm on the EURO, Midnight-1am on the NAM. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 21, 2016 Report Share Posted March 21, 2016 Precip placement looks similar so far. Freezing is a tad further south this run. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted March 21, 2016 Report Share Posted March 21, 2016 Still like msp in the end. Just not a set up that screams south to me 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 21, 2016 Report Share Posted March 21, 2016 Low doesn't poke above I-80. Sleet/zr a little closer here this run.It's the NAM in its poor range right now... Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted March 21, 2016 Report Share Posted March 21, 2016 SWEET 16!!!!!! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted March 21, 2016 Report Share Posted March 21, 2016 Upset city!!!! Notre Dame meet your fate Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 21, 2016 Report Share Posted March 21, 2016 Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MKEstorm Posted March 21, 2016 Report Share Posted March 21, 2016 Wisconsin...SWEET 16!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MKEstorm Posted March 21, 2016 Report Share Posted March 21, 2016 The low does seem to travel more west to east...and does go south of Chicago. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted March 21, 2016 Report Share Posted March 21, 2016 Nam actually takes the low south of Chicago this run Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted March 21, 2016 Report Share Posted March 21, 2016 Nam actually takes the low south of Chicago this run Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 21, 2016 Report Share Posted March 21, 2016 The low does seem to travel more west to east...and does go south of Chicago. Northward bleeding stopped - for now? Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WildWisconsinWeather Posted March 21, 2016 Report Share Posted March 21, 2016 SWEET 16!!!!!! Yep, great times for Wisconsin. Even as an MU grad, I love me some Badger basketball! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted March 21, 2016 Report Share Posted March 21, 2016 NAM trolling my county with a foot. Sweet Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted March 21, 2016 Report Share Posted March 21, 2016 Here is where the 0z NAM takes it: http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/models/nam/20160321/00Z/f84/crefptypemw.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted March 21, 2016 Report Share Posted March 21, 2016 4KM NAM is slightly SE at HR 60 and about the same strength. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted March 21, 2016 Report Share Posted March 21, 2016 4KM NAM is slightly SE at HR 60 and about the same strength.Its warmer at 850 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 21, 2016 Report Share Posted March 21, 2016 4km NAM lags the front like the 12km too. Main thing is, what model is handling the high strength correctly? Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted March 21, 2016 Report Share Posted March 21, 2016 4km NAM lags the front like the 12km too. Main thing is, what model is handling the high strength correctly?Prolly none of them. lol 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted March 21, 2016 Report Share Posted March 21, 2016 gosaints is really rooting this thing north Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted March 21, 2016 Report Share Posted March 21, 2016 gosaints is really rooting this thing northJust got feeling. Set up doesnt scream south trend to me and the 4km is warmer at 850. Nothing about that statement was false. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted March 21, 2016 Author Report Share Posted March 21, 2016 Stupid badgers. Sorry I hate them. Although I did root for them in the final four last year over Kentucky and I was lucky enough to be there in person for that one. Nobody has it tougher than the UNI Panthers though after the largest collapse in ncaa history. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted March 21, 2016 Author Report Share Posted March 21, 2016 There is still a huge gap between what the euro is showing and just about every other model. I seriously doubt we see snow as far south as what the euro is showing. Not this time of year Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 21, 2016 Report Share Posted March 21, 2016 Some interesting observations/thought from Minnesota Meso of AMWX. (randyinchamplin on this site: http://www.minnesotaforecaster.com/2016/03/a-final-hurrah-for-snow-lovers.html#comment-form ) I have been watching what the models have been showing for snowfall the last couple of days, and while the GFS has been impressive I have serious doubts if it's depiction is reality. While both the Euro and GFS look promising at the upper levels, there is a big difference in how they are handling the winds at the 850mb level, which is normally very near where the low level jet is setting up.Both models are hinting that the western GOM will be open, and I agree that it will be. Both models are also showing winds originating out of or near the Senora region being wrapped into the base of the developing 850mp low pressure system as the system starts to form on the lea side of the Rockies.So where is the difference? Both models show that the winds coming out of the western GOM will come ashore and move to the NE towards Des Moines and the Chicago area and points SE, and that is where the level moisture will reside, the air that is being sucked into the base of the developing 850mb low pressure from the SW will be dry.I believe the GFS is underplaying the 850mb winds out of the sw and placing more emphasis on the winds coming out of the GOM being ingested into the system to early, thus it strengthens it to fast and deepens it to quickly. Trust me the Euro also develops a very strong system, but it forms just slightly later when the upper level dynamics catch with the low level jet. I do suspect a historic March snowstorm will impact points SE of a line from Albert Lea to Red Wing up to the Seboygen WI area. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted March 21, 2016 Report Share Posted March 21, 2016 GFS nearly identical through HR 51. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 21, 2016 Report Share Posted March 21, 2016 GFS about an hour faster with the front on Tuesday night. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted March 21, 2016 Author Report Share Posted March 21, 2016 Gfs looks like it's sticking to its guns Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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