August 2016 Observations and Model Discussion for the Pacific Northwest

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Good points!

 

And I have to admit, I've had a soft spot for Obama since 12-20-2008. Can't forget a gift like that. 

 

Maybe he'll cement his legacy by leaving us with a white Christmas...Irony of all ironies...

[wx_statman]

September 2013 was the wettest ever and that December it hit -10 in Eugene...Hmmmm....

 

Even now its hard to believe that actually happened. 

[Kayla]

September 2013 was the wettest ever and that December it hit -10 in Eugene...Hmmmm....

 

The 12z ECMWF is showing 1.4" of precip at SEA and 1.0" at PDX over the next 10 days so we should be off to a good start this year.

[wx_statman]

Maybe he'll cement his legacy by leaving us with a white Christmas...Irony of all ironies...

 

He had his chance in 2012-13, and he blew it!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Even now its hard to believe that actually happened. 

 

It is hard to believe September 2013 happened. It shattered the monthly precip record at my location by about 4"

[BLI snowman]

Good points!

 

And I have to admit, I've had a soft spot for Obama since 12-20-2008. Can't forget a gift like that. 

 

Pissed his legacy away with 2012-13, IMO. 

[Deweydog]

I've noticed the Tim hatred has been kicked up a couple notches, at least since the last time I was a regular here. Its interesting. I don't think he's changed that much over the years. 

 

It's a few people who seem to overreact to every egg shell he intentionally steps on.  

[TT-SEA]

About time!

 

 

I know... $25 a month though.  

 

We will see how long this lasts... might be deemed an unnecessary expense.  

 

Could do $240 for an entire year and get a full year out of the deal before it can be revoked!  

[Jesse]

It's a few people who seem to overreact to every egg shell he intentionally steps on.

Tim for President!

 

But seriously though, it's mostly him.

[TT-SEA]

18Z GFS is a very troughy run!   

[wx_statman]

It is hard to believe September 2013 happened. It shattered the monthly precip record at my location by about 4"

 

That was a wild month. We had the convective heavy rain event early in the month down the valley, the 95 degree heat ridge (which teleconnected to the historic rain and flooding in Colorado on the backside), and the November-like last week of the month. My favorite memory of that month was the squall line in the afternoon of 9/28, which contributed to a two-day total of 2.69" at PDX. 

[wx_statman]

Pissed his legacy away with 2012-13, IMO. 

 

Can't argue with that! LOL

[TT-SEA]

Lots of high clouds streaming in from the north. Wonder if that will have an impact on highs today.

 

No.  

[Deweydog]

18Z GFS is a very troughy run!

Stop it, Tim!

[Jesse]

Stop it, Tim!

He has been great lately. It truly is in everybody's head.

 

Devil's advocate.

[Deweydog]

He has been great lately. It truly is in everybody's head.

 

Devil's advocate.

It's Tim. Not gonna change him.

[Jesse]

It's Tim. Not gonna change him.

Mod preview would.

 

It always works for at least a few weeks.

[TT-SEA]

It's Tim. Not gonna change him.

 

 

I only made 2 or 3 of the 15 or more posts today about sun angle!      

 

Posted about troughy runs and actual model temperature output... and reminisced about the majestic trough of early September 2015.   

 

Rough day.   Hope it rains next week!  

[MossMan]

Currently 92 over here in Coulee City...warm! But with a nice breeze!

[TT-SEA]

Currently 92 over here in Coulee City...warm! But with a nice breeze!

Same weather over here... but it will all change for arrival home tomorrow.

 

92 at SEA at 5 p.m.

[snow_wizard]

It will be interesting to see if we come up with a solidly cool September or not.  The first thrid to 1/2 sure looks to deliver.  Last September actually was pretty decent, but October decended into horror almost as bad as 2014.

 

Meanwhile we are still obviously looking to get the August monkey off our backs.

[TT-SEA]

It will be interesting to see if we come up with a solidly cool September or not.  The first thrid to 1/2 sure looks to deliver.  Last September actually was pretty decent, but October decended into horror almost as bad as 2014.

 

Meanwhile we are still obviously looking to get the August monkey off our backs.

This August is actually running warmer at SEA than last August right now.

[James Jones]

More record highs today - 86 in Bellingham, 92 in Seattle, 99 in Salem, and 98 in Eugene, and I assume the 91 in Astoria is a record too, but I'm not sure because of the WRCC's screwy data. PDX fell 3 degrees short of the 100 from 1986. This upcoming trough is going to be really nice after this stretch of record breaking late season heat.

[Deweydog]

Astoria keeps racking up the crooked stuff. First ever back to back 90's as far as I can tell.

 

Been a pretty epic nine days.

[Deweydog]

It will be interesting to see if we come up with a solidly cool September or not. The first thrid to 1/2 sure looks to deliver. Last September actually was pretty decent, but October decended into horror almost as bad as 2014.

 

Meanwhile we are still obviously looking to get the August monkey off our backs.

It's August 26th.

[wx_statman]

More record highs today - 86 in Bellingham, 92 in Seattle, 99 in Salem, and 98 in Eugene, and I assume the 91 in Astoria is a record too, but I'm not sure because of the WRCC's screwy data. PDX fell 3 degrees short of the 100 from 1986. This upcoming trough is going to be really nice after this stretch of record breaking late season heat.

 

I actually emailed them about it today. I've been noticing missing record data for a whole bunch of stations in OR and WA. Its inexplicable.

 

We'll see if they respond!

[wx_statman]

Astoria keeps racking up the crooked stuff. First ever back to back 90's as far as I can tell.

 

Been a pretty epic nine days.

 

Its funny but after 6/5 I totally thought we had blown our load for the summer.

 

Hardly.

[snow_wizard]

What a screwy day.  The push has actually begun in Hoquiam before Astoria, and Astoria's high was 5 degrees warmer than Hoquiam.  No easy trick on both counts.

[Deweydog]

Its funny but after 6/5 I totally thought we had blown our load for the summer.

 

Hardly.

This event in particular. No one, including myself, gave it much of any credit going in.

[snow_wizard]

It's August 26th.

 

We have rather outstanding model agreement on a very cool period coming up.  As we all know it can change though.

[TT-SEA]

We have rather outstanding model agreement on a very cool period coming up.  As we all know it can change though.

Same exact posts made at the start of August.

[BLI snowman]

Astoria keeps racking up the crooked stuff. First ever back to back 90's as far as I can tell.

 

Been a pretty epic nine days.

 

Need to check their censor, IMO. 

 

Thinking perhaps the Costco in Warrenton could be impacting things?

[James Jones]

I actually emailed them about it today. I've been noticing missing record data for a whole bunch of stations in OR and WA. Its inexplicable.

 

We'll see if they respond!

My guess is it will take them forever to sort it out.

 

BTW, this forum is a lot more fun to read when you're posting. Hopefully you stick around 

[wx_statman]

For those keeping score, the average high at PDX for the past 15 days has been 90.6F, with 8 days above 92.

 

Shades of the late June/early July insanity last year. 

[TT-SEA]

My guess is it will take them forever to sort it out.

 

BTW, this forum is a lot more fun to read when you're posting. Hopefully you stick around 

I agree!

 

Unbiased and a veritable treasure trove of historical data.

[Front Ranger]

Same exact posts made at the start of August.

And what is your point? What happened in August has very little bearing on September.

 

See 2015!

[wx_statman]

My guess is it will take them forever to sort it out.

 

BTW, this forum is a lot more fun to read when you're posting. Hopefully you stick around 

 

Time will tell!

[wx_statman]

I agree!

 

Unbiased and a veritable treasure trove of historical data.

 

Now you're making me blush.

 

LOL

[TT-SEA]

And what is your point? What happened in August has very little bearing on September.

See 2015!

Referencing Dewey's post. It's August 26th.

[Bryant]

It's a few people who seem to overreact to every egg shell he intentionally steps on.

Why step on them in the first place?