SilverFallsAndrew Posted August 27, 2016 Report Share Posted August 27, 2016 FWIW, the GFS brings a big one into Florida in the long range. More inline with what you are referring to. Great my kids are going to be in Florida Labor Day weekend. I better keep an eye on this... Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuffradio Posted August 27, 2016 Report Share Posted August 27, 2016 Nice reload on the 12z Euro http://i.imgur.com/j21lFBK.jpgI see the snow already! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted August 27, 2016 Report Share Posted August 27, 2016 Getting breezy out there now. Gusting close to 30mph now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted August 27, 2016 Report Share Posted August 27, 2016 I have a funny little feeling about the wave progged to move off Africa in the next few days. I'm not sure why, but my gut is telling me this one is going to do something. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
James Jones Posted August 28, 2016 Report Share Posted August 28, 2016 Midnight high at SEA today. Don't see that often this time of year. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx_statman Posted August 28, 2016 Report Share Posted August 28, 2016 Nice NW'erly surge at PDX this afternoon. Wind shift at 4 o'clock and an 8 degree temperature drop. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted August 28, 2016 Report Share Posted August 28, 2016 SEA is now at +3.2 for the month this morning. It will be interesting to see how much it falls from there through Wednesday. Second warmest August ever right now... behind 1967. But will likely fall a few spots before the month is over. As usual, big difference at OLM. +1.8 and nowhere near a record. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 28, 2016 Report Share Posted August 28, 2016 Nice NW'erly surge at PDX this afternoon. Wind shift at 4 o'clock and an 8 degree temperature drop.This afternoon was great. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx_statman Posted August 28, 2016 Report Share Posted August 28, 2016 This afternoon was great. PDX running -21 compared to yesterday @ 7pm. Feels refreshing! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Mode Posted August 28, 2016 Report Share Posted August 28, 2016 The temperature is running 20 degrees cooler tonight than last night at this time...86 to 66 now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted August 28, 2016 Report Share Posted August 28, 2016 PDX running -21 compared to yesterday @ 7pm. Feels refreshing! No doubt we have been getting some big temperature swings lately. I like that MUCH more than sustained warmth. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted August 28, 2016 Report Share Posted August 28, 2016 I haven't made my official forecast yet. I was thinking more of the lines of something in between 68/69 and 08/09 because that works out perfectly for PDX, a range of 24.2" to 34.0". Seattle got 67.5" in 68/69 and that's too much to predict something like that. As of right now if I had to make a forecast just to be on the conservative side, anywhere from 18" to 30" from PDX up to YVR. I love your line of reasoning on this. The interesting thing is you may end up being right. High chance of a good winter this time around. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted August 28, 2016 Report Share Posted August 28, 2016 As usual, big difference at OLM. +1.8 and nowhere near a record. There are so many microclimates around here that a different set of circumstances is required for different stations to achieve record or near record warm months this time of year. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 28, 2016 Report Share Posted August 28, 2016 No doubt we have been getting some big temperature swings lately. I like that MUCH more than sustained warmth. No doubt. One of the most awful aspects of the 2014-2015 period was the sustained, high-end warmth. No big spikes or crashes either way. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 28, 2016 Report Share Posted August 28, 2016 The WRF is quite bullish on cooling tomorrow for the Puget Sound area. Probably low 70s with a few upper 60s possible. Good call! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 28, 2016 Report Share Posted August 28, 2016 As usual, big difference at OLM. +1.8 and nowhere near a record. Explain Quillayute and Bellingham. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted August 28, 2016 Report Share Posted August 28, 2016 Explain Quillayute and Bellingham.He can't but who cares. Olympia is ******* awesome. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuffradio Posted August 28, 2016 Report Share Posted August 28, 2016 I hope your gut tells you that the PNW will get lots of snow/ice and sub freezing highs this Winter. I don't know of anyone but you who wants the ice. I'll take the snow though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted August 28, 2016 Report Share Posted August 28, 2016 Nice reload on the 12z Euro http://i.imgur.com/j21lFBK.jpgWe should keep the word reload out until it really matters. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted August 28, 2016 Report Share Posted August 28, 2016 Thicknesses go reasonably low for a good part of next week on the 0z GFS. Looking more sure for a pretty long run of cool weather. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted August 28, 2016 Report Share Posted August 28, 2016 I found snow! The HWY 20 drive is always so amazing! It's cold over here! 3 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted August 28, 2016 Report Share Posted August 28, 2016 We should keep the word reload out until it really matters.I agree. That term should only be used from November thru March. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted August 28, 2016 Report Share Posted August 28, 2016 Quite impressive cold front being depicted for Labor Day with thicknesses ultimately falling below 546. No way Mother Nature will magically pull positive departures out of thin air if that verifies. If the timing is correct highs in the 50s would be pretty possible on Labor Day. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 28, 2016 Report Share Posted August 28, 2016 I found snow! The HWY 20 drive is always so amazing! It's cold over here!Slate Peak! 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted August 28, 2016 Report Share Posted August 28, 2016 The WRF has trended cooler for Monday. Cool weather fans may finally be catching some breaks. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted August 28, 2016 Report Share Posted August 28, 2016 I have a funny little feeling about the wave progged to move off Africa in the next few days. I'm not sure why, but my gut is telling me this one is going to do something.Still looks like there may be a window of opportunity for the system in the gulf to blow up this week. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 28, 2016 Report Share Posted August 28, 2016 Pretty solid ensemble support for the 00z. Getting excited for the fall-like weather and some rain chances. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luminen Posted August 28, 2016 Report Share Posted August 28, 2016 Lots of trees are getting colors here already, so with the cooler weather next week it will be really Fall-like. Can't wait. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 28, 2016 Report Share Posted August 28, 2016 Playing around on WeatherBell this morning... the CFS is very warm in the west this winter. In fact the coldest month shown between now and next spring in September. Hopefully its wrong as usual. Even I want a cold winter. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 28, 2016 Report Share Posted August 28, 2016 Playing around on WeatherBell this morning... the CFS is very warm in the west this winter. In fact the coldest month shown between now and next spring in September. Hopefully its wrong as usual. Even I want a cold winter.What did the CFS show in late August 1968?? Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted August 28, 2016 Report Share Posted August 28, 2016 What did the CFS show in late August 1968??Nationwide blowtorch. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted August 28, 2016 Report Share Posted August 28, 2016 Very cool 12z run to say the least. Thicknesses below 552 over Seattle for exteneded periods of time beginning in a few days. Looks like quite a soaking coming up early next week also. It's certainly looking like a high chance the SE part of the country will be dealing with at least one tropical storm / hurricane in the coming days. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 28, 2016 Report Share Posted August 28, 2016 My thought is that we cycle through a 10-day cool, troughy period like we did in early July and then the rest of the September is dry and a little warmer than normal. Just a feeling that I am getting based on our analog years. I also think October might end up fairly warm. I welcome criticism if I am wrong. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted August 28, 2016 Report Share Posted August 28, 2016 My thought is that we cycle through a 10-day cool, troughy period like we did in early July and then the rest of the September is dry and a little warmer than normal. Just a feeling that I am getting based on our analog years. I also think October might end up fairly warm. I welcome criticism if I am wrong.July was generally cool/troughy until the 25th, dude. Note PDX/OLM/EUG all saw their coolest anomalies after July 10th, as the deepest troughing occurred during the middle of the month. The second and third weeks of July were cooler and troughier (relative to average) versus the first week of the month. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 28, 2016 Report Share Posted August 28, 2016 July was generally cool/troughy until the 25th, dude. Note PDX/OLM/EUG all saw their coolest anomalies after July 10th, as the deepest troughing occurred during the middle of the month. The second and third weeks of July were cooler and troughier (relative to average) versus the first week of the month. Great. Locally we cycled through the coolest, wettest period in the first third of the month and then it was dry and warmer than normal. My feeling is the same for September. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 28, 2016 Report Share Posted August 28, 2016 I too think it will warm up after the cold wave. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted August 28, 2016 Report Share Posted August 28, 2016 I too think it will warm up after the cold wave. But the million dollar question is how much and for how long? Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 28, 2016 Report Share Posted August 28, 2016 I too think it will warm up after the cold wave.I am saying something a little different of course. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 28, 2016 Report Share Posted August 28, 2016 But the million dollar question is how much and for how long? If I had to bet money... warmer than normal second half of September, October, and a wet/warm November. And then the fun could start. Still think best stuff is in January this year. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 28, 2016 Report Share Posted August 28, 2016 But the million dollar question is how much and for how long? Trillion dollar question is more like it. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.