ShawniganLake Posted October 15, 2016 Report Share Posted October 15, 2016 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted October 15, 2016 Report Share Posted October 15, 2016 Regardless of how this turns out in terms of intensity it's pretty neat thinking we're about to get hit by a pocket of low pressure that just 4 days ago was a super typhoon. That certainly doesn't happen very often. Hopefully it will just be a fun storm and nothing too destructive. Can't help but feel there will still be at least some lingering aspects of the origin of this system when it hits. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 15, 2016 Report Share Posted October 15, 2016 What happened to DJ? He was doing several updates a day and then just stopped! Anyway calm/dry and 49 degrees at 4:52am. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westcoastexpat Posted October 15, 2016 Report Share Posted October 15, 2016 In my experience with computers working to solve problems, the harder the problem is to solve, the longer it takes. Just throwing it out there. It's the traffic on the websites. A lot of people are model watching. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 15, 2016 Author Report Share Posted October 15, 2016 Here is the latest HRRR at 5 p.m. this evening showing wind gusts... about the same as the other models. Interesting to note that much of the West has wind gusts similar to the Seattle area at that time. In fact... look at Nevada and even from San Francisco to Sacramento and up towards the Sierras. Looks relatively calm in King County by comparison. http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/HRRR/for_web/hrrr_jet/2016101510/t1/gust_t110m_f14.png Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crf450ish Posted October 15, 2016 Report Share Posted October 15, 2016 It's the traffic on the websites. A lot of people are model watching. Ahh, bogged down server. Didn't consider that. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather101 Posted October 15, 2016 Report Share Posted October 15, 2016 Peak winds.Wow. I would see insane winds. Quote 2013/2014 Winter season Coldest Low: 14 F December 7thColdest High: 27.3 F December 7thColdest Wind chill: 5 F December 7thLowest Dew Point: -2.2 F December 6thDays below freezing: 5Total Snowfall: 11 inchesMost snowfall in a Day: 8 inchesDays With Snow: 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crf450ish Posted October 15, 2016 Report Share Posted October 15, 2016 Where is everybody? It's Saturday...... is the power out already? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather101 Posted October 15, 2016 Report Share Posted October 15, 2016 Where is everybody? It's Saturday...... is the power out already? Hung over. 1 Quote 2013/2014 Winter season Coldest Low: 14 F December 7thColdest High: 27.3 F December 7thColdest Wind chill: 5 F December 7thLowest Dew Point: -2.2 F December 6thDays below freezing: 5Total Snowfall: 11 inchesMost snowfall in a Day: 8 inchesDays With Snow: 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crf450ish Posted October 15, 2016 Report Share Posted October 15, 2016 Hung over.I feel that. Cheap beer and not enough water for me last night. ;( Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 15, 2016 Report Share Posted October 15, 2016 Where is everybody? It's Saturday...... is the power out already? Everyone waiting for the 12z's??? Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather101 Posted October 15, 2016 Report Share Posted October 15, 2016 I feel that. Cheap beer and not enough water for me last night. ;(Oh those are the worst mornings Quote 2013/2014 Winter season Coldest Low: 14 F December 7thColdest High: 27.3 F December 7thColdest Wind chill: 5 F December 7thLowest Dew Point: -2.2 F December 6thDays below freezing: 5Total Snowfall: 11 inchesMost snowfall in a Day: 8 inchesDays With Snow: 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brennan Posted October 15, 2016 Report Share Posted October 15, 2016 Feels like we just had a busted snowstorm on the forum. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brennan Posted October 15, 2016 Report Share Posted October 15, 2016 Rain creeping north. Watching the radar makes me imagine if this were an overrunning event... If only it were 20* right now http://www.atmos.washington.edu/weather/radar.shtml Even winds here are out of the NNE right now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crf450ish Posted October 15, 2016 Report Share Posted October 15, 2016 Oh those are the worst mornings Its not that bad. I paced myself haha but the lack of hydration is evident this morning. The excitement for todays storm is what motivated me to get out of bed at the hour I did. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted October 15, 2016 Report Share Posted October 15, 2016 Anyone think PDX might not see a gust over 45 mph? I think the public is going to be pretty upset about the big media blowup once this afternoon turns out to be unimpressive down here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather101 Posted October 15, 2016 Report Share Posted October 15, 2016 Its not that bad. I paced myself haha but the lack of hydration is evident this morning. The excitement for todays storm is what motivated me to get out of bed at the hour I did.Water is key when you drink but sometimes I even forget and regret it when I wake up. Quote 2013/2014 Winter season Coldest Low: 14 F December 7thColdest High: 27.3 F December 7thColdest Wind chill: 5 F December 7thLowest Dew Point: -2.2 F December 6thDays below freezing: 5Total Snowfall: 11 inchesMost snowfall in a Day: 8 inchesDays With Snow: 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 15, 2016 Author Report Share Posted October 15, 2016 Anyone think PDX might not see a gust over 45 mph? I think the public is going to be pretty upset about the big media blowup once this afternoon turns out to be unimpressive down here. Its going to be bad... people are probably going to storm government buildings and the NWS office. I would get out of town while you can. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted October 15, 2016 Report Share Posted October 15, 2016 Its going to be bad... people are probably going to storm government buildings and the NWS office. I would get out of town while you can. I knew a revolution down here just needed a spark. Pray for us. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted October 15, 2016 Report Share Posted October 15, 2016 Anyone think PDX might not see a gust over 45 mph? I think the public is going to be pretty upset about the big media blowup once this afternoon turns out to be unimpressive down here. Looking unlikely we get much over that. The 1962 comparisons from some in the media the past few days have been recklessly moronic. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted October 15, 2016 Report Share Posted October 15, 2016 Looking unlikely we get much over that. The 1962 comparisons from some in the media the past few days have been recklessly moronic.Yeah. I have been talking to people at work and people are buying into this being a big time storm. Someone up in Washington is going to get nailed pretty good, but it won't be anything super notable down here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 15, 2016 Report Share Posted October 15, 2016 Yeah. I have been talking to people at work and people are buying into this being a big time storm. Someone up in Washington is going to get nailed pretty good, but it won't be anything super notable down here.Probably why DJ quit doing his updates...I don't blame him, when Oregon was getting nailed by snow and we were high and dry up here I didn't want to post much either. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted October 15, 2016 Report Share Posted October 15, 2016 Probably why DJ quit doing his updates...I don't blame him, when Oregon was getting nailed by snow and we were high and dry up here I didn't want to post much either.Yup that sucked . Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tundra Posted October 15, 2016 Report Share Posted October 15, 2016 NWS Portland going for sustained winds of 25 to 40 mph and gust 50 to 60 mph. Let's see what happens. https://twitter.com/NWSPortland/status/787243828260458496 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tundra Posted October 15, 2016 Report Share Posted October 15, 2016 Here is what NWS Seattle is thinking for their area. https://twitter.com/NWSSeattle/status/787266115747454976 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 15, 2016 Author Report Share Posted October 15, 2016 Peak wind gust time on the WRF for most of Western WA... 8 p.m. this evening. Pretty wimpy for Seattle... not any more windy than yesterday. Looks like 40-45 mph gusts near the Sound and less for the eastern side of the Seattle area. http://www.atmos.washington.edu/wrfrt/data/current_gfs/images_d2/ww_wgsfc.15.0000.gif Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuffradio Posted October 15, 2016 Report Share Posted October 15, 2016 HRRR is saying I will be in the 60 knot range. That's insane. What was the 2006 max gusts for Stanley park? I knew a revolution down here just needed a spark. Pray for us. You will rebuild. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted October 15, 2016 Report Share Posted October 15, 2016 Bellingham is about to get blasted. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 15, 2016 Author Report Share Posted October 15, 2016 Bellingham is about to get blasted. Hurricane Ridge too! Appropriately named. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted October 15, 2016 Report Share Posted October 15, 2016 Hurricane Ridge too! Appropriately named. Ya it will get brutal up there. Love that area. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 15, 2016 Author Report Share Posted October 15, 2016 I believe the 'eye' of the storm is now visible on the coastal radar in the SW corner of its range. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted October 15, 2016 Report Share Posted October 15, 2016 Going to be an average event for us south Puget sounders ... north looks to get pounded windmaggedon style... leaf laden trees will push up power outages. Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 15, 2016 Report Share Posted October 15, 2016 Going to be an average event for us south Puget sounders ... north looks to get pounded windmaggedon style... leave laden trees will push up power outages."Leave laden"? Come on man, that's terrible. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted October 15, 2016 Report Share Posted October 15, 2016 So winds in seattle proper aren't going to be bad? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 15, 2016 Report Share Posted October 15, 2016 The operational GFS shows this being a real dud for Seattle. The WRF has the track more to the east, but still only a marginal high wind event for Seattle. The central and north WA Coast look to get hammered though as well the north interior and southern Vancouver Island. Looks like Point Roberts could have some serious damage if the WRF is correct. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 15, 2016 Author Report Share Posted October 15, 2016 So winds in seattle proper aren't going to be bad? No. Typical fall storm for Seattle. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted October 15, 2016 Report Share Posted October 15, 2016 The operational GFS shows this being a real dud for Seattle. The WRF has the track more to the east, but still only a marginal high wind event for Seattle. The central and north WA Coast look to get hammered though as well the north interior and southern Vancouver Island. Looks like Point Roberts could have some serious damage if the WRF is correct.Problem is what model to believe? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted October 15, 2016 Report Share Posted October 15, 2016 No. Typical fall storm for Seattle.So like 40 to 45 mph gusts? Can cancel hotel reservation. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 15, 2016 Report Share Posted October 15, 2016 Its going to be bad... people are probably going to storm government buildings and the NWS office. I would get out of town while you can. The funny thing is that actually happened in Seattle in January 1909. People were so pissed off about the prolonged cold and snow and an earthquake in the midst of all that they took up arms and blocked the exits of the Weather Bureau building and wouldn't let people leave. If only weathermen had as much control over the weather as people thought back then! 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted October 15, 2016 Report Share Posted October 15, 2016 There is a pretty decent eastern gradient building up through the gorge now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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