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November 2022 PNW weather Discussion. #NoRidgeNovember

Iceresistance

By Iceresistance
in West of the Rockies

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Posted by smerfylicious,

A nice day for a newborn. Here's bellevue from a delivery room. I'll keep yall posted

Congrats!!!

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Posted by SouthHillJimmy,

Long time lurker here, decided to make an account and interact. This week will definitely be one hell of a ride!

Welcome Jimmy!

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snow_wizard Grand Master

snow_wizard

Posted
Posted
2 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

This is something interesting the gfs picked up on the 00z last night with the low sliding south of the Puget sound region we never fully moderate here from the first shot before the next round starts. Cold air is always harder to scour out than the models too so this could be a pretty good scenario…but hopefully it doesn’t impact the longer range prospects like the 00z last night and is like the 06z. This mornings run is even a bit further south with the low than the 06z. 

Indeed.  The GFS hangs onto the cold pretty much continuously between the two.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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smerfylicious
smerfylicious

A nice day for a newborn. Here's bellevue from a delivery room. I'll keep yall posted

SilverFallsAndrew
SilverFallsAndrew

Ummm we had our first freeze… School delay, and 1.5” of snow. 

MossMan
MossMan

Phantom snow has begun! 

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bainbridgekid Veteran

bainbridgekid

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, Gradient Keeper said:
IF only the EURO follows this later. We would not be able to contain ourselves, and I'd probably pee a little. Who are we kidding. A LOT.

Our pee would freeze before it hit the ground if this absurdity verified. 

 

sfct.us_state_wa.png

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Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation)

Snow since February 2019: 91"

2023-24: 6"

2022-23: 17.5"

2021-22: 17.75"

2020-21: 14.5”

2019-20: 10.5"

2018-19: 24.75"

 

 

 

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snow_wizard Grand Master

snow_wizard

Posted
Posted

A high of 21 for SEA next Friday.  Let's lock this in!

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  • Shivering 5

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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snow_wizard Grand Master

snow_wizard

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, MillCreekMike said:

Are these the coldest temperature maps we’ve ever seen within one week of the possible event? I know Jan 2020 was close.

This is up there.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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snow_wizard Grand Master

snow_wizard

Posted
Posted
Just now, SnarkyGoblin said:

Wtf.  How can things be so wrong and it's only a week off? I would be curious what the new gfs shows around this time.

 

We need somebody to look at that.  I don't know how to find it.

  • Like 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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snow_wizard Grand Master

snow_wizard

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, SnarkyGoblin said:

Wtf.  How can things be so wrong and it's only a week off? I would be curious what the new gfs shows around this time.

 

This with assumed heavy snow cover.  That makes a big difference.

  • Like 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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snow_wizard Grand Master

snow_wizard

Posted
Posted

The cold hangs on well for Portland and just a tad south.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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snow_wizard Grand Master

snow_wizard

Posted
Posted
Just now, ShawniganLake said:

Yea. -6F in Everett. I’m not sure what’s wrong with the gfs surface temp output but it’s bogus 

I would be happy with +6 to be honest.  That could be doable.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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snow_wizard Grand Master

snow_wizard

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, Timmy said:

Gem is nice 

2D80BFEC-2786-4525-BB40-906B23DE1511.png

This is getting very real now.

  • Shivering 4

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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snow_wizard Grand Master

snow_wizard

Posted
Posted

It snows 2 or 3 inches on Saturday and then plunges to single digits Saturday night.  

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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TacomaWx Grand Master

TacomaWx

Posted
Posted

Gem doesn’t look too far off from what the gfs is showing either. It’s further north with that low next week which transitions Seattle south to rain but transitions back and everywhere in western Wa gets hit. Little more snow south of Seattle later in the week but too early to really focus on anything past Wednesday next week at this point. 

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