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Winter 2016 Medium to Long Range Discussion; 5+ days out


hlcater

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Interesting talk from DVN....

 

 

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Monday) ISSUED AT 326 PM CST Mon Mar 6 2017

 

Forecast focus on very high winds and extreme/dangerous grass fire conditions for Tuesday and Wednesday. Otherwise, major pattern change with winter roaring back with the potential for several snowstorms within the next 10 days.

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Hey, look! Another thing that's going to miss us  :angry: 18z GFS looks about right for here for any wishcasters, but the rogue 9" for just North of Lincoln is really sketchy and is a huge outlier. Hope things trend West, but even then we'd still probably look at an inch of slush.

http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2017030618/156/snku_acc.us_c.png

Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather.

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DSM will go from a Tornado Threat today into a Winter Storm by Saturday.

I do love the wild weather swings here! If memory serves, the DSM airport had a tornado hit the air guard base in the afternoon back in November 2015, and then like five hours later was reporting snow! Made national headlines, I believe in USA Today, so basically to the many hotels that seem to be that papers only subscribers! But that was a wild day!

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I think the only chance we have of stopping the snow streak in Chi-town will be in the Monday-Tuesday time frame next week(maybe an inch or two at the most with this system). After that i honestly believe the weather will be on the rebound and that will be the last snow we will see in these parts till next winter.

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Maybe

 

It looks cold for the next two weeks or so

 

12z euro has 2 snowstorms in the extended yet

Lock it in.... Hopefully doesnt take it away from you as fast as the GFS did..

 

EPS control/ mean braeks the pattern next wednesday/thursday.... Plus 25 yesterday should pull a plus 12 today

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The pattern for the second half of March is favorable for plenty of bowlers.  Similar to what happened in January when we had several bowling ball systems that traversed west/east underneath a southern Canadian block.

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Idk bout wintry pattern but its been very up n down lately. 70s 20s snow, tstorms

Volatile is almost certain in March and the way this pattern has been acting all season long.  I saw a map that had a mean snowfall of close to 12"+ for NE/N IA/N IL/S MI on north.  Just curious if that was the most recent run last night.

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My extended outlook tempwise is frigid. My highs stay below freezing for 5 or 6 straight consecutive days and lows are extremely cold with single digits. February did not even get this cold. Some records are likely to be broken.

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN Insane!

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024: Trace

Season So Far: 26.7"

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