December 2016 Observations and Model Discussion for the Pacific Northwest

[TT-SEA]

I will never catch up with Tim s snow now... I ll need to beat him with a cold low. I do great with radational cooling here so maybe!!! I hit 2 in December 13, 13 in February 14, and 11 in January 2013

 

 

The right pattern comes along and you can pass me up in one night.   

[BLI snowman]

wow, that good?

 

Ice chunks in Columbia.

[MossMan]

Hmmm what snow cover??

Tim's.

[Jesse]

Ice chunks in Columbia.

Plz verify!!!!

[TT-SEA]

Definitely a better shot here at snow on Sunday night on the 00Z WRF.  

[Goducks09]

Ice chunks in Columbia.

 

You're joking.  We haven't seen that since the 90's

[Phil]

wow, that good?

Yeah it was good.

 

And much to fat squirrel's dismay, the AO was notably lower this run versus 18z. Me thinks it matters.

[MossMan]

Definitely a better shot here at snow on Sunday night on the 00Z WRF.

You will have snow on the ground until April! You have a big house, perhaps Jim could move in with you for the winter?

[SilverFallsAndrew]

The right pattern comes along and you can pass me up in one night.

True, like a March 2012

[TT-SEA]

You will have snow on the ground until April! You have a big house, perhaps Jim could move in with you for the winter?

 

 

I have seen 2 feet of snow disappear here in one day... back in December 2007.

[BLI snowman]

Hmmm what snow cover??

 

Frozen swamp will be fun regardless.

[MossMan]

I have seen 2 feet of snow disappear here in one day... back in December 2007.

I don't think you will loose all of it this time before Sunday's fresh blanket.

[The Swamp]

Those must be frost men. That's why they are so small.

Us swamp people make mud puddle men.

[DRG]

Anemometer has been frozen since 1:00 today. Rain gauge is full of bullet proof "snow". And the ice coated thermodohickey is reading a ground breaking half a degree above freezing since the first time in quite some time! Freezing rain FTW!

[Goducks09]

I remember watching KATU in '96 (maybe?), and Steve Dunn reporting ice chunks floating down the Columbia.  I was 12 years old and remember being mesmerized by the power of the Columbia Gorge and it's incredible impact on Portland's microclimate.  Still fascinates me to this day.

[luvssnow_spokane]

Tim's.

Lol!! Oh yeah!!! Hey we will have a lot of frozen lakes and rivers to play on. A winter wonderland!

[MossMan]

Us swamp people make mud puddle men.

Be sure to take pics of everyone mud skating on the frozen bogs!

[Jesse]

Lol!! Oh yeah!!! Hey we will have a lot of frozen lakes and rivers to play on. A winter wonderland!

Keep up the great posts. Everybody loves this stuff!!

[TT-SEA]

I don't think you will loose all of it this time before Sunday's fresh blanket.

 

 

No... hoping to keep some of it and then a couple inches on top on Sunday going into the cold.  

[luvssnow_spokane]

Frozen swamp will be fun regardless.

Sure. Amazing what you can do with pure ice. Beautiful!

[Jesse]

I've been waiting years for a run like the 00z to verify. Old school prolonged cold period (there will most likely be snow scattered in there too...details). Feels too good to be true.

[luvssnow_spokane]

Keep up the great posts. Everybody loves this stuff!!

Thanks! That one was just for you... I know you eat that stuff up.

[luvssnow_spokane]

Be sure to take pics of everyone mud skating on the frozen bogs!

Lol... I tried to like this but I was out. Dang!!

[Jesse]

Just jumped in the car and noticed a positive windshield splat test...

[luvssnow_spokane]

I've been waiting years for a run like the 00z to verify. Old school prolonged cold period (there will most likely be snow scattered in there too...details). Feels too good to be true.

Honestly, besides all my snowless griping I will admit it is truly amazing. So I am looking forward to it. I am just being a bit of a disgruntled pill. I do hope it verifies .

[TT-SEA]

Just jumped in the car and noticed a positive windshield splat test...

 

 

Did you pull over just now to type this post?  

[Deweydog]

What kind of surface temps are we looking at in NW Oregon next weekend based on the 00z? Assuming the strong Gorge outflow from a snow covered basin?

Looks similar to December 2013.

[luminen]

Took some pics today in North Vancouver while it was snowing.

[epiceast]

Over 3" here, 2" tonight finally a wave that didn't get destroyed by downsloping. Still getting moderate/heavy snow. 

[BLI snowman]

00z GFS ensembles are certainly impressive, big improvement 

 

[Phil]

I've been waiting years for a run like the 00z to verify. Old school prolonged cold period (there will most likely be snow scattered in there too...details). Feels too good to be true.

Don't look at the Canadian.

[Timmy Supercell]

The rain is so lovely tonight. i want it to continue until tomorrow. It looks like I could get an inch or more out of this, if the moderate rain continues. 

[Heavy Snow]

King GooFuS?

 

Nope, that belongs to the EURO.

[Front Ranger]

Did you pull over just now to type this post?  

 

He wasn't going anywhere. Just jumped in the car so he could do a windshield test. Duh.

[Geos]

Few more pics from about 3pm this afternoon. 32 degree rain continues here.

 

 

[Goducks09]

Whiskey on the rocks, 00z ECMWF and the 00z GFS while the girlfriend watches reruns of Friends is my new Friday night.  When did I become this???

[SilverFallsAndrew]

An interesting note. I feel the chances of a torch between now and New Years are very remote. Most of our Januaries that had major cold snaps had a major torch either before or after (At least down here), good examples are 1924, 1972, 2013, 1990, 1998, 2009, 2013. All those months at SLE had a 60/48 55/50 type stretch of at least a few days. Some even a week or more of torching. I don't see that this month, so we have a chance at a really solid month. 

[Jesse]

Did you pull over just now to type this post?

Waited to start driving.

[TT-SEA]

He wasn't going anywhere. Just jumped in the car so he could do a windshield test. Duh.

 

 

I have done that.   

[Heavy Snow]

The updated run of the 00z UKMET sends the Tuesday system into the Oregon/California border. Gets cold at day 6.

 

http://img.meteocentre.com/models/ukmet_amer_00/GZ_D5_PN_072_0000.gif

 

http://img.meteocentre.com/models/ukmet_amer_00/GZ_D5_PN_096_0000.gif

http://img.meteocentre.com/models/ukmet_amer_00/GZ_D5_PN_144_0000.gif