TT-SEA Posted December 18, 2016 Report Share Posted December 18, 2016 12Z GFS coming in way colder for Christmas Eve compared to the 00Z run. Also drier... but there is a chance of some lowland snow in a c-zone Friday. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted December 18, 2016 Report Share Posted December 18, 2016 12z continues to show a white Christmas or close to it, for many Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brennan Posted December 18, 2016 Report Share Posted December 18, 2016 Where are the skagit county folk? Looks like its dumping there. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 18, 2016 Report Share Posted December 18, 2016 12z GFS WAY better for later in the week. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 18, 2016 Report Share Posted December 18, 2016 Wow... 12Z GFS would be an absolute dream come true for many of us on Christmas morning. Cold offshore flow and snow! http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2016121812/gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_29.png Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 18, 2016 Report Share Posted December 18, 2016 Wow... 12Z GFS would be an absolute dream come true for many of us on Christmas morning. Cold offshore flow and snow! http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2016121812/gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_29.pngYuppie tantrums work! Science prevails once again! Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 18, 2016 Report Share Posted December 18, 2016 Thank you Lord GFS. At face value snow on the valley floors about Woodburn north to the north pole...And above about 500-1000' pretty much everywhere else...Fantastic one run trend! Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted December 18, 2016 Report Share Posted December 18, 2016 Still have 4-5" of snow here. Roads are completely covered to about 200' elevation. Lots of ice on side roads in town since Thursday. This has been a pretty long event just nw of Portland. It's actually getting pretty annoying. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 18, 2016 Report Share Posted December 18, 2016 Yuppie tantrums work! Science prevails once again! Fingers crossed!! Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 18, 2016 Report Share Posted December 18, 2016 Still have 4-5" of snow here. Roads are completely covered to about 200' elevation. Lots of ice on side roads in town since Thursday. This has been a pretty long event just nw of Portland. It's actually getting pretty annoying. My sister and her family are just arriving in your area this morning to visit in-laws. Where is this camera located in relation to highway 26? http://jamesgilbertco.com/weather/netcam.jpg Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted December 18, 2016 Report Share Posted December 18, 2016 My sister and her family are just arriving in your area this morning to visit in-laws. Where is this camera located in relation to highway 26? http://jamesgilbertco.com/weather/netcam.jpgI'm not sure where that is. Looks like 26 is probably de iced. Side roads a slick as heck for a least a couple more hours Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted December 18, 2016 Report Share Posted December 18, 2016 12z NAM keeps any precip from Snohomish county northward through about 6PM tonight. 14z HRRR keeps pretty much the whole area dry through 8PM. 12z GFS holds the precip off until after 10PM. Nothing like consistency.Wasn't expecting today too be so dry. A bit dissapointing Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parksvillewx Posted December 18, 2016 Report Share Posted December 18, 2016 No snow falling here. Looks like YVR is getting slammed with snow though. They've done quite well in the past 10 days. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 18, 2016 Report Share Posted December 18, 2016 Long term GFS gets cold too Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 18, 2016 Report Share Posted December 18, 2016 Heading to see my daughter sing in the Christmas play, sunny skies and 10 degrees at 11am Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted December 18, 2016 Report Share Posted December 18, 2016 As others have mentioned, 12z GFS is much better for next weekend. Most of the below falls Saturday night/Sunday.Someone kept their wxbell account Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted December 18, 2016 Report Share Posted December 18, 2016 Wow... 12Z GFS would be an absolute dream come true for many of us on Christmas morning. Cold offshore flow and snow! http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2016121812/gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_29.pngYou do realize that is rain for most of us right? Can't just look at the pretty colors there Tim Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted December 18, 2016 Report Share Posted December 18, 2016 Hopefully all the bullsh*t evens out by winters end... some people just continue to get lucky Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted December 18, 2016 Report Share Posted December 18, 2016 Hopefully all the bullsh*t evens out by winters end... some people just continue to get lucky I understand your frustration. At this point it is nice to see we are not going to torch next weekend, but I'm not sure snow is possible anymore in Puget Sound. It be nice to even things out just a little. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westcoastexpat Posted December 18, 2016 Report Share Posted December 18, 2016 No snow falling here. Looks like YVR is getting slammed with snow though. They've done quite well in the past 10 days. Yup, a little over 2" now This may be our fourth 4" event in a 2-week period. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crf450ish Posted December 18, 2016 Report Share Posted December 18, 2016 http://www.spaceweather.com Sunspot number: 0 What is the sunspot number?Updated 18 Dec 2016Spotless DaysCurrent Stretch: 2 days2016 total: 28 days (8%) 2015 total: 0 days (0%) 2014 total: 1 day (2013 total: 0 days (0%)2012 total: 0 days (0%)2011 total: 2 days (2010 total: 51 days (14%)2009 total: 260 days (71%)Updated 18 Dec 2016 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather101 Posted December 18, 2016 Report Share Posted December 18, 2016 Over 2 inches here Quote 2013/2014 Winter season Coldest Low: 14 F December 7thColdest High: 27.3 F December 7thColdest Wind chill: 5 F December 7thLowest Dew Point: -2.2 F December 6thDays below freezing: 5Total Snowfall: 11 inchesMost snowfall in a Day: 8 inchesDays With Snow: 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luminen Posted December 18, 2016 Report Share Posted December 18, 2016 Today is a much better set up for snow here than the previous ones. 28F and lightly snowing with 2" so far. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather101 Posted December 18, 2016 Report Share Posted December 18, 2016 Heavy snow Quote 2013/2014 Winter season Coldest Low: 14 F December 7thColdest High: 27.3 F December 7thColdest Wind chill: 5 F December 7thLowest Dew Point: -2.2 F December 6thDays below freezing: 5Total Snowfall: 11 inchesMost snowfall in a Day: 8 inchesDays With Snow: 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather101 Posted December 18, 2016 Report Share Posted December 18, 2016 Snow! Y'all like that milk jug I put there? I wanna see if it gets buried Hahahah Quote 2013/2014 Winter season Coldest Low: 14 F December 7thColdest High: 27.3 F December 7thColdest Wind chill: 5 F December 7thLowest Dew Point: -2.2 F December 6thDays below freezing: 5Total Snowfall: 11 inchesMost snowfall in a Day: 8 inchesDays With Snow: 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 18, 2016 Report Share Posted December 18, 2016 I've managed to bury a stick of Juicy Fruit during our two snow events so far. Hoping to bury a whole pack during the late January ridiculousness. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted December 18, 2016 Report Share Posted December 18, 2016 Pretty boring day out in the central Puget Sound area. FIltered sunshine. "#wastedcoldagain Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather101 Posted December 18, 2016 Report Share Posted December 18, 2016 I've managed to bury a stick of Juicy Fruit during our two snow events so far. Hoping to bury a whole pack during the late January ridiculousness.Good luck Quote 2013/2014 Winter season Coldest Low: 14 F December 7thColdest High: 27.3 F December 7thColdest Wind chill: 5 F December 7thLowest Dew Point: -2.2 F December 6thDays below freezing: 5Total Snowfall: 11 inchesMost snowfall in a Day: 8 inchesDays With Snow: 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 18, 2016 Report Share Posted December 18, 2016 Pretty boring day out in the central Puget Sound area. FIltered sunshine. "#wastedcoldagain Actually mostly sunny here right now... way nicer today than I expected. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Farmboy Posted December 18, 2016 Report Share Posted December 18, 2016 All these collapsing models, too bad they couldn't just just collapse in reverse. For instance, taking away this impending warm up and rain event and collapsing into a huge snowstorm and prolonged cold-wave.... Quote "Avoiding unwanted weather is a key element of happiness." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luminen Posted December 18, 2016 Report Share Posted December 18, 2016 All these collapsing models, too bad they couldn't just just collapse in reverse. For instance, taking away this impending warm up and rain event and collapsing into a huge snowstorm and prolonged cold-wave.... It would be nice but that isn't the climate we live in. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swamp Posted December 18, 2016 Report Share Posted December 18, 2016 Beautiful sunny day in the swamp. 36 degrees after our half hour flurry storm yesterday. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 18, 2016 Report Share Posted December 18, 2016 12Z ECMWF is cold again by Friday with lowland snow in spots in c-zones... and a good dump of snow here on Friday night. And shows snow showers and cold on Christmas Eve. Perfect! Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westcoastexpat Posted December 18, 2016 Report Share Posted December 18, 2016 12Z GFS gives metro Vancouver an 8" snowstorm throughout the day on Christmas 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 18, 2016 Report Share Posted December 18, 2016 12Z ECMWF shows an 850mb temp of -7C to -8C and a 925 temp of -3C over Seattle on Christmas morning. Any snow that falls later in the week will not be melting on Christmas. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted December 18, 2016 Report Share Posted December 18, 2016 12Z ECMWF shows an 850mb temp of -7C to -8C and a 925 temp of -3C over Seattle on Christmas morning. Any snow that falls later in the week will not be melting on Christmas.Nice trends in the models for Christmas this morning. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted December 18, 2016 Report Share Posted December 18, 2016 Just occasional flurries here this morning. 1/4" accumulation. I'm in the snow shadow of the Vancouver island mountains with this setup. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 18, 2016 Report Share Posted December 18, 2016 EURO ALERT? Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 18, 2016 Report Share Posted December 18, 2016 12z Ensembles were OK, not great. No real improvement. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 18, 2016 Report Share Posted December 18, 2016 Funky pattern on the Euro. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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