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12/10-12/12 Plains/Midwest/Lakes Weekend Snowstorm


Tom

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LOT's discussion regarding radar trends in E IA and expected trends overnight:

 

 

 

Initial region of warm-advection forced light snow overspread the
region late this afternoon as anticipated, with heavier (mainly
moderate) snowfall within a region of frontogenetically-forced
northwest-southeast bands. Recent radar trends show this banding
has weakened and lifted northeast across southeast WI, Lake
Michigan and northern IN at this time. However, 00Z DVN sounding
depicts a fairly deeply saturated column with nice veering wind
profile signature associated with strong warm-advection. Within
this region of persistent upglide, latest high-res guidance
continues to support regeneration of transient f-gen banding which
should continue to result in periods of moderate or greater
intensity snowfall. While we`re currently in a lull in radar
returns especially across the western parts of the cwa, stronger
returns are blossoming across portions of eastern IA, and would
expect an uptick in coverage and intensity later this
evening/overnight as forcing and moisture advection persist. With
the first band working to moisten initially dry low-levels, will
likely see additional bands more efficient in lowering vis and
producing heavier snow, and latest RAP soundings suggest a decent
period of deeper dendritic growth after 05-06Z.

Initial bands of snow have produced 2+" of new snow in many spots
across the warning area, which is in line with going forecast
amounts through 06Z. Thus not inclined to make any big changes at
this time, with expected redevelopment and increase in snow
coverage and intensity later tonight.
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I dunno Tom, sure looks like we're going to get missed by the remainder of this first wave. Seems too far north. S WI looks to do well.

2-3" locally thus far ain't bad, if we can get a few more by morning I'll be happy before it ramps up later tomorrow.

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We had light to at times moderate snow here all day long. Now have a total of 8.75" on the ground. The snow here is very fluffy and thus very easy to move. Still getting light snow but the flack size is now much smaller.

Had LES until 5 pm, winds went calm, by 10 pm the system snow had moved in so a whopping 5 hr break in flakes flying. That's NMI wx right. there! ☺

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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GRR update worried this could over-perform and require an upgrade. Speechless. Are they totally out to lunch that office?

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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Still snowing here. I haven't gone outside yet but my guess is about 4" so far with some heavier returns out west to push through yet. Should be close to 6" by the time it's done.

 

Gonna be some disappointed people in Chicago when they wake up based on the reports. Doesn't look like they got close to what was forecasted....so far.

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Still snowing here. I haven't gone outside yet but my guess is about 4" so far with some heavier returns out west to push through yet. Should be close to 6" by the time it's done.

 

Gonna be some disappointed people in Chicago when they wake up based on the reports. Doesn't look like they got close to what was forecasted....so far.

Only sitting at about 3-4" hasn't snowed much at all since 8pm. Im just west of chicago.

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