January 2017 Observations and Model Discussion for the Pacific Northwest

[Timmy]

End result is still a very quick changeover on Saturday.

to ZR or rain?

[luvssnow_spokane]

to ZR or rain?

mainly rain up here... Not sure about down there with el gorgeO

[Deweydog]

to ZR or rain?

Looks like it could be a fairly long period of freezing rain near Portland.

[Kayla]

Dang it Kayla, if you are moving you are going to have to post in the Mountain West thread because no one wants to hear about how its snowing at your place in September. 

 

Im gonna lose my upper west hills PIC!

 

Yeah or June for that matter! May and June are decently snowy months there as the moisture becomes a bit more abundant then with cold air lingering. Snow in June will be a bit odd though I must say.

 

Looking forward to joining Flatiron and others over on the Mountain West thread!

[Deweydog]

Remember when that big blue bowling ball offshore was gonna be our reload? That was fun.

[Kayla]

to ZR or rain?

 

Yeah ZR... At least a 0.5" or so of it.

[TT-SEA]

This is a prime example of you being an a** Tim. It isn't like you are taking someone to task, but much like some of your other posts, you make these statements like some petulant child with some kind of grudge against a fellow third grader.

 

 

Ridiculous.

 

We make forecasts... passionately.      Going back and scoring the results without insults should be completely acceptable.    It certainly happens to me when I make a bad forecast.  In fact... Phil went back in May and found my post from February to tell me that I busted.   And that appeared to be the case at the time.   I was not offended at all.   But it ended up being mostly right.      

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Remember when that big blue bowling ball offshore was gonna be our reload? That was fun.

 

Fun while it lasted. 

[TT-SEA]

Some lowland snow is back on the 12Z ECMWF for the northern areas (even down to King County) by next Monday afternoon after a robust and rainy warm up on Saturday night into Sunday.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Does day 10 of the GEM have any chance in hell of verifying? 

[HighlandExperience]

[Deweydog]

Does day 10 of the GEM have any chance in hell of verifying?

Yes.

[Front Ranger]

Yeah or June for that matter! May and June are decently snowy months there as the moisture becomes a bit more abundant then with cold air lingering. Snow in June will be a bit odd though I must say.

 

Looking forward to joining Flatiron and others over on the Mountain West thread!

 

Likewise! We certainly could use more posters. 

[TT-SEA]

Map or it's not real

 

 

Gets even further south overnight Monday.

 

48-hour snow totals through Tuesday morning...looks great for Vancouver Island as well.  

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Gets even further south overnight Monday.

 

48-hour snow totals through Tuesday morning...looks great for Vancouver Island as well.  

 

 

Looks like 2-4" for "My Location."

[Deweydog]

Quite lovely out.

 

No wind and in the sun it doesn't even feel all that cold.

[TT-SEA]

And it continues during the day on Tuesday as well... here is the next 12 hours after the map above.

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

And it continues during the day on Tuesday as well... here is the next 12 hours after the map above.

 

 

Wow. Pretty solid, snow level near Sea Level up there, about 1000' down in NW Oregon.

[Deweydog]

Visible satellite is pretty interesting this morning with respect to snow cover.

[luvssnow_spokane]

Wind Advisory just issued for my area on Weds. 20 to 35 gusts to 55mph. I have yet to have one of these verify this year but maybe this time.

[BLI snowman]

Quite lovely out.

 

No wind and in the sun it doesn't even feel all that cold.

 

I'm currently picnicking in the shade without a jacket or gloves. Near the gorge.

[Deweydog]

I'm currently picnicking in the shade without a jacket or gloves. Near the gorge.

Twilight location?

[catnip]

Euro VS GFS

 

 

 

 

[Deweydog]

Funny.

 

The Euro at day 9 looks kind of like today.

[TT-SEA]

And then a major snowstorm on the 12Z ECMWF for late Tuesday and Wednesday!

 

[BLI snowman]

Twilight location?

 

Yes.

 

I'm heading up to Forks later to experience those -8c 850mb temps.

[MossMan]

Visible satellite is pretty interesting this morning with respect to snow cover.

Can you see PuyallupJon blowing a hairdryer on his thermometer from up that high?

[luvssnow_spokane]

And then a major snowstorm on the 12Z ECMWF for late Tuesday and Wednesday!

 

Doubtful... Not buying it!

[TT-SEA]

Total snow from Saturday - Thursday.

 

[Jesse]

Quite lovely out.

 

No wind and in the sun it doesn't even feel all that cold.

Tim?

[Deweydog]

Doubtful... Not buying it!

Whoa!!!

[Deweydog]

Can you see PuyallupJon blowing a hairdryer on his thermometer from up that high?

No... Just Jim's huge burning pentagram in his backyard.

[MossMan]

Doubtful... Not buying it!

Its the Euro...wouldn't entirely discount it. 

[MossMan]

No... Just Jim's huge burning pentagram in his backyard.

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[SilverFallsAndrew]

The EURO and the GEM keep things interesting the next 7-10 days... The GFS says **

[Deweydog]

That is awesome. The Euro at 10 looks like a repeat of the current evolution. Split northerly flow converging to the north and about to send energy into the GOA as the Alaskan block reemerges.

[HighlandExperience]

Total snow from Saturday - Thursday.

 

Mmm maybe snowmizer was on to something last night.

[Deweydog]

Tim?

That's what makes the funny.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Mmm maybe snowmizer was on to something last night.

 

That map shows at least a foot here...I'll buy!

[Jesse]

That is awesome. The Euro at 10 looks like a repeat of the current evolution. Split northerly flow converging to the north and about to send energy into the GOA as the Alaskan block reemerges.

At least the cold keeps coming back this winter. Still seeing no signs of a prolonged mild period.