Jesse Posted February 21, 2017 Report Share Posted February 21, 2017 Unless a similar to match 2012 setup happens. Pdx is done for snow this winter. This is just my opinion. No need to get all scientific or Jesse like on me.I will take it as a compliment that scienfitic and Jesse-like are synonyms. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 21, 2017 Report Share Posted February 21, 2017 Really looking like a pretty dull coolish pattern the next 5-7 days. Nothing really notable. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 21, 2017 Report Share Posted February 21, 2017 00z teasing again with that departing low Monday Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 21, 2017 Report Share Posted February 21, 2017 Really looking like a pretty dull coolish pattern the next 5-7 days. Nothing really notable.At least February will end up solidly below average. Legit! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 21, 2017 Report Share Posted February 21, 2017 At least February will end up solidly below average. Legit!At PDX and the gorge. About average or even above most other places in Oregon. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted February 21, 2017 Report Share Posted February 21, 2017 That low sliding south seems to end up doing a 180 and comes back around heading NE. 18z showed it first I believe. Barely misses us. http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2017022100/gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_25.png http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2017022100/gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_26.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 21, 2017 Report Share Posted February 21, 2017 At PDX and the gorge. About average or even above most other places in Oregon. Wow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 21, 2017 Report Share Posted February 21, 2017 Wow. IMG_9290.PNGDidn't believe me did you!!!! Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted February 21, 2017 Report Share Posted February 21, 2017 The 0z GEM is pretty wacky, the Friday low takes the familiar southward track but then rolls around bombs out and head right back up into WA. It actually ends up with a pretty promising looking gradient in spite of this. http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem/2017022100/gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_27.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
epiceast Posted February 21, 2017 Report Share Posted February 21, 2017 Above average pattern for NW, but melting snow cover in the Basin is clearly responsible for a lot of negative departures. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted February 21, 2017 Report Share Posted February 21, 2017 Wow. IMG_9290.PNG Too bad it doesn't include the small pocket of red that would be showing up over Victoria Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted February 21, 2017 Report Share Posted February 21, 2017 GEM wants a MossMan special: http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem/2017022100/gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_28.png 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted February 21, 2017 Report Share Posted February 21, 2017 GEM wants a MossMan special: http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem/2017022100/gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_28.pngI bet mossman gets dumped on. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 21, 2017 Report Share Posted February 21, 2017 Above average pattern for NW, but melting snow cover in the Basin is clearly responsible for a lot of negative departures. The Puget Sound Basin? I think the cool pattern has just favored northern areas. Kind of like January's pattern but just shifted north several hundred miles. Unless you believe the cold in January was entirely snow cover driven too. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Karl Bonner Posted February 21, 2017 Report Share Posted February 21, 2017 Wow. IMG_9290.PNG Maybe the flowers in The Dalles will bloom 6 weeks later than Eugene this year??? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted February 21, 2017 Report Share Posted February 21, 2017 I bet mossman gets dumped on.He's ready for sun and warmth Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 21, 2017 Report Share Posted February 21, 2017 I bet mossman gets dumped on. What a shame. He just got out the riding lawnmower too. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 21, 2017 Report Share Posted February 21, 2017 Yikes the 00z sucks! Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted February 21, 2017 Report Share Posted February 21, 2017 Yikes the 00z sucks!You seem surprised 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 21, 2017 Report Share Posted February 21, 2017 You seem surprised The MJO lost its mojo. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
epiceast Posted February 21, 2017 Report Share Posted February 21, 2017 The Puget Sound Basin? I think the cool pattern has just favored northern areas. Kind of like January's pattern but just shifted north several hundred miles. Unless you believe the cold in January was entirely snow cover driven too.Outside of the Columbia basin and a small spot in NW montana everything is at a small negative anomaly. So yeah snow cover in the basin in February played a role. Climatologically speaking, there shouldn't be consistent snowcover south of Waterville plateau in February(sun angles!!!!). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
epiceast Posted February 21, 2017 Report Share Posted February 21, 2017 Yikes the 00z sucks!Good snowstorm for Missoula!(144 hours away) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted February 21, 2017 Report Share Posted February 21, 2017 The MJO lost its mojo.Lol, not what I was going for Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted February 21, 2017 Report Share Posted February 21, 2017 Bye winter. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 21, 2017 Report Share Posted February 21, 2017 Bye winter.You just made the list, bud. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 21, 2017 Report Share Posted February 21, 2017 Still some pretty good ensemble MEMBERS! Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted February 21, 2017 Report Share Posted February 21, 2017 The 12z ECMWF isn't terrible. I like that it has Friday's low stronger and a bit closer to the coast than the GFS does, that could work out well for a few places (probably much of the East Vancouver Island, but still a bit far to benefit Victoria and the mainland). The phasing of the polar jet and the cutoff low will be interesting to watch. I still see some potential for the Sunday-Monday timeframe. It's crazy how much of a repeating theme these cutoff lows rolling into a trough have been this winter. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 21, 2017 Report Share Posted February 21, 2017 You just made the list, bud. Are you throwing a goodbye party for winter? Am I invited? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted February 21, 2017 Report Share Posted February 21, 2017 The 0z NAVGEM also runs north with the low on Sunday/Monday. It's still a long shot but with outflow and a cool airmass already well established it makes for some interesting possibilities. http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/navgem/2017022100/navgem_mslp_pcpn_nwus_27.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave Posted February 21, 2017 Report Share Posted February 21, 2017 I think the Eugene Chamber of Commerce must have installed a special rain gauge. There's no way this is accurate. It has poured here all month. Including right now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 21, 2017 Report Share Posted February 21, 2017 I think the Eugene Chamber of Commerce must have installed a special rain gauge. There's no way this is accurate. It has poured here all month. Including right now. SLE is up to about 12.50" now. They got that record in their sights! Pretty amazing PDX and SLE possibly break 1996 with no major flooding. And something is up with the EUG gauge, that has been pointed out by Justin I believe. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 21, 2017 Report Share Posted February 21, 2017 The 06z GFS was very good. Best ensemble suite yet. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 21, 2017 Report Share Posted February 21, 2017 Are you throwing a goodbye party for winter? Am I invited?Of course I am. It was a good winter and it deserves recognition. 2-28, 7pm to 12am at the 99th street Applebees. Come dressed as your favorite piece of snow removal equipmemt. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 21, 2017 Report Share Posted February 21, 2017 GEM alert Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
epiceast Posted February 21, 2017 Report Share Posted February 21, 2017 GEM alertpost a map Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 21, 2017 Report Share Posted February 21, 2017 Still some pretty good ensemble MEMBERS!'Member March 2012? I 'member. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 21, 2017 Report Share Posted February 21, 2017 http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem/2017022112/gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_25.png Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakeinthevalley Posted February 21, 2017 Report Share Posted February 21, 2017 Another 1.3" last 24hrs. Up to 13.5". Do I hear 14"? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuffradio Posted February 21, 2017 Author Report Share Posted February 21, 2017 post a mapYou can go here http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/and click Global, then CMC. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 21, 2017 Report Share Posted February 21, 2017 Some wet snow mixing in Mostly snow now. 36 degrees. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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