Money Posted February 20, 2017 Report Share Posted February 20, 2017 btw GFS will be south of 18z. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 20, 2017 Report Share Posted February 20, 2017 Without a doubt. Has had a different solution the last 4 runs Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 20, 2017 Report Share Posted February 20, 2017 Looks pretty warm Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted February 20, 2017 Report Share Posted February 20, 2017 Weak sauce, even though its 1mb stronger at 114. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 20, 2017 Report Share Posted February 20, 2017 GEM still on the north side of things but it def. shifted SE some. HR 120 has a 993 L in centrall IA Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 20, 2017 Report Share Posted February 20, 2017 Weak sauce, even though its 1mb stronger at 114.Not as weenie for sure... Similar track Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted February 20, 2017 Report Share Posted February 20, 2017 Not as weenie for sure... Similar trackStill a nice hit down there for sure. One thing that has been consistent on the models is a nasty gradient in the northern edge. Not a good place to be. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 20, 2017 Report Share Posted February 20, 2017 Still a nice hit down there for sure.For sure... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 20, 2017 Report Share Posted February 20, 2017 0z GFS: http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2017022000/132/snku_acc.us_mw.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 20, 2017 Report Share Posted February 20, 2017 Totals in the jack zone backed off a good 8 inches Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 20, 2017 Report Share Posted February 20, 2017 GEM HR 102: http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem/2017022000/gem_mslp_pcpn_us_17.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 20, 2017 Report Share Posted February 20, 2017 Totals in the jack zone backed off a good 8 inches There's some places in west/central WI that get 18-20 or so. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 20, 2017 Report Share Posted February 20, 2017 GEM ends up tracking it to Milwaukee or so. Different path than GFS but same outcome overall: http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem/2017022000/gem_mslp_pcpn_us_20.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 20, 2017 Report Share Posted February 20, 2017 There's some places in west/central WI that get 18-20 or so. Oh so 4-6 there then Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted February 20, 2017 Report Share Posted February 20, 2017 The totals on this run are much more realistic than the ridiculous totals that have been showing up for days. Regardless the path overall has been pretty consistent all weekend. Yes some variation north/south but not drastic. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 20, 2017 Report Share Posted February 20, 2017 Oh so 4-6 there then GEM hits you pretty good. 10-12+. Looks decent for over here as well, 6-8 ish. Much farther south than 12z Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 20, 2017 Report Share Posted February 20, 2017 GEM hits you pretty good. 10-12+. Looks decent for over here as well, 6-8 ish. Much farther south than 12z So my milwaukee landmark was on point. Although ggem eventually spins it to green bay Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 20, 2017 Report Share Posted February 20, 2017 So my milwaukee landmark was on point. Although ggem eventually spins it to green bay Yeah, it looks like it occludes and spins around the area for a bit. Milwaukee looks like a decent call tho so far. A lot of ball game left Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted February 20, 2017 Report Share Posted February 20, 2017 GFS still has the secondary system next Sunday. Good hit for my area. That won't last Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 20, 2017 Report Share Posted February 20, 2017 GFS still has the secondary system next Sunday. Good hit for my area. That won't last Everyone east of NE gets pretty much 6+ inches of snow over the next week on this run. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 20, 2017 Report Share Posted February 20, 2017 Yeah, it looks like it occludes and spins around the area for a bit. Milwaukee looks like a decent call tho so far. A lot of ball game left The back and forth makes the runs interesting.. Just hope it doesnt turn into a lame a** turd 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 20, 2017 Report Share Posted February 20, 2017 The back and forth makes the runs interesting.. Just hope it doesnt turn into a lame a** turd Especially when you are on the edge. Sharp edge on both sides Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 20, 2017 Report Share Posted February 20, 2017 GEM ensembles are still way south of the OP. Something's gotta give on that. HR 120: http://weather.gc.ca/data/ensemble/images/2017022000_054_E1_north@america_I_ENSEMBLE_pnm@moy_120.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 20, 2017 Report Share Posted February 20, 2017 That being said...here's the GEM snow map: http://maps3.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ggem/2017022000/138/snku_acc.us_mw.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 20, 2017 Report Share Posted February 20, 2017 Ukie (2nd best model statistically) still feeling the south camp: http://img.meteocentre.com/models/ukmet_amer_00/GZ_D5_PN_120_0000.gif Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted February 20, 2017 Report Share Posted February 20, 2017 UK still way way south Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bellona Posted February 20, 2017 Report Share Posted February 20, 2017 With UK being south and GEM being north...I say split the difference and u get close to gfs track. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 20, 2017 Report Share Posted February 20, 2017 Ukie (2nd best model statistically) still feeling the south camp: http://img.meteocentre.com/models/ukmet_amer_00/GZ_D5_PN_120_0000.gifFeeling?? Hell that would be exhaust in your backyard... Ukie solid 500 mb inside of 72 hours right? At the surface it doesnt do as well Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steblow Posted February 20, 2017 Report Share Posted February 20, 2017 Hopefully Euro brings it up to Lake Winnebago. And- Hopefully come tomorrow night we have a little tighter cluster of track Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 20, 2017 Report Share Posted February 20, 2017 Hopefully Euro brings it up to Lake Winnebago. And- Hopefully come tomorrow night we have a little tighter cluster of track missed you. how you been Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steblow Posted February 20, 2017 Report Share Posted February 20, 2017 missed you. how you been ups and downs of life.. you know...yeah we had some good times..wx boards are not the same. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 20, 2017 Report Share Posted February 20, 2017 ups and downs of life.. you know...yeah we had some good times..wx boards are not the same. I hear ya. What ever happened to wisconsinwx or w/e his name was? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steblow Posted February 20, 2017 Report Share Posted February 20, 2017 I hear ya. What ever happened to wisconsinwx or w/e his name was? work and ballroom dancing.. and the wx has been as eventful as the NBA All Star Game over the last 3 yrs here. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 20, 2017 Report Share Posted February 20, 2017 work and ballroom dancing.. and the wx has been as eventful as the NBA All Star Game over the last 3 yrs here. game tonight was a joke but Giannis Crazy to see Cousins get traded right after tho Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 20, 2017 Report Share Posted February 20, 2017 Feeling?? Hell that would be exhaust in your backyard... Ukie solid 500 mb inside of 72 hours right? At the surface it doesnt do as well Not sure, I just remember seeing a chart showing it had the 2nd best verification scores. Out of 21 GFS ensembles I count 4 that are NW of the OP. Several really don't have a storm and the others look like UKIE/GEM ensembles. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 20, 2017 Report Share Posted February 20, 2017 Canadian loves snow. Nothing new there Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 20, 2017 Report Share Posted February 20, 2017 Not sure, I just remember seeing a chart showing it had the 2nd best verification scores. Out of 21 GFS ensembles I count 4 that are NW of the OP. Several really don't have a storm and the others look like UKIE/GEM ensembles.The cluster at 114 supports the op. At that point at least 9 that would be north and west of the op with other very similar. Ya the ones out in pennsylvania are gonna skew the mean a bit. I think your best bet is more of a bowling ball once the low reaches certain latitude which is probably a possibility Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 20, 2017 Report Share Posted February 20, 2017 The cluster at 114 supports the op. At that point at least 9 that would be north and west of the op with other very similar. Ya the ones out in pennsylvania are gonna skew the mean a bit I'm looking at the snowfall maps for each run. There's several that actually crush eastern IA/Chicago good. Most of the maps are southeast of OP with a few being NW and 3 members showing 2 inches at best. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 20, 2017 Report Share Posted February 20, 2017 Im feeling pretty good where Im at. Kinda middle of all the possibilities right now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 20, 2017 Report Share Posted February 20, 2017 Euro similar to past runs. Low tracks into eastern WI or so. 10-12+ for eastern MN Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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