February 23rd-25th Winter Storm Potential

[Snowlover76]

Nice snowhe over SE NE

[gosaints]

The ukie decided to join the rest of the world

[Tony]

The ukie decided to join the rest of the world

It was just a matter of when and not if. Looks like a stormy setup for a couple weeks so enjoy the snow!

[St Paul Storm]

The ukie decided to join the rest of the world

Where does it have the low moving through? Wasn't it C IL yesterday?

 

Edit: looks now like NW IL. Quite the jump.

[Steblow]

U trying to push this NW.  Money rooting hard for SE.  U r gonna win

 

It just needs a little nudge!  If it does than I have to drive 6hrs nw.  Really would enjoy rooting with money more.  I'd like a nice 2 week stretch IMBY  but that doesnt look to be in the cards for winter outdoor activities.

 

snowmobile trails will be down to mud before the storm up there so i need to be in a 6-12" warning to even think about going up.. 3-6"  wont cut it.

[hlcater]

I'd bet on a NW trend, seems to have been the theme so far this season.

[Money]

GGEM looks good for here

[jaster220]

wish this big baby would just wrap up and go nuclear... we need another ghd lite storm somewhere.... most of us in the southern and eastern lakes are out of it so lets just see how strong and north we can get this system.

 

..and have been all winter - #LAME!

[St Paul Storm]

12z GEFS mostly NW compared to 6z. Looks like a little more spread though as well.

[Steblow]

GGEM looks good for here

 

 

Just in time to tell me the euro is south...and only nuisance snow for far NW WI

[NEJeremy]

I think it's usually Bud that has the Euro snowfall maps, but can someone post last night's 0Z Euro? Thanks in advance

[gosaints]

Canadian Kuchera...

 

http://maps3.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ggem/2017022012/138/snku_acc.us_mw.png

[Tony]

Canadian Kuchera...

 

http://maps3.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ggem/2017022012/138/snku_acc.us_mw.png

Keeping it under 1" to keep the streak going for ORD.

[james1976]

Gosaints gets crushed on every run by every model. Definitely gonna be your party.

[gosaints]

Gosaints gets crushed on every run by every model. Definitely gonna be your party.

That fat lady doesnt sing at 100 hours

[Steblow]

gem had so much potential for nw wi lol..   almost get more back home... sigh

[Steblow]

That fat lady doesnt sing at 100 hours

 

Think I've been following this one since it first showed up in why bother even look land.. Details obv are still verry muddled but the gfs really honed in on a storm in the upper MW and kept it for it has to be from at least 240 hrs out.

[Steblow]

might have to bunk at moneys place for this storm.

[Tom]

might have to bunk at moneys place for this storm.

I'd ask for a room at GoSaints place... ...or go hardcore like "Grizzcoat" does when he sets up a winter tent in the Northwoods of Minny...

[Tom]

12z GEFS are nearly identical to 06z/00z from last night.  Take a SLP track from KC/N MO/N IL/SC MI

[Tom]

They are showing a decent wrap around defo band potential...

 

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs-ens/2017022012/gfs-ens_apcpn24_us_18.png

[james1976]

Yup gosaints and st paul storm lookin primed right now

[Steblow]

I'd ask for a room at GoSaints place... ...or go hardcore like "Grizzcoat" does when he sets up a winter tent in the Northwoods of Minny...

 

in a way id rather it miss the brunt of the snow in nw wi.. id like to get back up ice fishing also and a foot of snow on top of deteriorating ice is a real bad scenario setting up.

[Steblow]

need geos back.. he was the chicago crews magnet.

[james1976]

GEFS consistently keeping me in the game

[St Paul Storm]

Euro south it looks like thru hr 96 and weaker. Surprise!!

[Money]

Euro is se

[Steblow]

yeah compromise coming.. euro will be a pile of nothing for both my locations.. been my biggest fear with this one..  was a storm a couple 3 weeks ago that split the goal post of both cities.

[Tom]

need geos back.. he was the chicago crews magnet.

Right??!!  He got a job out west in OR I believe and wouldn't ya know it, they just have been getting crushed all season.

[Tom]

Euro trended towards the GFS/GEFS with track...SE CO/N MO thru 96HR...

[gosaints]

Euro weaker slightly se. Probably over amping that northern stream wave as it has all season

[Steblow]

was hoping it would track more like last night to moneyman and be stronger than the weaker showing it had last night..  BUT - kinda knew it almost had to at least nudge south and it did...tough to get the perfect storm where you want it...my new snowblower hasn't been used once this winter.

[Jaycee]

Does anyone have the EURO snowfall maps? I wish it wasn't so freaking difficult to get a hold of them. I'd really love to see what it's putting out for this one.

 

Additionally, models are certainly not in our favor right now w/ the NW trend. Any chance this thing amplifies quicker out west and gets the "bowling ball" West to East type of movement and cuts further E?

[jaster220]

need geos back.. he was the chicago crews magnet.

 

ur poster name/location are cracking me up every time I see 'em! :lol:

[Steblow]

I want a peter weber hard left turner to green bay.. unfortunately  those fantasy gfs blizzards for ashland are long gone

[Tom]

Bud may be back in the game!  He threw in the towel on Saturday...doh!

[Steblow]

I wonder how the next events down the pipeline can screw milwaukee and chicago.. I havent seen any measurable snow here since before Christmas. albeit ive been out of town for 4 weeks but i didnt miss much at all.

[gosaints]

Hey only about 66 hours from a good sample

[Grizzcoat]

[Steblow]

tonight will be interesting to see if the models can start to stay a little more stable with their current ways of concocting their storm.  Sadly I don't have a great feeling I can money man my way to  warning snows in ashland anymore.

 

Need back up plans lol.