GDR Posted March 8, 2017 Report Share Posted March 8, 2017 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted March 8, 2017 Report Share Posted March 8, 2017 Nam is northNorth? The low is near mexico Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snoorani Posted March 8, 2017 Report Share Posted March 8, 2017 Snow is north compare to other models Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted March 8, 2017 Report Share Posted March 8, 2017 He is right, snow shield is farther north but it is the 84hr NAM and it will correct itself over time. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted March 8, 2017 Report Share Posted March 8, 2017 He is right, snow shield is farther north but it is the 84hr NAM and it will correct itself over time. There really is no snow shield though. It's really light and weak. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted March 8, 2017 Report Share Posted March 8, 2017 There really is no snow shield though. It's really light and weak.Pixie dust on the that run Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted March 8, 2017 Report Share Posted March 8, 2017 GFS still pretty strong for central and western Iowa into south central IA. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gimmesnow Posted March 8, 2017 Report Share Posted March 8, 2017 Seems NAM is no crack, but how far north? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted March 8, 2017 Report Share Posted March 8, 2017 Euro says what storm? http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf/2017030800/096/sfcmslp.conus.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted March 8, 2017 Report Share Posted March 8, 2017 The last snowstorm taught us that NAM is not necessarily the most trustworthy model at times in terms of amounts or track, ESPECIALLY track. Had Northeast Nebraska getting next to nothing until about 24 hours before it started, and they got slammed. So yeah, it probably needs a bit of time to update. Still not encouraged that we'll get much. Maybe a whopping inch on grass. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted March 8, 2017 Report Share Posted March 8, 2017 Euro has no storm at this point. Just a clipper-like thing. Max amount ~7" in Central SD. Omaha ~2, Lincoln dusting. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 8, 2017 Author Report Share Posted March 8, 2017 12z NAM...whiff for LNK/OMA as the band sets up to the north.  Hits S IA pretty good.  Trending towards a non-event for the majority of our posters.  Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 8, 2017 Author Report Share Posted March 8, 2017 06z GFS...still gives those some hope in E NE... http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2017030806/090/snku_acc.us_c.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 8, 2017 Author Report Share Posted March 8, 2017 12 GFS pretty similar to previous run.  Weenie band hugging the NE/IA border... http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2017030812/084/snku_acc.us_c.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FarmerRick Posted March 8, 2017 Report Share Posted March 8, 2017 Less for Lincoln, a bit more for Northern Missouri in the 12z run EDIT:  Darnit, Tom beat me to it by 1 minute....   http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2017030812/084/snku_acc.us_c.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted March 8, 2017 Report Share Posted March 8, 2017 Definitely would love a Western trend, but yeah, not getting my hopes up with that. Let's see if Euro treats us poorly again, if so I'll be about ready to throw in the towel with this system. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted March 8, 2017 Report Share Posted March 8, 2017 Looking at the Lincoln forecast, OAX seems to be buying into the more vigorous models, giving us snow much of Friday night and up until 2pm on Saturday. I can only hope at this point Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 8, 2017 Author Report Share Posted March 8, 2017 Looking at the Lincoln forecast, OAX seems to be buying into the more vigorous models, giving us snow much of Friday night and up until 2pm on Saturday. I can only hope at this point Going to be a hard forecast.  How did the Euro look? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted March 8, 2017 Report Share Posted March 8, 2017 The max snowfall on 12z euro is like 1-2 inches in southern Iowa. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted March 8, 2017 Report Share Posted March 8, 2017 Going to be a hard forecast.  How did the Euro look?2" Between OMA and LNK, 4" in Northeast NE. For Iowa, shows 3" amounts in a diagonal, thin line from NW to SE Iowa. Overall unimpressive, but I'll take anything for our least snowfall record to not be shattered. An interesting thing, it wallops much of Iowa with the early week storm system next week, giving some areas in North Central parts of the state 6-8" from that storm system. South Dakota too. Goose egg for here. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrianJK Posted March 8, 2017 Report Share Posted March 8, 2017 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted March 8, 2017 Report Share Posted March 8, 2017 Let me get this straight, we went from lots of snow to pixie dust? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEJeremy Posted March 8, 2017 Report Share Posted March 8, 2017 18Z still a good hit for areas right along the river in Iowa/Nebraska. Going to be close which I hate... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FarmerRick Posted March 9, 2017 Report Share Posted March 9, 2017 Jim Flowers just called for 5-6 for Omaha via facebook video. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted March 9, 2017 Report Share Posted March 9, 2017 Good pinning the band location down its like 2 counties wide Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 9, 2017 Author Report Share Posted March 9, 2017 RPM paints 7" for OMA and 4" for KC where the heaviest axis sets up. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted March 9, 2017 Report Share Posted March 9, 2017 0z GFS:Â http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2017030900/066/snku_acc.us_mw.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andrew NE Posted March 9, 2017 Report Share Posted March 9, 2017 I don't know if I'm buying the juiced up totals on the GFS, this thing is going to be moving pretty quick. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted March 9, 2017 Report Share Posted March 9, 2017 I don't know if I'm buying the juiced up totals on the GFS, this thing is going to be moving pretty quick.Money is posting Kuchera ratios. Always juiced. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted March 9, 2017 Report Share Posted March 9, 2017 Thats a tight band. Geez. Someone will prolly cash big though.Whats that 1-2 weenie band skating thru S MN and S WI from? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted March 9, 2017 Report Share Posted March 9, 2017 With a little 20 mile nudge West LNK could look at advisory criteria. Not as good as warning criteria but I'll take anything with how pathetic this Winter has been. Another thing is that for most of us, the ratio should not outrageously large at all (at least not compared to our 12/3 snowfall, which was 6:1). Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted March 9, 2017 Report Share Posted March 9, 2017 I hate the 00z Euro run. 4" from Norfolk-Omaha with a sharp cutoff the farther SW you go. Iowa gets a miniscule amount. Trace=.5" for LNK. Congrats to anyone in SW/SC Missouri if Euro verifies. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 9, 2017 Author Report Share Posted March 9, 2017 12z NAM showing similar placement compared to the GFS of the heaviest band.  Showing an intense 1-2"/hr weenie band near OMA. 10:1 ratios... http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/namconus/2017030912/namconus_asnow_ncus_19.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaycee Posted March 9, 2017 Report Share Posted March 9, 2017 HOLY CURVEBALL!!! 12z GFS now bullseyes Lincoln. Showing 6"+ for the entire city down through Falls City area. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 9, 2017 Author Report Share Posted March 9, 2017 HOLY CURVEBALL!!! 12z GFS now bullseyes Lincoln. Showing 6"+ for the entire city down through Falls City area.That was a great run for you guys! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 9, 2017 Author Report Share Posted March 9, 2017 Close up... http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2017030912/054/snku_acc.us_c.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 9, 2017 Author Report Share Posted March 9, 2017 Gabe back in the mix...and LNK posters... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaycee Posted March 9, 2017 Report Share Posted March 9, 2017 Gabe back in the mix...and LNK posters...Wow, really close call actually. Looked like LNK got smoked from instantweathermaps. Regardless that heavy snow band splits the city on the dot almost. I'm liking the chances down here, we had something similar a few years ago and got clocked in Lincoln. Hoping for the best, despite me being out of town this weekend XD Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted March 9, 2017 Report Share Posted March 9, 2017 Gotta see how 12z Euro treats us. Then again, this wouldn't be the first time this Winter that Euro has completely screwed up (flashback to the great disappearing snowstorm of December 2016). OAX still not necessarily on board with higher totals, then again, can we blame them? Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FarmerRick Posted March 9, 2017 Report Share Posted March 9, 2017 Does anyone expect the westward trend in the track to continue? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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