Gradient Keeper Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 I suspect the EPS will diverge from the ECMWF no later than Day 7. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 My Turn 00z EPS Day 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 Day 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nov1985 Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 00z ECMWF 850T's are very warm late in the run. But a good sign for later is the solid Kona low proposed in this run. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 Day 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 11 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: Day 10 2000-01 pattern if I ever saw one. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 Day 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 Day 5 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nov1985 Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 3 minutes ago, Nov1985 said: 00z ECMWF 850T's are very warm late in the run. But a good sign for later is the solid Kona low proposed in this run. Bonus: Look at the low level cold easterly wind streaming out of the mouth of the Columbia into the Pacific ocean in this animation. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 Day 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 Day 7 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 14 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: 2000-01 pattern if I ever saw one. I was wondering if anyone remembers a pattern like that. Good information. 1 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 The rain is just a touch warmer tonight. 35F. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 2 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said: Day 7 @Gradient Keeperis this primed for retro or? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 Day 8 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ice_is_Everywhere Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 What was the 2000-01 winter like? I was way too young to remember it. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeepFriedEgg Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 00z EPS is just a touch warmer than 12z 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 3 hours ago, BLI snowman said: Spokane has a similar streak going with 3226 days since their last high below 13 (2/5/14). Next longest streak was 1839 days from December 1998 to January 2004. Not shockingly, the two are majorly linked (). A pretty direct reflection of the lack of major upper level airmasses recently and more pointedly, a major lack of low level cold air advection into Eastern WA and the Basin, which in turn supplies Portland. Kind of funny considering the lowest high here last December was 17F and I think of my area as slightly closer to the ocean and generally warmer in the winter than Spokane. 1 Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 Day 9 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 Day 10. Too bad our fox didn't make it 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 1 minute ago, Kolk1604 said: Day 10. Too bad our fox didn't make it Nice NNE flow 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 10 Day surface anomalies 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 1 minute ago, Kolk1604 said: 10 Day surface anomalies Mega low level cold. How do 850s look? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 2 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: Mega low level cold. How do 850s look? Here's thru Day 11. A lot better than the Op 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 11 minutes ago, Ice_is_Everywhere said: What was the 2000-01 winter like? I was way too young to remember it. Overall. Pretty forgettable. It got chilly for a while in mid December 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 Day 11 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 Day 12 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 Just now, Kolk1604 said: Day 11 Nice long wave pattern. Short waves are the weather makers and the ensembles won’t pick those up at this range. It could get interesting 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 Day 13 Edit: Whoops almost Day 13 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 Pattern looks excellent on the EPS 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 Potential very snowy. Wow. Fun model riding ahead! Night Shift 6z GFS in 1 hour 50 minutes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 2 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: Potential very snowy. Wow. Fun model riding ahead! Night Shift 6z GFS in 1 hour 50 minutes Yup. Day 13 Snow totals 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 Day 14 2 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 Incredible persistence with that block. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 15 Day Surface temps and snow totals. Most of the snow falls at the end when temps are colder 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 Day 15 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 That was one amazing EPS run in terms of prolonged cold. Colder runs ahead! MBG! 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 I think our chances of a white christmas look good 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 (edited) Major ensemble improvement for this weekend. Wtf lol Edited December 8, 2022 by SouthHillFrosty 3 1 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 When the deterministic let's you down but it's ok bc the ensembles got your back 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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