TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 5, 2017 Report Share Posted November 5, 2017 This low track is not a track you want for PDX snow, anytime of year.Gonna be a real bummer if this is a persistent pattern. I at least want some Arctic air at some point but I'm not holding my breath. If it doesn't freeze here in the next 48 hrs who knows when it will? Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 5, 2017 Report Share Posted November 5, 2017 Gonna be a real bummer if this is a persistent pattern. I at least want some Arctic air at some point but I'm not holding my breath. If it doesn't freeze here in the next 48 hrs who knows when it will? Sometime this winter. Why is a freeze really so important right now anyways? Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted November 5, 2017 Report Share Posted November 5, 2017 Gonna be a real bummer if this is a persistent pattern. I at least want some Arctic air at some point but I'm not holding my breath. If it doesn't freeze here in the next 48 hrs who knows when it will?Please stop repeating this post. Thank you. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted November 5, 2017 Report Share Posted November 5, 2017 Gonna be a real bummer if this is a persistent pattern. I at least want some Arctic air at some point but I'm not holding my breath. If it doesn't freeze here in the next 48 hrs who knows when it will? It's only early November. SEA always does better in November events. 2 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted November 5, 2017 Report Share Posted November 5, 2017 Gonna be a real bummer if this is a persistent pattern. I at least want some Arctic air at some point but I'm not holding my breath. If it doesn't freeze here in the next 48 hrs who knows when it will?Patience... best winter I expercienced seemed like there wouldn’t be a winter until a week or so into December. Then 2008 happened. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted November 5, 2017 Report Share Posted November 5, 2017 Outflow winds have been increasing thru the evening but no low level cold has reached Vancouver Island from it, temps have warmed thru the evening. I’m not at home currently, but here at sea level it’s mostly rain. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DareDuck Posted November 5, 2017 Report Share Posted November 5, 2017 Please stop repeating this post. Thank you.This. He’s been told repeatedly it’s only early November and we’ve seen a post resembling this about this particular storm several times. Really gets old. Quote Bend, ORElevation: 3550' Snow History:Nov: 1"Dec: .5"Jan: 1.9"Feb: 12.7"Mar: 1.0"Total: 17.1" 2016/2017: 70"2015/2016: 34"Average: ~25" 2017/2018 Winter TempsLowest Min: 1F on 2/23Lowest Max: 23F on 12/24, 2/22Lows <32: 87Highs <32: 13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DareDuck Posted November 5, 2017 Report Share Posted November 5, 2017 It’s like VIS and TWL are cousins. Only VIS is worried about the drought and TWL is worried about a freeze. 1 Quote Bend, ORElevation: 3550' Snow History:Nov: 1"Dec: .5"Jan: 1.9"Feb: 12.7"Mar: 1.0"Total: 17.1" 2016/2017: 70"2015/2016: 34"Average: ~25" 2017/2018 Winter TempsLowest Min: 1F on 2/23Lowest Max: 23F on 12/24, 2/22Lows <32: 87Highs <32: 13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 5, 2017 Report Share Posted November 5, 2017 Basically no lowland snow on the 00Z WRF for the Seattle area through tomorrow afternoon. We don't even have its unrealistic eye candy this time like we had on Friday. This would have been a fun track with a cold central WA basin. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted November 5, 2017 Report Share Posted November 5, 2017 Basically no lowland snow on the 00Z WRF for the Seattle area through tomorrow afternoon. We don't even have its unrealistic eye candy this time like we had on Friday. We need the GEM to come through for us. Let us bow our heads in prayer. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted November 5, 2017 Report Share Posted November 5, 2017 We need the GEM to come through for us. Let us bow our heads in prayer. If you need lower res maps to come through for you, you are in for a lot of disappointment. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted November 5, 2017 Report Share Posted November 5, 2017 Basically no lowland snow on the 00Z WRF for the Seattle area through tomorrow afternoon. We don't even have its unrealistic eye candy this time like we had on Friday. This would have been a fun track with a cold central WA basin. Probably about right... But then there is the GEM. Decisions, decisions... Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted November 5, 2017 Report Share Posted November 5, 2017 Probably about right... But then there is the GEM. Decisions, decisions... I'd just be happy with a slushy inch of accumulation. A good appetizer Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted November 5, 2017 Report Share Posted November 5, 2017 precipitation is noticeably heavier now. I think I see snow mixing in! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 5, 2017 Report Share Posted November 5, 2017 I'd just be happy with a slushy inch of accumulation. A good appetizer I saw some slushy snow on the Highlands web cam yesterday. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted November 5, 2017 Report Share Posted November 5, 2017 I saw some slushy snow on the Highlands web cam yesterday.Yea I’d like a bit more this time Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 5, 2017 Report Share Posted November 5, 2017 Like I said a couple weeks ago... If I don't get a major snowstorm by Veteran's Day, this climate can go **** itself Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 5, 2017 Report Share Posted November 5, 2017 Like I said a couple weeks ago... If I don't get a major snowstorm by Veteran's Day, this climate can go **** itself I heard that Mark is thinking about getting that fork out! Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 5, 2017 Report Share Posted November 5, 2017 Gonna be a real bummer if this is a persistent pattern. I at least want some Arctic air at some point but I'm not holding my breath. If it doesn't freeze here in the next 48 hrs who knows when it will? I think everyone is going to have fun this winter. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 5, 2017 Report Share Posted November 5, 2017 The operational GFS is slightly more aggressive with the cold and wetter /snowier than previous runs for tomorrow morning. If it's correct 925s drop to -3 over Western King County...the coldest values of anywhere for Western WA. Backwash situations are excellent for King County. The Olympics play into it somehow. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted November 5, 2017 Report Share Posted November 5, 2017 Frontogenetically-forced band of heavy rain moving through the WPSL. Would be great if this was snow. http://weather.rap.ucar.edu/radar/nids/images/KATX/20171105_043838_BREF1_gray.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 5, 2017 Report Share Posted November 5, 2017 There is an obvious problem with the WRF already. It's already colder in Bellingham than it shows them being late tonight. I'm not buying the nearly snowless solution it's showing. Given the improvement in the operational GFS I'm pretty optimistic for snow in a number of areas. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 5, 2017 Report Share Posted November 5, 2017 The operational GFS is slightly more aggressive with the cold and wetter /snowier than previous runs for tomorrow morning. If it's correct 925s drop to -3 over Western King County...the coldest values of anywhere for Western WA. Backwash situations are excellent for King County. The Olympics play into it somehow. Backwash drizzle usually does not work out well. It think like that will be the case. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 5, 2017 Report Share Posted November 5, 2017 True. It just sucks because this climate is so crappy. Who knows if we get a set up this good again with the low perfectly placed. Tis isn't Duluth This is going to be an exceptional winter IMO. All of the boxes are checked for a really good one. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
epiceast Posted November 5, 2017 Report Share Posted November 5, 2017 This is going to be an exceptional winter IMO. All of the boxes are checked for a really good one.Still need the snow box checked! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 5, 2017 Report Share Posted November 5, 2017 Check out the downwelling -QBO. Equatorial easterlies present at 10mb & 30mb, but we have yet to flip @ 50mb, hence the ongoing +QBO-esque WHEM circulation. 10mb: http://i724.photobucket.com/albums/ww243/phillywillie/Mobile%20Uploads/F334F5E7-0A04-47B1-9AE8-A06B7AC55AFF_zps4c8qmtbw.jpg 30mb: http://i724.photobucket.com/albums/ww243/phillywillie/Mobile%20Uploads/B78962E5-79B8-4EA0-BF76-5C352061C29F_zpsczdikusx.jpg 50mb: http://i724.photobucket.com/albums/ww243/phillywillie/Mobile%20Uploads/DDCD7C98-40AE-407D-9847-85F1A66980A1_zpsnqef4hbu.jpg Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted November 5, 2017 Report Share Posted November 5, 2017 Check out the downwelling -QBO. Equatorial easterlies present at 10mb & 30mb, but we have yet to flip @ 50mb, hence the ongoing +QBO-esque WHEM circulation. 10mb: http://i724.photobucket.com/albums/ww243/phillywillie/Mobile%20Uploads/F334F5E7-0A04-47B1-9AE8-A06B7AC55AFF_zps4c8qmtbw.jpg 30mb: http://i724.photobucket.com/albums/ww243/phillywillie/Mobile%20Uploads/B78962E5-79B8-4EA0-BF76-5C352061C29F_zpsczdikusx.jpg 50mb: http://i724.photobucket.com/albums/ww243/phillywillie/Mobile%20Uploads/DDCD7C98-40AE-407D-9847-85F1A66980A1_zpsnqef4hbu.jpgOh my!! Thank you that clears up everything!!! 1 Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 5, 2017 Report Share Posted November 5, 2017 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted November 5, 2017 Report Share Posted November 5, 2017 Snow mixing in here east of Portland at 600ft. 36°Did someone tell tiger woods Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted November 5, 2017 Report Share Posted November 5, 2017 Low has strengthened by 2mb in the last hour, now at 1006.This good or bad? All I'm getting is cold rain 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 5, 2017 Report Share Posted November 5, 2017 35 here now. If only it was just slightly cooler. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 5, 2017 Report Share Posted November 5, 2017 Did someone tell tiger woods44 here in Monmouth. Steady south wind. Looks like we will bottom out about 42 or so. Couple degrees below average. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted November 5, 2017 Report Share Posted November 5, 2017 37 with a dp of 37 according to my weather app Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 5, 2017 Report Share Posted November 5, 2017 37 with a dp of 37 according to my weather app Its wet... fully saturated. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 5, 2017 Report Share Posted November 5, 2017 The temp is dropping very slowly here. It would seem there is more cold air over Central WA now than there was with the Friday event. Down to 37 with a few drops of rain passing the splat test. I'm still feeling confident about tomorrow morning. It is likely the precip will continue longer than the WRF is indicating due to this area being on the NW quadrant of the surface low at that time. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 5, 2017 Report Share Posted November 5, 2017 Snow mixing in here east of Portland at 600ft. 36° That is really surprising. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 5, 2017 Report Share Posted November 5, 2017 The temp is dropping very slowly here. It would seem there is more cold air over Central WA now than there was with the Friday event. Down to 37 with a few drops of rain passing the splat test. I'm still feeling confident about tomorrow morning. It is likely the precip will continue longer than the WRF is indicating due to this area being on the NW quadrant of the surface low at that time. Temperature is rising here... all rain. If there is more cold air than Friday its not showing itself here. Its snowed here all day on Friday but did not accumulate. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 5, 2017 Report Share Posted November 5, 2017 00z GFS Well, for what it's worth ($3.29?) the positive height anomaly and block does remain the entire run over Alaska from 160-170 W. 00z CMC doesn't quite retrograde/migrate the block as far west as the GFS keeping it somewhat near the sweet spot. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 5, 2017 Report Share Posted November 5, 2017 Low is moving onto the coast right now... north of Hoquiam. Clearly visible on the coastal radar loop. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 5, 2017 Report Share Posted November 5, 2017 00Z ECMWF does not show much lowland snow... but the best chance will be between 4-10 a.m. By 10 a.m. the precip is starting to slip southward out of the Seattle area. This is significantly faster than the 12Z run. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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