Front Ranger Posted December 13, 2017 Report Share Posted December 13, 2017 Big backdoor blast and 1059mb high sliding towards southern BC It was made very clear earlier that people are tired of getting blasted through the back door. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 13, 2017 Report Share Posted December 13, 2017 Big backdoor blast and 1059mb high sliding towards southern BC Very modified. Run the previous run comparisons on tidbits...It's funny, it is like the cold air is retreating north...But it is just comparing the last 3 model runs. Sad. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 13, 2017 Report Share Posted December 13, 2017 It was made very clear earlier that people are tired of getting blasted through the back door.Sooo tired of being blasted from the back...just not the same! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 13, 2017 Report Share Posted December 13, 2017 Day 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted December 13, 2017 Author Report Share Posted December 13, 2017 Disastrous. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 13, 2017 Report Share Posted December 13, 2017 http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2017121300/240/500h_anom.na.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 13, 2017 Report Share Posted December 13, 2017 Back to Fake Cold for Christmas... Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 13, 2017 Report Share Posted December 13, 2017 Bannon/Moore were told to go f*ck themselves... not a totally bad night. But very disappointing in the models. Watch... the ECMWF will come in with an epic run and take the lead. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 13, 2017 Report Share Posted December 13, 2017 Day 10 block also starting to retrograde Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 13, 2017 Report Share Posted December 13, 2017 The nice thing about a lame 0z GFS is the 0z Euro is right around the corner, and sometimes the 0z CMC will offer some solace. A bad 18z run just sits there for 6 hours and stares at you. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 13, 2017 Report Share Posted December 13, 2017 Day 10 block also starting to retrogradeDiscontinuously. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 13, 2017 Report Share Posted December 13, 2017 Glad I didn’t tell my wife...she’s been cold burned by me too many times. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 13, 2017 Report Share Posted December 13, 2017 It was made very clear earlier that people are tired of getting blasted through the back door.Especially when it's dry. 2 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 13, 2017 Report Share Posted December 13, 2017 Just not enough. The pattern is there..... typical model flip-flopping? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 13, 2017 Report Share Posted December 13, 2017 Bannon/Moore were told to go f*ck themselves... not a totally bad night. But very disappointing in the models. Watch... the ECMWF will come in with an epic run and take the lead. Bannon would have been smart to dump Moore. Even if Moore had pulled it out it would have still be a net loss. The GOP was probably better off losing a seat they can win back in a future cycle then dealing with Roy Moore for years to come. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 13, 2017 Report Share Posted December 13, 2017 Glad I didn’t tell my wife...she’s been cold burned by me too many times.I told my wife at dinner our Xmas weekend travel plans were going to result in a Donner party-esque scenario. February 1989 with low sun angles! (She had absolutely no recollection of February 1989) 4 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 13, 2017 Report Share Posted December 13, 2017 Tim is going to be cold on Christmas... Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 13, 2017 Report Share Posted December 13, 2017 The season of the models flip/flopping is here. Will this run give us the goodies? or taketh away? You just never know. It's often a back and forth game which can be very agonizing. We usually see typical flopping than flipping, or a combination of flopping, flipping compared to flippity, floppy, flopping, and definitely it's far more often to see flop, flopping, floppity flips, floppity, flopping where the cold air slides east than anything at all. Ultimately I want to see less flopping, flipping, floppity, flopping, than just straight up floppy, flopped, flopping. In 2008 we saw I believe flipping, flippity, flipping, flips, flippered, flippety consistently with maybe 1 or 2 runs featuring a mix of flip, flippity, floppity flops, then reverting back to pure flip, flippity, flipping which ended up just magical for all of us. In a nutshell. Yeah. Consistency, continuity, and marked trends is the name of the game. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 13, 2017 Report Share Posted December 13, 2017 Bannon would have been smart to dump Moore. Even if Moore had pulled it out it would have still be a net loss. The GOP was probably better off losing a seat they can win back in a future cycle then dealing with Roy Moore for years to come. Yep... this election was going to be a win/win for Democrats and a lose/lose for the GOP. It was a short term loss for the GOP but probably a long term win. Bannon should be weakened though. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 13, 2017 Report Share Posted December 13, 2017 Glad I didn’t tell my wife...she’s been cold burned by me too many times. It's one run. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 13, 2017 Report Share Posted December 13, 2017 I told my wife at dinner our Xmas weekend travel plans were going to result in Donner party-esque scenario. February 1989 with low sun angles! (She had absolutely no recollection of February 1989) I am probably to blame here too. I made a grand announcement about severe cold and snow for the week of Christmas at the dinner table tonight. My bad. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted December 13, 2017 Report Share Posted December 13, 2017 This model riding stuff is masochistic. It’s seems scripted by some naked evil agent. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 13, 2017 Report Share Posted December 13, 2017 Yep... this election was going to be a win/win for Democrats and a lose/lose for the GOP. It was a short term loss for the GOP but probably a long term win. Bannon should be weakened though.The biggest loser is Al Franken. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 13, 2017 Report Share Posted December 13, 2017 Just not enough. The pattern is there..... typical model flip-flopping? At the very least, ridiculous blocking signal is still there. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted December 13, 2017 Report Share Posted December 13, 2017 Lol, less than an hour ago people were singing Phil’s praises. What if he is wrong now? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 13, 2017 Report Share Posted December 13, 2017 I am probably to blame here too. I made a grand announcement about severe cold and snow for the week of Christmas tonight at the dinner table tonight. My bad. It's like we never learn. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 13, 2017 Report Share Posted December 13, 2017 Lol, less than an hour ago people were singing Phil’s praises. What if he is wrong now?Burn him alive he tricked us!! 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 13, 2017 Report Share Posted December 13, 2017 The biggest loser is Al Franken. No kidding. I almost felt bad for him. Talk about getting thrown under the bus... Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted December 13, 2017 Report Share Posted December 13, 2017 I am probably to blame here too. I made a grand announcement about severe cold and snow for the week of Christmas tonight at the dinner table tonight. My bad.I did the same thing. Every part of me knew better as their has never been a time that I have done that and it has turned out good. I suck!! Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted December 13, 2017 Report Share Posted December 13, 2017 I am probably to blame here too. I made a grand announcement about severe cold and snow for the week of Christmas at the dinner table tonight. My bad.Chumps, I was waiting to tell my wife after tonight’s runs. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 13, 2017 Report Share Posted December 13, 2017 Lol, less than an hour ago people were singing Phil’s praises. What if he is wrong now? Wouldn't change the fact that he has done pretty well for our area since the summer. Plus it's just one run. Just like the 18z was one run. No reason to fly off the handle for either, the underlying trend of blocking shifting offshore is still there. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 13, 2017 Report Share Posted December 13, 2017 Chumps, I was waiting to tell my wife after tonight’s runs.It would have been grossly irresponsible, maybe even criminally negligent, for me not to have sounded the alarm. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 13, 2017 Report Share Posted December 13, 2017 Wouldn't change the fact that he has done pretty well for our area since the summer. Plus it's just one run. Just like the 18z was one run. No reason to fly off the handle for either, the underlying trend of blocking shifting offshore is still there. I am waiting for the ensembles before swallowing the hemlock... Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted December 13, 2017 Author Report Share Posted December 13, 2017 Honestly this is kinda reminding me of late December 2004. Gonna rain a lot in SoCal guys. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 13, 2017 Report Share Posted December 13, 2017 It would have been grossly irresponsible, maybe even criminally negligent, for me not have sounded the alarm. You, of all people, should know the difference. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 13, 2017 Report Share Posted December 13, 2017 I am waiting for the ensembles before swallowing the hemlock... I find it cute that you called Tim out on constantly soft trolling the other day. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 13, 2017 Report Share Posted December 13, 2017 I find it cute that you called Tim out on constantly soft trolling the other day. Takes one to know one they say. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 13, 2017 Report Share Posted December 13, 2017 00z GEFS Day 4 - Possible good news. The ridge over us is quite a bit weaker than on the Op run. We'll have to see how days 5-8 unfold. Also, stick to weather. This politics crap and squabbling is annoying.http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gefs/2017121300/096/500h_anom.na.png 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 13, 2017 Report Share Posted December 13, 2017 You, of all people, should know the difference.I don't wanna see the kid go to jail. But the 18z was a deadly run, plain and simple. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 13, 2017 Report Share Posted December 13, 2017 00z GEFS Day 4 - Possible good news. The ridge over us is quite a bit weaker than on the Op run. We'll have to see how days 5-8 unfold. Also, stick to weather. This politics crap and squabbling is annoying.http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gefs/2017121300/096/500h_anom.na.png We're doing well considering... Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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