December Weather In the PNW

[Front Ranger]

Big backdoor blast and 1059mb high sliding towards southern BC

 

It was made very clear earlier that people are tired of getting blasted through the back door.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Big backdoor blast and 1059mb high sliding towards southern BC

 

Very modified. 

 

Run the previous run comparisons on tidbits...It's funny, it is like the cold air is retreating north...But it is just comparing the last 3 model runs. Sad.

[MossMan]

It was made very clear earlier that people are tired of getting blasted through the back door.

Sooo tired of being blasted from the back...just not the same!

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 10

[BLI snowman]

Disastrous.

[Gradient Keeper]

http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2017121300/240/500h_anom.na.png

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Back to Fake Cold for Christmas...

[TT-SEA]

Bannon/Moore were told to go f*ck themselves... not a totally bad night.  

 

But very disappointing in the models.   Watch... the ECMWF will come in with an epic run and take the lead. 

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 10 block also starting to retrograde

[Front Ranger]

The nice thing about a lame 0z GFS is the 0z Euro is right around the corner, and sometimes the 0z CMC will offer some solace.

 

A bad 18z run just sits there for 6 hours and stares at you.

[Deweydog]

Day 10 block also starting to retrograde

Discontinuously.

[MossMan]

Glad I didn’t tell my wife...she’s been cold burned by me too many times.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

It was made very clear earlier that people are tired of getting blasted through the back door.

Especially when it's dry.

[Gradient Keeper]

Just not enough. The pattern is there..... typical model flip-flopping?

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Bannon/Moore were told to go f*ck themselves... not a totally bad night.  

 

But very disappointing in the models.   Watch... the ECMWF will come in with an epic run and take the lead. 

 

Bannon would have been smart to dump Moore. Even if Moore had pulled it out it would have still be a net loss. The GOP was probably better off losing a seat they can win back in a future cycle then dealing with Roy Moore for years to come. 

[Deweydog]

Glad I didn’t tell my wife...she’s been cold burned by me too many times.

I told my wife at dinner our Xmas weekend travel plans were going to result in a Donner party-esque scenario. February 1989 with low sun angles! (She had absolutely no recollection of February 1989)

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Tim is going to be cold on Christmas...

[Gradient Keeper]

The season of the models flip/flopping is here. Will this run give us the goodies? or taketh away? You just never know. It's often a back and forth game which can be very agonizing. We usually see typical flopping than flipping, or a combination of flopping, flipping compared to flippity, floppy, flopping, and definitely it's far more often to see flop, flopping, floppity flips, floppity, flopping where the cold air slides east than anything at all. Ultimately I want to see less flopping, flipping, floppity, flopping, than just straight up floppy, flopped, flopping. In 2008 we saw I believe flipping, flippity, flipping, flips, flippered, flippety consistently with maybe 1 or 2 runs featuring a mix of flip, flippity, floppity flops, then reverting back to pure flip, flippity, flipping which ended up just magical for all of us. In a nutshell. Yeah. Consistency, continuity, and marked trends is the name of the game.

[TT-SEA]

Bannon would have been smart to dump Moore. Even if Moore had pulled it out it would have still be a net loss. The GOP was probably better off losing a seat they can win back in a future cycle then dealing with Roy Moore for years to come. 

 

Yep... this election was going to be a win/win for Democrats and a lose/lose for the GOP.  

 

It was a short term loss for the GOP but probably a long term win.  

 

Bannon should be weakened though.   

[Jesse]

Glad I didn’t tell my wife...she’s been cold burned by me too many times.

 

It's one run.

[TT-SEA]

I told my wife at dinner our Xmas weekend travel plans were going to result in Donner party-esque scenario. February 1989 with low sun angles! (She had absolutely no recollection of February 1989)

 

I am probably to blame here too.  

 

I made a grand announcement about severe cold and snow for the week of Christmas at the dinner table tonight.   My bad.  

[Winterdog]

This model riding stuff is masochistic. It’s seems scripted by some naked evil agent.

[Deweydog]

Yep... this election was going to be a win/win for Democrats and a lose/lose for the GOP.

 

It was a short term loss for the GOP but probably a long term win.

 

Bannon should be weakened though.

The biggest loser is Al Franken.

[Front Ranger]

Just not enough. The pattern is there..... typical model flip-flopping?

 

At the very least, ridiculous blocking signal is still there.

[Timmy]

Lol, less than an hour ago people were singing Phil’s praises. What if he is wrong now?

[Front Ranger]

I am probably to blame here too.  

 

I made a grand announcement about severe cold and snow for the week of Christmas tonight at the dinner table tonight.   My bad.  

 

It's like we never learn.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Lol, less than an hour ago people were singing Phil’s praises. What if he is wrong now?

Burn him alive he tricked us!!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

The biggest loser is Al Franken.

 

No kidding. I almost felt bad for him. Talk about getting thrown under the bus...

[luvssnow_spokane]

I am probably to blame here too.

 

I made a grand announcement about severe cold and snow for the week of Christmas tonight at the dinner table tonight. My bad.

I did the same thing. Every part of me knew better as their has never been a time that I have done that and it has turned out good. I suck!!

[Timmy]

I am probably to blame here too.

 

I made a grand announcement about severe cold and snow for the week of Christmas at the dinner table tonight. My bad.

Chumps, I was waiting to tell my wife after tonight’s runs.

[Jesse]

Lol, less than an hour ago people were singing Phil’s praises. What if he is wrong now?

 

Wouldn't change the fact that he has done pretty well for our area since the summer.

 

Plus it's just one run. Just like the 18z was one run. No reason to fly off the handle for either, the underlying trend of blocking shifting offshore is still there.

[Deweydog]

Chumps, I was waiting to tell my wife after tonight’s runs.

It would have been grossly irresponsible, maybe even criminally negligent, for me not to have sounded the alarm.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Wouldn't change the fact that he has done pretty well for our area since the summer.

 

Plus it's just one run. Just like the 18z was one run. No reason to fly off the handle for either, the underlying trend of blocking shifting offshore is still there.

 

I am waiting for the ensembles before swallowing the hemlock...

[BLI snowman]

Honestly this is kinda reminding me of late December 2004.

 

Gonna rain a lot in SoCal guys.

[Front Ranger]

It would have been grossly irresponsible, maybe even criminally negligent, for me not have sounded the alarm.

 

You, of all people, should know the difference.

[Jesse]

I am waiting for the ensembles before swallowing the hemlock...

 

I find it cute that you called Tim out on constantly soft trolling the other day.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I find it cute that you called Tim out on constantly soft trolling the other day.

 

Takes one to know one they say.

[Gradient Keeper]

00z GEFS Day 4 - Possible good news. The ridge over us is quite a bit weaker than on the Op run. We'll have to see how days 5-8 unfold. Also, stick to weather. This politics crap and squabbling is annoying.

http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gefs/2017121300/096/500h_anom.na.png

[Deweydog]

You, of all people, should know the difference.

I don't wanna see the kid go to jail. But the 18z was a deadly run, plain and simple.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

00z GEFS Day 4 - Possible good news. The ridge over us is quite a bit weaker than on the Op run. We'll have to see how days 5-8 unfold. Also, stick to weather. This politics crap and squabbling is annoying.

http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gefs/2017121300/096/500h_anom.na.png

 

We're doing well considering...