Hawkeye Posted December 29, 2017 Report Share Posted December 29, 2017 The 00z NAM kept the heaviest band right through Cedar Rapids. It just shrunk the width of the snow band in general, especially on the south side. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig-OmahaWX Posted December 29, 2017 Report Share Posted December 29, 2017 Lol no way this goes way north. Logic would say since this arctic push is so strong the storm wouldnt be so far north. Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5" For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 : https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted December 29, 2017 Report Share Posted December 29, 2017 Lol no way this goes way north. Logic would say since this arctic push is so strong the storm wouldnt be so far north.Or the arctic push is weaker and allows it to go more north Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted December 29, 2017 Report Share Posted December 29, 2017 00z NAM didn’t seem to move that much, but just tightened up the axis of heavy snow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 29, 2017 Report Share Posted December 29, 2017 Some very picturesque snow falling still. Just light flurries but medium sized flakes. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 29, 2017 Report Share Posted December 29, 2017 00z RGEM is much further south with the southern edge than the NAM. Also just in general more widespread. 7mm was shown for Waterloo on the black and white maps. That’s just over a quarter inch qpf. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 29, 2017 Report Share Posted December 29, 2017 The GFS has the heaviest band just south of i80. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted December 29, 2017 Report Share Posted December 29, 2017 Still not totally sold on DBQ getting 2”, but today’s system performed a little better than I expected, so I suppose we will see what happens. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted December 29, 2017 Report Share Posted December 29, 2017 The GFS has the heaviest band just south of i80.The GFS is not the model of choice you should be looking at this close to the start of a storm...just saying. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted December 29, 2017 Report Share Posted December 29, 2017 Gfs did really well with today! Just saying.. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 29, 2017 Report Share Posted December 29, 2017 The GFS is not the model of choice you should be looking at this close to the start of a storm...just saying.I look at all the models. I’m just reporting what it said. You can make your conclusions from there. Personally I trust the Euro more than any other. I also like the UK in the short term. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted December 29, 2017 Report Share Posted December 29, 2017 I look at all the models. I’m just reporting what it said. You can make your conclusions from there. Personally I trust the Euro more than any other. I also like the UK in the short term.I hear you. I just don't trust the GFS much as it has been very eratic lately. Nice to look at for long range for eye candy. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 29, 2017 Author Report Share Posted December 29, 2017 LOT pulled the trigger and added WWA's up to Cook/DuPage/Kane counties...hopefully I can score 2-3" out of this...SREF mean is at 3" for ORD...so far, I measured just about 0.5" of powder, not much, but as Bud said, it's pictureque.... 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted December 29, 2017 Report Share Posted December 29, 2017 Since that model always shows the worst possible solution; I consider their removal addition by subtraction... What you don't know can't hurt you...What do you mean when you say the Euro ‘always shows the worst possible solution’? The Euro frequently scores the highest in terms of accuracy among the major global models. I’d give up access to many other models before I give up access to the Euro. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 29, 2017 Report Share Posted December 29, 2017 Canadian has 6” from Mason City to Waterloo to CR to the quad cities. 5.5”For Iowa City. Also not as brutal on the southern edge snow cut off. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLIZZARD09 Posted December 29, 2017 Report Share Posted December 29, 2017 LOT pulled the trigger and added WWA's up to Cook/DuPage/Kane counties...hopefully I can score 2-3" out of this...SREF mean is at 3" for ORD...so far, I measured just about 0.5" of powder, not much, but as Bud said, it's pictureque....if we get those 2-3 inches and some lake snow over the weekend , I think we can say it was a decent December after all 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 29, 2017 Author Report Share Posted December 29, 2017 if we get those 2-3 inches and some lake snow over the weekend , I think we can say it was a decent December after allThe LES is a big wild card, on the other hand, I'm seeing both NAM's picking up on the meso-low feature. Gosh, if we can get that to swing through and drop a couple inches that would be more icing on the cake. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted December 29, 2017 Report Share Posted December 29, 2017 00z UK has the narrow, heaviest band through Iowa City. The south edge is sharp. HRRR also has the best snow through Iowa City. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buzzman289 Posted December 29, 2017 Report Share Posted December 29, 2017 winter storm warning for cedar rapids 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 29, 2017 Report Share Posted December 29, 2017 Dang, wasn’t expecting the upgrade. DVN says snow rates could be over an inch per hour later. 4-6” for the earned area. Latest RGEM has nearly 7” for Iowa City. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 29, 2017 Author Report Share Posted December 29, 2017 Congrats on the WSW's! Been a while for you folks on there...you guys in E IA are locked in on this one! 00z Euro...I'll take my 2-3" and be happy...snows should be knocking on your doors out in C IA... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 29, 2017 Author Report Share Posted December 29, 2017 ORD officially picked up 0.6" of snow yesterday...hoping to get at least 2.5"...SREF plumes for ORD still showing nearly 3" and 4.5" for DVN.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 29, 2017 Report Share Posted December 29, 2017 Looks like we ended up with about 1.5” here yesterday. Very light and fluffy snow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dubuque473 Posted December 29, 2017 Report Share Posted December 29, 2017 Will be greedy and plan on 5" but if it close to 3" it will work.... Quote Dubuque 2007-2008 Winter 78.1" Total snowfall February Snowfall 32.5" City salt usage : 12,211 tons Days of measurable snow : 40 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted December 29, 2017 Report Share Posted December 29, 2017 Will be greedy and plan on 5" but if it close to 3" it will work....I think we’re going to struggle to hit 3”, tbh. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted December 29, 2017 Report Share Posted December 29, 2017 All of the radar returns are light right now. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 29, 2017 Report Share Posted December 29, 2017 Anyone use the mPING app? I just heard about it a week ago and downloaded it. You can report and view precipitation reports. If more people start using it , it will become very useful in situations like this where the radar doesn’t give you a true picture of where snow is hitting the ground. I see an mPING report from Waterloo of snow so hopefully it’s about to start reaching the ground Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted December 29, 2017 Report Share Posted December 29, 2017 A snowy morning across SWMI and I picked up 0.8" as of 6 am taking me across the 20" threshold! that's a big month by Marshall standards, like 200% of normal bigly Congrats and good luck to y'all west in IL an Iowa, nice some of you got pink headlines..sweet! 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 29, 2017 Report Share Posted December 29, 2017 Snow has begun here. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 29, 2017 Author Report Share Posted December 29, 2017 Snow has begun here.Good luck Bud. I know you and a number of members in IA have been waiting for a nice snow for quite some time. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted December 29, 2017 Report Share Posted December 29, 2017 HRRR seems to confirm what I’ve been thinking. Will be lucky to break 2” today. This weather pattern sucks. But enjoy it, bud! Don’t mean to take away from your fun Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iowawx Posted December 29, 2017 Report Share Posted December 29, 2017 Was quite surprised earlier to see winter storm warning issued. I think the Cedar Rapids/Iowa city area is where the 6 inch amounts could occur. Flakes should start flying here shortly. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted December 29, 2017 Report Share Posted December 29, 2017 Radar is looking nice. Heavy band setting up over mby. Snow extends all the way back to west SD. I have a feeling more counties will be upgraded to WSW.Congrats Bud! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iowawx Posted December 29, 2017 Report Share Posted December 29, 2017 Snow began here almost exactly at 9:00am. Here we go! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted December 29, 2017 Report Share Posted December 29, 2017 Guess you'll have to wait 3 more days for this very slow mover! Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 29, 2017 Report Share Posted December 29, 2017 Looks like Cedar Rapids is getting pounded now. My brother in CR is reporting large flakes. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted December 29, 2017 Report Share Posted December 29, 2017 Heavy band setting up from mby down to CR and IC Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted December 29, 2017 Report Share Posted December 29, 2017 I think im gonna leave work early and go home to enjoy this. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 29, 2017 Author Report Share Posted December 29, 2017 Meso scale banding is showing up nicely on GOES satellite imagery with the bumpy nature to the cloud tops across IA into IL...somebody is going to score big with this small scale system. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 29, 2017 Report Share Posted December 29, 2017 I’m missing out on the heavy snow band by less than 5 Miles. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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