1/10 - 1/11 Possible Severe Frontal Passage with intense snow showers

[gosaints]

Ew no. You took enough of our snow last year

Ya piles and piles we had... Anyways not a big deal either way. The atmosphere will behave how it pleases

[Money]

The changeover is happening here right at about the freezing mark, so surface temps don't worry me. What does worry me is that after it stops sleeting and it's snow, there will still be warm air aloft. My main concern is that combined with wind seriously screwing with totals. That is the ONE thing that I can see going wrong once we get to all snow. Besides the obvious factor of who's getting the band.

It can sleet when it’s 27 degrees. I’m just saying change overs rarely work when models say they will

[Jaycee]

Rooting for you and SPS

 

Thought your hate for Nebraska was fake, how can you not root for us? That’s like rooting for the Patriots against the Browns.

[Craig-OmahaWX]

Money, what is your fascination with downplaying our snow here, I've seen you do it on multiple storm threads for us. lol. Me thinks you are just jealous

[Minny_Weather]

It can sleet when it’s 27 degrees. I’m just saying change overs rarely work when models say they will

I've been looking at soundings too my good sir. Seems pretty cut and dry to me how the changeover will take place.

[Money]

I've been looking at soundings too my good sir. Seems pretty cut and dry to me how the changeover will take place.

So you believe the soundings 30 hours out but you called off a storm that was 6 days away

 

Hmm

[Craig-OmahaWX]

Temperatures won't just hang around for a while at 28 29 degrees, they drop fast and by 6 am will probably be in the lower teens. There is absolutely nothing to be worried about. 

[Jaycee]

So you believe the soundings 30 hours out but you called off a storm that was 6 days away

Hmm

 

It’s a bit easier to write off a storm that’s 6 days away than a storm that’s well within 2 don’t you think?

[Minny_Weather]

It’s a bit easier to write off a storm that’s 6 days away than a storm that’s well within 2 don’t you think?

Yeah literally every storm that disappears does so 6 days before.

[Minny_Weather]

Also, I deleted my reply to Money and I don't feel like re-typing it.

[Money]

Thought your hate for Nebraska was fake, how can you not root for us? That’s like rooting for the Patriots against the Browns.

You guys wouldn’t root for anyone in Chicago or WI so why should I root for you in NE?

[clintbeed1993]

Nobody should be excited until the band is setting up over them.  A band of snow that narrow is going to cause more crying than celebrating.  This storm ended up really taking a crap.  It originally looked like a share the wealth and now will only benefit a very small area.

[gosaints]

Nobody should be excited until the band is setting up over them. A band of snow that narrow is going to cause more crying than celebrating. This storm ended up really taking a crap. It originally looked like a share the wealth and now will only benefit a very small area.

Story of how many years running???

[Jaycee]

You guys wouldn’t root for anyone in Chicago or WI so why should I root for you in NE?

 

Dude, I have the post history to show you otherwise lol I always root for you guys in Wisconsin over Chicago (sorry Chicago), especially since you’ve been the underdog out there for the past few years.

[Jaycee]

Nobody should be excited until the band is setting up over them.  A band of snow that narrow is going to cause more crying than celebrating.  This storm ended up really taking a crap.  It originally looked like a share the wealth and now will only benefit a very small area.

 

So much truth. Just glad I have something to watch that’s so close now. Snow band is so narrow it cuts our county in half, like the odds of actually getting over top of you are really small. Just hope at least one of us gets under it.

[Money]

Dude, I have the post history to show you otherwise lol I always root for you guys in Wisconsin over Chicago (sorry Chicago), especially since you’ve been the underdog out there for the past few years.

I guess I shouldn’t have said you guys but there’s posters from your area who’s in this thread who said that

[BLIZZARD09]

Dude, I have the post history to show you otherwise lol I always root for you guys in Wisconsin over Chicago (sorry Chicago), especially since you’ve been the underdog out there for the past few years.

[Andrew NE]

Dude, I have the post history to show you otherwise lol I always root for you guys in Wisconsin over Chicago (sorry Chicago), especially since you’ve been the underdog out there for the past few years.

Unfortunately I think a couple bad apples ruined all of us out this way for him. We are all here to get our fix for a hobby that we enjoy called weather, I don't ever look at it as a competition or rooting for/against anyone. Most of the time it is dumb luck to be in right place.

[snowstorm83]

I'd be more than happy to see areas to the east get snow. It's not as fun if other states are suffering even if you're doing well.

[Jaycee]

Probably should’ve phrased that differently, like if the tables turned I’d root for you guys being the underdog. But like Andrew said, shouldn’t be a game, it’s weather, and it sucks when none of us get it. So I apologize! Guess I’m still immature in some regard when it comes to storms.

[Money]

Probably should’ve phrased that differently, like if the tables turned I’d root for you guys being the underdog. But like Andrew said, shouldn’t be a game, it’s weather, and it sucks when none of us get it. So I apologize! Guess I’m still immature in some regard when it comes to storms.

We all are to an extent it’s just a few posters here take it over the top.

[FV-Mike]

Probably should’ve phrased that differently, like if the tables turned I’d root for you guys being the underdog. But like Andrew said, shouldn’t be a game, it’s weather, and it sucks when none of us get it. So I apologize! Guess I’m still immature in some regard when it comes to storms.

 

The complaint thread provides a fairly accurate list of the immaturity from posters. Best of luck out West! Would love to get some snow soon  

[Minny_Weather]

But on the other hand, if, say, Des Moines got 12" and we got nothing at the last minute, I'm not going to be happy for Des Moines simply because we got nothing and they got what models originally had us getting. Nothing against Des Moines, but I'd rather get the snow here. Now if an event was targeting Des Moines and it hit them, then it'd be different. I'd be happy for them. So don't assume that because I want snow, I don't root for anyone else. What a bad assumption.

[gosaints]

GFS similar the Nam thru 24. 2mb stronger

[NH4NU]

00z GFS looks identical to 18z at 24hrs. 

[gosaints]

And the GFS isn't going to clear the differences the Nam and itself

[Money]

And the GFS isn't going to clear the differences the Nam and itself

How far away is the band on the gfs from you? You still live in Rochester right?

[Grizzcoat]

WARNING SNOW now within 20 miles of  MBY

 

[Madtown]

East she goes...check that bout the same

[Minny_Weather]

I still think GFS is too light along the rain-snow line. That doesn't usually happen with storms like this.

[Money]

WARNING SNOW now within 20 miles of  MBY

 

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Nice trends for you tonight. One little push and you got it

[gosaints]

How far away is the band on the gfs from you? You still live in Rochester right?

15 miles east. verbatim gfs is over. 5 qpf here more just west. Who the hell knows... It's really just another glorified turd with a weenie band in it.

 

10 inches in roch that run looks like. 7.5 or so here.

[Grizzcoat]

[Grizzcoat]

More like 10 miles for warning snows from MBY....This also good for ToastedRavs and James if the trends continue.

[Craig-OmahaWX]

GFS kind of spread the snow out over the Omaha / Lincoln area..it even pushed back west a smidge, so I think were done with the trending east. 4-5 inches would even make me happy here if that happened.

 

http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2018011000/042/snku_acc.us_c.png

[gosaints]

Msp and LA crosse gonna be pulling their hair out tonight

[Madtown]

Dream come true for me with that map Grizz

[Money]

IWM and Kuchera def aren’t on the same page

 

IWM is even lighter than NAM in NE with 2-3 for most areas

[St Paul Storm]

The trusty RGEM with a bump NW.

[Craig-OmahaWX]

IWM and Kuchera def aren’t on the same page

 

IWM is even lighter than NAM in NE with 2-3 for most areas

Are you done yet? So does twister data.com they are all different. Plot twist, i actually know Kuchera, his name is Evan Kuchera and he works for the Air Force Weather Agency here in Omaha, he's a great guy but im wondering what he thinks about his formula going viral lol