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1/10 - 1/11 Possible Severe Frontal Passage with intense snow showers

clintbeed1993

By clintbeed1993
in East of the Rockies

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Iowawx Enthusiast

Iowawx

Posted
Posted

I feel like this is going to go down to the wire. GFS made a large shift east. If it comes even further east by another 75 miles or so, I would be in the all snow side. Currently, models suggest my area starting off with rain then changing to mix then snow. If 00Z runs come east, could really be on to something. 

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FarmerRick
FarmerRick

Too many thin-skinned people who get all butt-hurt and cant take a joke, and too many people messing with said people when a storm doesn't go exactly the way the models show a few days out.  It's like

Tabitha
Tabitha

I also want to go on the record and say that all those posts last night attacking me and wishing death on me were a disgrace.   I playfully joke around with people and make pleasant satirical comments

gosaints
gosaints

Oh OK.. Can't wait to read your complaints if that happens... If this storm does hit you then maybe you won't hit the board with same posts the next time you get missed.

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NEJeremy Newbie

NEJeremy

Posted
Posted

RGEM sucks but it looks super juicy, some parts of NC KS get 22". This is going to be a hell of a snowstorm for someone, I can feel it.

I don't know. I don't like the rapidly weakening/elongated surface low as it moves east. It's hard to get really heavy snow when the dynamics are weakening.

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Craig-OmahaWX Newbie

Craig-OmahaWX

Posted
Posted

It’s insane. If you take a consensus of all of them though we’re still in the best spot to be, given this is just outside 24 hours now. Models suck this close in.

Yeah with the NAM has it just north and the gfs just south that would put I-80 in the middle.

2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5"

 

For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 :

 

https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/

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james1976 Veteran

james1976

Posted
Posted

Wow, SPC has a large marginal risk area stretching from Des Moines all the way back southwest to Albuquerque (includes: LNK & OMA) for Thursday.

 

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html

Thundersnow potential on the table....

Dynamics all over this thing. Almost reminds me of a spring storm. (Minus the cold air plunge that follows)

Whoever gets under that band will be one happy camper. And it literally might only be ONE from this forum.

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Jaycee Explorer

Jaycee

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Thundersnow potential on the table....

Dynamics all over this thing. Almost reminds me of a spring storm. (Minus the cold air plunge that follows)

Whoever gets under that band will be one happy camper. And it literally might only be ONE from this forum.

Yep, my thoughts exactly. Doesn’t get more stressful than this.

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hlcater Enthusiast

hlcater

Posted
Posted

Thundersnow potential on the table....

Dynamics all over this thing. Almost reminds me of a spring storm. (Minus the cold air plunge that follows)

Whoever gets under that band will be one happy camper. And it literally might only be ONE from this forum.

Eh, I think the weakening sfc low puts a sizable damper on things, just my 2 cents though.

2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha)

TOTAL: 10.2"

(12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") 

(1/1: 6.4")

 

 

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Minny_Weather Grand Master

Minny_Weather

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This low track is a bit concerning.  

 

http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/wwd/lowtrack_circles.gif

That completely contradicts every model trend that has occurred today. In fact, that looks like a track that a Euro run from last week would have taken.

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Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather.

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Grizzcoat Veteran

Grizzcoat

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Star Tribune? Is their chief meteorologist a junior intern?

 

it was a NWS MET -- I will post it now that I'am on desktop

 

 

http://www.startribune.com/springlike-warmth-today-plowable-snow-and-cold-by-wednesday-night/468434923/?om_rid=1581381065&om_mid=68180425

The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

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