February Weather in the Pacific Northwest

[TigerWoodsLibido]

WRF is a buzzkill for some.

 

But not all 

 

Seriously though this run is way more lackluster for a lot of folks.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

24 here and falling.

[snow_wizard]

Word cannot describe how much I despise and loathe this climate.  You wait the whole f***** winter to get a good pattern and when it comes there's  high chance it will **** you in the *** when it comes.  I can't get away from this god forsaken place soon enough.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

UKMET 00z really pulls the precip northward tomorrow (Seattle and points north). Smoking the same thing the NAM 18z was. We'll see if the ECMWF agrees. 

 

Yeah I think you guys up there have a good chance of getting an inch, possibly 2 inches closer to Tacoma and Olympia.

[Arctic Front]

[HighlandExperience]

Pretty disastrous GFS run for Seattle. One legit snow chance and that's it in spite of all the 150 blocking. So much for Fraser river blasts and 150 ridges being good for this area. Now it's not even looking like it will get that cold tonight. What a turd this mess has turned into.

Careful I was chastised by Jesse earlier for sharing my emotions.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Word cannot describe how much I despise and loathe this climate.  You wait the whole f***** winter to get a good pattern and when it comes theres a high chance it will ** in the a** when it comes.  I can't get away from this god forsaken place soon enough.

 

Sorry man, I can see how passionate you are about this and you put a lot of effort into your posts and research.  I hope you can eventually get to a place where you get regular snow.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Jim it ain't over yet.

[Jesse]

Word cannot describe how much I despise and loathe this climate. You wait the whole f***** winter to get a good pattern and when it comes there's high chance it will **** you in the *** when it comes. I can't get away form this god forsaken place soon enough.

Sorry man. It’s been a rough stretch for your area in particular. Nothing is set in stone just yet. I’m also liking your guys’ chances for something this weekend.

[Arctic Front]

Word cannot describe how much I despise and loathe this climate. You wait the whole f***** winter to get a good pattern and when it comes there's high chance it will **** you in the *** when it comes. I can't get away from this god forsaken place soon enough.

Winter has been a waste of time

[HighlandExperience]

UKMET 00z really pulls the precip northward tomorrow (Seattle and points north). Smoking the same thing the NAM 18z was. We'll see if the ECMWF agrees.

Let’s hope the 00z UKmet is right. It extends the precipitation up to about Arlington. Lighter amounts to the border.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Pretty disastrous GFS run for Seattle.  One legit snow chance and that's it in spite of all the 150 blocking.  So much for Fraser river blasts and 150 ridges being good for this area.  Now it's not even looking like it will get that cold tonight.  What a turd this mess has turned into.  

 

Based on the RGEM, Covington looks like it gets about an inch. Who knows, maybe the moisture makes it further north and you get 2 inches or so.

[Perturbed Member]

I'll just leave these here

 

http://img.meteocentre.com/models/ukmet_amer_00/ukmetPR00.4.gif?t=1519102577

 

http://img.meteocentre.com/models/ukmet_amer_00/ukmetPR00.5.gif?t=1519102577

 

http://img.meteocentre.com/models/ukmet_amer_00/ukmetPR00.6.gif?t=1519102577

 

http://img.meteocentre.com/models/ukmet_amer_00/ukmetPR00.7.gif?t=1519102577

[wxmet]

Let’s hope the 00z UKmet is right. It extends the precipitation up to about Arlington. Lighter amounts to the border.

I would take it with a huge grain of salt unless it's backed by the ECMWF. 

[HighlandExperience]

I would take it with a huge grain of salt unless it's backed by the ECMWF.

Is the GFS really that much better than the UKmet? The GEM looks closer to the UKmet.

 

The WRF is out to lunch showing nothing.

[snow_wizard]

Careful I was chastised by Jesse earlier for sharing my emotions.

 

I've gone through this too many years.  I have earned the right to melt down from time to time.  One thing I'm totally serious about though is I am sick of this climate.  I can't state it strongly enough.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Is the GFS really that much better than the UKmet?

The WRF is out to lunch showing nothing.

I bet that Cliff Mass has been molesting that model or something. That mother fuker hates snow.

[snow_wizard]

I'll just leave these here

 

 

 

 

 

I would be shocked if that happened, but it's possible I guess.

[seattleweatherguy]

I would take it with a huge grain of salt unless it's backed by the ECMWF.

Or nam which was more correct last time

[wxmet]

Is the GFS really that much better than the UKmet? The GEM looks closer to the UKmet.

 

The WRF is out to lunch showing nothing.

 

The UKMET is statistically better (up there with the ECMWF) but i've often found it's qpf forecast to be overdone. 

[BLI snowman]

00z NAM showed a low of 12 here on Friday. Seems legit.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

The 22 at Bremerton in impressive.

[wxmet]

The UKMET 00z meteogram shows 1mm of precip for Seattle. Basically nothing. Not sure why there's such a mismatch between the meteogram charts the QPF charts. 

[Jesse]

00z NAM showed a low of 12 here on Friday. Seems legit.

Hard to believe some models were spitting out the possibility of high teens for tonight just a few days ago. PDX is having trouble even falling below freezing.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

00z NAM showed a low of 12 here on Friday. Seems legit.

 

About as legit as Fergie's anthem yesterday.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Hard to believe some models were spitting out the possibility of high teens for tonight just a few days ago. PDX is having trouble even falling below freezing.

 

Clouds. I never saw any of the EURO guidance below 21-22 for tonight.

[wxmet]

Hard to believe some models were spitting out the possibility of high teens for tonight just a few days ago. PDX is having trouble even falling below freezing.

Will it rain or mix there tomorrow lol

[HighlandExperience]

Will it rain or mix there tomorrow lol

Maybe the WRF is right

[ShawniganLake]

Wasn't it someone on here that said the UKmet normally resembles the Euro and that you can sometimes guess what the Euro will show based on what the UKmet shows?

 

Maybe I'm just imagining things but I swear that's been a topic before. I guess we'll find out in 40 minutes.

They very often resemble each other, IMO. The euro followed it a couple times leading up to the snow the other day. Not always though, obviously.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

The lows sure are unimpressive. Heck could see lows tomorrow evening when we are wet bulbing under heavier precip down to 29/30? 

[BLI snowman]

Hard to believe some models were spitting out the possibility of high teens for tonight just a few days ago. PDX is having trouble even falling below freezing.

True, but our climate's incessant tendency to be mucky and wet should actually work in our favor this time. Would be nice to see things clear out one of these nights but I'll take the snow.

 

Plus I feel decent about a pretty cold high here tomorrow. Precip looks to move in just after 10am, pretty favorable for a mid 30s cap.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Meanwhile Newport and Astoria are down to 30. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

True, but our climate's incessant tendency to be mucky and wet should actually work in our favor this time. Would be nice to see things clear out one of these nights but I'll take the snow.

 

Plus I feel decent about a pretty cold high here tomorrow. Precip looks to move in just after 10am, pretty favorable for a mid 30s cap.

 

37 at 12:35pm

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

If you hate the the weather that much then make a change. I did and when it is all said and done it will have taken me ten years to accomplish this goal. It wont be easy getting there but it can be done. I really understand how Jim feels and for his own sanity i hope he gets out of here one day.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Some impressive temps in E. Oregon. A lot of the high mountain valleys like Meacham and Ukiah are already below 0 with single digits showing up in the Wallowa, Baker, and upper John Day valleys. 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Still holding at 35 DP now up to 28

[Frontal Snowsquall]

00z HRDPS agrees with the RGEM in bringing the heaviest snow just after sunset tomorrow for PDX Metro. It's the snowiest it's shown so far. One final run before we call it a night. Let's go 00z King EURO, bring your snowiest run for tomorrow! ❄❄❄❄❄❄❄❄

 

[Deweydog]

How does the HMFIC look?

[SilverFallsAndrew]

If you hate the the weather that much then make a change. I did and when it is all said and done it will have taken me ten years to accomplish this goal. It wont be easy getting there but it can be done. I really understand how Jim feels and for his own sanity i hope he gets out of here one day.

 

At this point in my life I have way to much going on to relocate because of the weather. I enjoy living where I do, and in some way the Silverton area will always be my home in one way or another. Climate doesn't play a huge role in that, though I remember what the weather was like at every stage in my life. The cold of December 1990, the damp of spring playing baseball, an Oklahoma blizzard, a March snow on the coast of Oregon. So it is a part of me, I associate the weather with my memories. Always there, ever present in my mind. But when I moved back here in 2010, toward the end of August and I watched the sun set, and the cool damp of a late summer evening in the Willamette Valley crept up from the ground below, its soft tendrils filling my nostrils with the sweet smell of damp, fresh cut hay grass. In that moment I knew I was home, it was if I had never left and my sojourn away was but a dream. And I knew no matter where I go, I know where home is.  

[BLI snowman]

37 at 12:35pm

Would still be a record low max!