February Weather in the Pacific Northwest

[Frontal Snowsquall]

12z UKMET showing heaviest precip near PDX Metro in the 6 hour period from 4pm to 10pm tonight. Then some more snow after that time period but heavier stuff moves south.

 

http://img.meteocentre.com/models/ukmet_amer_12/P1_GZ_D5_PN_012_0000.gif

http://img.meteocentre.com/models/ukmet_amer_12/P1_GZ_D5_PN_018_0000.gif

http://img.meteocentre.com/models/ukmet_amer_12/P1_GZ_D5_PN_024_0000.gif

[HighlandExperience]

Kitsap is sure looking good right now with radar trends. Remains to be seen if much moisture can make it as far east as Tacoma.

High taxes in king county rebuffing the moisture

[Perturbed Member]

at 8am at 29 degrees with light-mod snow snow is barely sticking to roads in scappoose this morning. Minimal impact on roads mid-day unless you get heavy snow

 

Yeah accumulations on the road here are pretty light compared to everything else. Temps are creeping up to 31F. Real show probably won't be until late afternoon. 

[Front Ranger]

Looks like most models show snow for Western WA early on Friday night, changing to rain late Friday night/early Saturday morning, then changing back to snow later Saturday morning/early afternoon.

 

With some elevation (and luck) some places might be able to forego the precip change and remain snow, allowing for higher totals. Also, models are normally too quick in bringing the arctic air in but also too quick to scour it out.

 

Something to keep an eye on.

 

Yeah, definitely way too soon to throw in the towel for a nice event for those that don't score today.

 

At the same time, those insisting that any difference is negligible in Portland vs. Seattle cold/snow since 2012 will be looking even less empathetic after today.

[TT-SEA]

Looks like most models show snow for Western WA early on Friday night, changing to rain late Friday night/early Saturday morning, then changing back to snow later Saturday morning/early afternoon.

 

With some elevation (and luck) some places might be able to forego the precip change and remain snow, allowing for higher totals. Also, models are normally too quick in bringing the arctic air in but also too quick to scour it out.

 

Something to keep an eye on.

 

 

FWIW... the 12Z GFS shows chilly rain all weekend even for my area.    Looks like an ugly weekend on that run.   

 

It might start out as snow on Friday but it transitions quickly with onshore flow.

[wxmet]

If it weren't for the models, the radar certainly makes you think things could get up into King County. Also encouraging to see reflectivities north of the Olympics. 

[TT-SEA]

What a strange pattern...

 

[HighlandExperience]

I’m sure tt location will bask in snow all weekend

[BLI snowman]

Decent sized flakes here. Up over 1/2" new on the grass and other surfaces, not much on the roads yet.

[Jesse]

Basically dumping here now. About up to a half inch as well. Didn’t expect this this morning. I wonder if it will steal any of this evening’s thunder.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Sun is trying to come out.

[Jesse]

PDX down to 31. Shame they couldn’t have dipped into the 20s overnight for a sexy 30s/20s spread today.

 

At any rate a record MIN/MAX is looking likely today. The number to beat is 38 from 2006.

[Winterdog]

Cloud cover should cap temps possibly under 30 today for my area.

I doubt that will happen. I’m guessing we’ll see the sun or at least filtered sun and reach at least 35F today.

[TT-SEA]

I’m sure tt location will bask in snow all weekend

 

No way.   

 

Here is Sunday from the 12Z GFS from the WB surface maps.   This is not even close to snow at my house.   Not that I will be there to see it anyways. 

 

 

[BLI snowman]

PDX down to 31. Shame they couldn’t have dipped into the 20s overnight for a sexy 30s/20s spread today.

 

At any rate a record MIN/MAX is looking likely today. The number to beat is 38 from 2006.

 

Outside chance they can hit 29 by midnight.

[Jesse]

Really beautiful out right now. Huge flakes are my favorite.

 

About to make the commute to Salmon Creek. Wish me luck guys!!! : /

[TT-SEA]

Really beautiful out right now. Huge flakes are my favorite.

 

About to make the commute to Salmon Creek. Wish me luck guys!!! : /

 

Call in sick!   Enjoy the day. 

[FroYoBro]

Beaverton just made the call to end schools early today. Getting out at 12 p.m.! Woo hoo! 

[BLI snowman]

Really beautiful out right now. Huge flakes are my favorite.

 

About to make the commute to Salmon Creek. Wish me luck guys!!! : /

 

Roads should be fine right now, thinking they stay fairly clear until late afternoon.

[Blizzard777]

Roads should be fine right now, thinking they stay fairly clear until late afternoon.

Family member just reported easy trip from Longview to Troutdale

[Blizzard777]

Well, I’m not going to stress myself out and watch the radar. I’m heading down to Redondo beach on the sound for a nice exercise walk

In the crisp cool air

[MossMan]

No way.

 

Here is Sunday from the 12Z GFS from the WB surface maps. This is not even close to snow at my house. Not that I will be there to see it anyways.

 

 

Snowmizer said I was getting buried this weekend...

[HighlandExperience]

Light snow reported now in Tacoma

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Switched to a light rain

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Heaviest snow of the morning here in Gresham. Radar blowing up over PDX Metro!

[Karl Bonner]

A second pulse of modified arctic air Thursday for the Columbia Basin?

 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Snowmizer said I was getting buried this weekend...

Tim picked the warmest map he could find. I just looked at all of them. WOW

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Grass Turning white in port orchard. Coming down good despite the radar looking weak.

[TT-SEA]

Tim picked the warmest map he could find. I just looked at all of them. WOW

 

Bullshit.

 

Alpine said my area would be "basking in snow" all weekend and that is just not true based on the 12Z GFS.    I wanted to demonstrate that point with the map from Sunday which clearly is rain for everyone below 2,000 feet.  

 

I am sure it will snow during the initial part of the system on Friday night into Saturday morning.  

[FroYoBro]

Today would have been an amazing snow event about a month ago. We are probably going to get a lot of non-sticking snow today. 

[Jesse]

Today would have been an amazing snow event about a month ago. We are probably going to get a lot of non-sticking snow today.

Yeah, not sticking on the roads at all now.

 

Hopefully that deformation zone pans out this evening.

[FroYoBro]

Yeah, not sticking on the roads at all now.

 

Hopefully that deformation zone pans out this evening.

Yep, our really good sticking snow chances might be relegated to a 2-3 hour window this evening. 

[Farmboy]

Bullshit.

 

Alpine said my area would be "basking in snow" all weekend and that is just not true based on the 12Z GFS. I wanted to demonstrate that point with the map from Sunday which clearly is rain for everyone below 2,000 feet.

 

I am sure it will snow during the initial part of the system on Friday night into Saturday morning.

Why not wait until the 12z Euro and another run or two come out before making such a definitive statement....

[TT-SEA]

Why not wait until the 12z Euro and another run or two come out before making such a definitive statement....

 

 I said "based on the 12Z GFS".   

[TT-SEA]

But I thought you just said almost everyone will only see chilly rain? And no, it's not BS. Here is the actual 2-meter temperature from the same hour you posted before.

 

Don't you have a beach to go sit on somewhere?

 

Too early in the morning... its not even 8 a.m. here.   

 

And that map shows temps in the low 40s.    That is not accumulating snow below 2,000 feet.    

[FroYoBro]

This initial band seems to be consolidating pretty nicely over the Portland area. Getting really nice moderate snow that is starting to stick a bit better.

[Front Ranger]

Thats doable for my gf and I, might have to do some research. What about Evergreen? Any recommendations?

 

Evergreen is about 30 min west of Denver, definitely in the hills and higher elevation than Boulder. It gets a TON of snow, probably around 150"/year, and it's a nice town in a beautiful area - lots of elk, bear and other wildlife. It's also less expensive than Boulder...you can get a decent SFR there for $400-$500k.

 

PM me if you'd like to know more. 

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Beaverton just made the call to end schools early today. Getting out at 12 p.m.! Woo hoo!

You might not have school until Friday!

[Guest Dome Buster]

On vacation in Hawaii and has nothing better to do than bicker on a weather forum. Go spend some time with your family for crying out loud.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Sun starting to come out here in Salem as the initial energy pulls away. The fiancé is heading up to Beaverton around noon. Told her if she leaves to head back around 4-5p she should be totally fine.