March Weather in the Pacific Northwest

[TT-SEA]

I’m looking at the large scale pattern over the next 8+ months, mostly. I wouldn’t expect great matches to any of these years, and month-to-month is too short of a timeframe for analogs without a large sample size featuring structural homogeneity..which we don’t have.

 

So anything is possible!  

[Phil]

So anything is possible!

Within certain boundaries, as usual. Getting said boundaries correct is the challenge.

[Phil]

Snowing in DC!

Guess I can add a slushy 1/4” to my seasonal total.

 

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Guess I can add a slushy 1/4” to my seasonal total.

 

 

 

It counts!

[Phil]

It counts!

We’d be getting 8-12” if the 500mb vort tracked 75 miles farther south. The March 13th storm needs to redeem this disaster.

[MossMan]

Pressure washed at home all day, I got warm. Now I’m about to do some painting inside, I’m still warm.

Can’t wait to go back to work on Thursday.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

It hasn't rained in August since 2004. I think we'll see at least 2.50" this year. Probably some days in the 60s.

We'd need to get some good thunderstorms move over from the Cascades for that to happen.

[MossMan]

Guess I can add a slushy 1/4” to my seasonal total.

You need to measure in feet like I did a few weeks ago!

The great storm of Feb. 2018...oh the memories!

[Front Ranger]

We’d be getting 8-12” if the 500mb vort tracked 75 miles farther south. The March 13th storm needs to redeem this disaster.

 

DCA still trailing both SEA and PDX for seasonal snowfall. Again. Yikes.

[Front Ranger]

Pressure washed at home all day, I got warm. Now I’m about to do some painting inside, I’m still warm.

 

Goes to show how cold spring has been to this point!

[Phil]

You need to measure in feet like I did a few weeks ago!

The great storm of Feb. 2018...oh the memories!

Yeah, why don’t you share some then? Lol.

 

Been a rough few years here. I think we’re still repaying our debt from 2016.

[weatherfan2012]

Yeah, why don’t you share some then? Lol.

Been a rough few years here. I think we’re still repaying our debt from 2016.

lol to think that storm happen in the mist of such a warm winter.

[snow_wizard]

Pretty surprised to see OLM only missed a record low by 4 degrees this morning.  Let's keep it going.

[Phil]

Maybe Andrew is good luck. Actually coming down okayishly now..could rack up a few inches at this rate.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Guess I can add a slushy 1/4” to my seasonal total.

 

 

At least you're getting something. Looks like parts of the NE are going to get hammered with over a foot plus of snow. Going to be fun watching webcams as the Nor'easter hits them.

[TT-SEA]

Maybe Andrew is good luck. Actually coming down okayishly now..could rack up a few inches at this rate.

 

I am working with someone in upstate NY tomorrow morning... she said she will be working from home in anticipation of a blizzard.

[TT-SEA]

Sunrise alert for tomorrow morning... models show just the right amount of high clouds at that time making for a potential show. 

[Jesse]

Pretty surprised to see OLM only missed a record low by 4 degrees this morning. Let's keep it going.

Even PDX only missed one by 2F.

[Phil]

At least you're getting something. Looks like parts of the NE are going to get hammered with over a foot plus of snow. Going to be fun watching webcams as the Nor'easter hits them.

Missing this one stings a bit. If the next one misses to the south, I might need to take a sabbatical from weather.

[Jesse]

At least you're getting something. Looks like parts of the NE are going to get hammered with over a foot plus of snow. Going to be fun watching webcams as the Nor'easter hits them.

 

They should be ready for spring and warmth like us are.

[TT-SEA]

00Z ECMWF is dry and warm through Tuesday from Eugene northward to BC.   Weak band of rain is finally approaching the area on Tuesday evening on this run. 

[Jesse]

00Z ECMWF is dry and warm through Tuesday from Eugene northward to BC. Weak band of rain is finally approaching the area on Tuesday evening on this run.

That D**n front just keeps getting pushed back. Really frustrating.

[TT-SEA]

37 here... but 32 in the valley and 36 at SEA.

 

I am going to make a guess that a little east wind has surfaced here in my east wind prone location.    That has been rare lately.  

 

New flash... my area is usually as warm or even warmer than most locations when there is an east wind.   And there was frequent east wind here last fall and even more in December.  Some people just don't seem to understand how this is possible.   They need a geography lesson.  

[TT-SEA]

Sunrise alert for tomorrow morning... models show just the right amount of high clouds at that time making for a potential show. 

 

Not enough high clouds here... just a couple wisps here.    

 

Looks better to the south and west though.    Better in Seattle as well...

 

[Winterdog]

Had a low of 25F here. Pretty nippy.

[Jesse]

Got down to 29 here.

[Phil]

Fred is getting obliterated. Man, missing this by 75 miles really stings. There are some 60dbz+ snow returns in there.

 

[High Desert Mat!]

Fred is getting obliterated. Man, missing this by 75 miles really stings. There are some 60dbz+ snow returns in there.

 

That's pretty funny Phil. We've said 75 miles 20 times this winter. Reap what you sow.

[Jesse]

Back to back lows of 25 at Olympia. Not too bad for March.

[Front Ranger]

Team Tim should like the 12z Euro. Team Jesse...not as much. Step back from yesterday's 12z.

[Jesse]

12z Euro is a definite improvement over the 00z.

[TT-SEA]

12z Euro is a definite improvement over the 00z.

 

Less precip later next week as well.   Its dry and partly sunny again by Thursday.  

 

Barely any mountain snow after the warm spell ends on Tuesday evening... just a couple inches for most of the Cascades.

[Geos]

Beautiful day yesterday with temps up near 50. Lows have been pretty consistent since Saturday, except Monday morning.

Sat: 30, Sun: 30, Mon: 36, Tue: 31, Wed: 30

[Phil]

Team Tim should like the 12z Euro. Team Jesse...not as much. Step back from yesterday's 12z.

It’s a structural improvement over the 00z, though.

[Phil]

Actually, I think the last three Euro runs have improved the longwave pattern across the WHEM, structurally speaking. One more bump out of NW Canada on the 00z run and I think the outlook will improve significantly.

[Jesse]

Less precip later next week as well. Its dry and partly sunny again by Thursday.

 

Barely any mountain snow after the warm spell ends on Tuesday evening... just a couple inches for most of the Cascades.

!!!!!

[Jesse]

Actually, I think the last three Euro runs have improved the longwave pattern across the WHEM, structurally speaking. One more bump out of NW Canada on the 00z run and I think the outlook will improve significantly.

Agreed. Definitely a step in the right direction.

[Front Ranger]

Less precip later next week as well.   Its dry and partly sunny again by Thursday.  

 

Barely any mountain snow after the warm spell ends on Tuesday evening... just a couple inches for most of the Cascades.

 

 

It’s a structural improvement over the 00z, though.

 

Ok...Tim's post spells out what I was referring to. It stays drier longer, and the eventual troughing is weaker. That's the reality of what it shows.

 

Glad to hear Jesse likes it, though. 

[Bryant]

I would like to rewind time to February 23rd at 10:30pm... sitting in Pizza Pipeline with Brennan, eating a well done creamy pesto pepperoni pizza, while watching it snow out the window. That's my kind of night right there

[SilverFallsAndrew]

The snow in the air was fun last night though.