El Nina Posted April 17, 2018 Report Share Posted April 17, 2018 I do like the daffodils in January. And I only posted a couple pics. But the additional discussion beyond the first observation was clearly trolling on my part. 100%. I troll and observe trolling. Not a big deal. So you admit to trolling, then get mad at someone when you think they're trolling? OK Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 17, 2018 Report Share Posted April 17, 2018 So you admit to trolling, then get mad at someone when you think they're trolling? OKNot mad at all. Just pointing it out. I fully expect it. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted April 17, 2018 Report Share Posted April 17, 2018 The rain finally stopped. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 17, 2018 Report Share Posted April 17, 2018 The rain finally stopped.Here too. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 17, 2018 Report Share Posted April 17, 2018 Working with a client in London this morning... spring has really arrived there. Looks like 60s and 70s and sunny there all week. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted April 17, 2018 Report Share Posted April 17, 2018 Here too.Wish I had a rain gauge, it’s been epic rains. Need to get a rain gauge for the new place. I would like to get a full out weather station with all included...but will probably end up just getting a plastic cheapie for now. Jesse says I’m going to drown up there but I feel like it has been drier at work than at my soon to be old place. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuffradio Posted April 17, 2018 Author Report Share Posted April 17, 2018 It's still raining steadily here. I've received another 0.5" of rain and it's still going. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 17, 2018 Report Share Posted April 17, 2018 Wish I had a rain gauge, it’s been epic rains. Need to get a rain gauge for the new place. I would like to get a full out weather station with all included...but will probably end up just getting a plastic cheapie for now. Jesse says I’m going to drown up there but I feel like it has been drier at work than at my soon to be old place. It probably has been drier. I think your move north will more than offset your move east given that its generally wetter overall farther south. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted April 17, 2018 Report Share Posted April 17, 2018 Wish I had a rain gauge, it’s been epic rains. Need to get a rain gauge for the new place. I would like to get a full out weather station with all included...but will probably end up just getting a plastic cheapie for now. Jesse says I’m going to drown up there but I feel like it has been drier at work than at my soon to be old place.We are probably pretty similar for rain totals. I’ve had over 3.5” since the 14th and 8.7” this month so far. I’ve got standing water over much of my property so no mowing possibilities. This is already the wettest April here since I began keeping records in 1992. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuffradio Posted April 17, 2018 Author Report Share Posted April 17, 2018 I have missed this. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted April 17, 2018 Report Share Posted April 17, 2018 Pretty nice morning here in Salem. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted April 17, 2018 Report Share Posted April 17, 2018 It will be interesting to watch this place calm down as the weather and Tim's post count dry up. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 17, 2018 Report Share Posted April 17, 2018 It will be interesting to watch this place calm down as the weather and Tim's post count dry up. I keep posting all year long. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 17, 2018 Report Share Posted April 17, 2018 Nice to have some dry hours. Not a bad morning so far, just really cloudy. Dipped to 40 this morning - was a bit nippy with the wind. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted April 17, 2018 Report Share Posted April 17, 2018 We are probably pretty similar for rain totals. I’ve had over 3.5” since the 14th and 8.7” this month so far. I’ve got standing water over much of my property so no mowing possibilities. This is already the wettest April here since I began keeping records in 1992.Thanks, yeah I also have some standing water in my lower field which never has visible water so I believe it. The new owners might have some long grass unless I can catch a mow on Sunday...our last day at the old place. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 17, 2018 Report Share Posted April 17, 2018 Here comes the sun! Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 17, 2018 Report Share Posted April 17, 2018 240 inch base at the top of Alpental and snowing... looks like January conditions up there. Going to be a rough summer up here! http://www.summitatsnoqualmie.com/webcams/CentralExpress.jpg?0.5879158562200095 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 17, 2018 Report Share Posted April 17, 2018 All of WA is above normal for snow pack... including the Lower Columbia basin. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted April 17, 2018 Report Share Posted April 17, 2018 All of WA is above normal for snow pack... including the Lower Columbia basin. Looks dire. Start saving your bottle waters now for when your well or city water dries up. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 17, 2018 Report Share Posted April 17, 2018 Looks dire. Start saving your bottle waters now for when your well or city water dries up. Yeah... its hopeless. And on top of that... a band of rain just missed my area to the south. Really disappointed. Why does have it to be dry for so long? I really miss the rain. Hopefully we get hit hard this afternoon to make up for the dry anomaly in the 8 am - noon period here. Running way below normal since dawn. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 17, 2018 Report Share Posted April 17, 2018 Good lord guys. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 17, 2018 Report Share Posted April 17, 2018 Looks like the 12z runs have trended towards cutting off the low next week and dropping it down into California, which creates an extended warm spell. Hopefully future runs trend away from this solution. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 17, 2018 Report Share Posted April 17, 2018 12Z ECMWF sure is pretty. A weak band of rain on Friday night is pretty much it after the showers this afternoon. Might get fairly warm next week. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted April 17, 2018 Report Share Posted April 17, 2018 Miserable on the job site today. Cloudy, low 40s, gusty winds, occasional mist, and lots of mud. Just as I was becoming acclimated to highs in the 80s, mother nature yanks the rug out. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 17, 2018 Report Share Posted April 17, 2018 Very normal for cutoffs like that to trend north as verification time approaches this time of year so I am hopeful. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 17, 2018 Report Share Posted April 17, 2018 Looks like the 12z runs have trended towards cutting off the low next week and dropping it down into California, which creates an extended warm spell. Hopefully future runs trend away from this solution. Oh Jesse. No amount of rain and crappy weather will ever make you ready for nice weather. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 17, 2018 Report Share Posted April 17, 2018 Very normal for cutoffs like that to trend north as verification time approaches this time of year so I am hopeful. Trended way south on the 12Z ECMWF... in response to consolidated flow to our north. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted April 17, 2018 Report Share Posted April 17, 2018 Miserable on the job site today. Cloudy, low 40s, gusty winds, occasional mist, and lots of mud. Just as I was becoming acclimated to highs in the 80s, mother nature yanks the rug out.Cool downs after warm ups are pretty common out this way too. I feel like we're making a connection! 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted April 17, 2018 Report Share Posted April 17, 2018 Models completely failed to simulate this MJO wave in the IO/EHEM. With the final warming yesterday, in conjunction with the gradual eastward propagation of convection, there will be some serious modeling flip/flops over the next several weeks. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted April 17, 2018 Report Share Posted April 17, 2018 Shower incoming! Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted April 17, 2018 Report Share Posted April 17, 2018 Dumped here this morning. Ball fields all soaked so we will have to postpone the softball games...again. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 17, 2018 Report Share Posted April 17, 2018 Miserable on the job site today. Cloudy, low 40s, gusty winds, occasional mist, and lots of mud. Just as I was becoming acclimated to highs in the 80s, mother nature yanks the rug out.Sounds gorgeous. Get naked and roll in the mud! Nature's gift to you. When you reach 17 days of the same weather then you can think about complaining. Hopefully any warm up in the models disappears and it stays miserable. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted April 17, 2018 Report Share Posted April 17, 2018 Cool downs after warm ups are pretty common out this way too. I feel like we're making a connection!Lol. At least for now. The real test of our relationship starts when the Bermuda High develops. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted April 17, 2018 Report Share Posted April 17, 2018 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 17, 2018 Report Share Posted April 17, 2018 12Z ECMWF shows Portland pushing 80 degrees one week from today. And in the 70s up here. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfan2012 Posted April 17, 2018 Report Share Posted April 17, 2018 Miserable on the job site today. Cloudy, low 40s, gusty winds, occasional mist, and lots of mud. Just as I was becoming acclimated to highs in the 80s, mother nature yanks the rug out. mother nature has been great at yanking the rugs out on us this winter spring for sure Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted April 17, 2018 Report Share Posted April 17, 2018 Honestly Tim, whining about rain in April in the PNW is like winning the lottery but whining about having to split the winnings with someone else. Give me a break. You have months of perfect weather every summer. It’s virtually guaranteed. Better summers than anywhere else in the country (probably the best summers anywhere on the North American continent). I experienced it firsthand when visiting last year. It’s absolute perfection, every freaking year. So, if you have to deal with rainy weather in April, who the f**k cares? April showers bring May flowers. Deal with it already. Heck, embrace it. I would if I lived there. No point in throwing tantrums when you’re 10 feet from the finish line. 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted April 17, 2018 Report Share Posted April 17, 2018 I keep posting all year long. It's relative. You've been on quite the roll lately. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted April 17, 2018 Report Share Posted April 17, 2018 For anyone curious about the recent summers, one factor has been a persistent JJA vortex over Greenland, which was absent from 2008-12. Through the 21st century, the summer NAO holds a larger correlation to PNW climate than the winter NAO. It explains about 40% of the variance @ 500mb, which is higher than any other teleconnection index: Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted April 17, 2018 Report Share Posted April 17, 2018 Essentially every June that featured a healthy -NAO (by Jim Hurrell methodology, normalized) over the last 20yrs was followed by a cooler than average JJA and/or JAS in the PNW. So, maybe watch the June NAO for clues as to the remainder of summer this year? If only I’d known about this correlation last year..lol. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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