August 2018 Weather in the Pacific Northwest

[TT-SEA]

Total precip through day 9 per the 12Z ECMWF... has not updated through day 10 but it looks warmer/drier by the end of the run anyways. 

 

[Deweydog]

I'll handle this, Jess:

 

F*ck off, Tim.

[Jesse]

Total precip through day 9 per the 12Z ECMWF... has not updated through day 10 but it looks warmer/drier by the end of the run anyways.

 

How much would you pay to have the heat and drought continue, if you could? I know it’s pretty important to you.

[Jesse]

I'll handle this, Jess:

 

F*ck off, Tim.

That seems to be your catchphrase lately.

[Deweydog]

That seems to be your catchphrase lately.

Haha!

[Jesse]

Haha!

Probably a tie between the two.

[Front Ranger]

How much would you pay to have the heat and drought continue, if you could? I know it’s pretty important to you.

Can you imagine the weather if it was based off an auction system, where highest bidder gets the weather they want? Tim would just keep getting what he wants...

[Deweydog]

Probably a tie between the two.

Prove it.

[TT-SEA]

How much would you pay to have the heat and drought continue, if you could? I know it’s pretty important to you.

 

 

None.   I would probably pay some money to end the fire season actually.   But I know you need someone to beat up on since nature does not give a f*ck about what you want.   

 

I know all too well about nature's cruel indifference!  

 

In addition to clearing the smoke... it would be nice to get a break from this:

 

[Jesse]

Can you imagine the weather if it was based off an auction system, where highest bidder gets the weather they want? Tim would just keep getting what he wants...

I think that system went into effect sometime late in 2012 or early in 2013.

[Deweydog]

None. I would probably pay some money to end the fire season actually. But I know you need someone to beat up on since nature does not give a f*ck about what you want.

 

I know all too well about nature's cruel indifference!

 

It would be nice to get a break from this too...

 

Our September water bill should be about $350.

 

#unprecedented

#newnormaluntilitsnot

[Front Ranger]

I think that system went into effect sometime late in 2012 or early in 2013.

But... WETTEST 4 YEARS IN HUMAN HISTORY.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

GFS ensembles were improved!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

September 2013 was the wettest on record!

[Front Ranger]

GFS continues to lead the way.

[Jesse]

Does the Canadian only run when it’s ridgier than other models?

[Deweydog]

GFS continues to lead the way.

What an absolutely pathetic piece of model.

 

And humidity kills.

[TT-SEA]

But... WETTEST 4 YEARS IN HUMAN HISTORY.

There have been some extraordinarily wet rainy seasons in there. Including back-to-back records. That goes on for months and months.

 

The dry weather in my area this summer now stands at 6 weeks. And there was a decent rain event in there 10 days ago.

 

I did not get to enjoy all of amazing late spring and early summer that Portland enjoyed.

 

So Jesse had pro-Tim weather and Tim had pro-Jesse weather. That sucks for both of us!

[Phil]

[TT-SEA]

Does the Canadian only run when it’s ridgier than other models?

GEM was definitely ridgier for this weekend. And ridgier than its previous run.

 

Sorry... neglected to mention that.

[Jesse]

GEM was definitely ridgier for this weekend. And ridgier than its previous run.

 

Sorry... neglected to mention that.

Good news all around.

[Deweydog]

[TT-SEA]

Good news all around.

Actually way ridgier... almost no rain for anyone through 240 hours.

[Jesse]

Actually way ridgier... almost no rain for anyone through 240 hours.

Eww...put that away. This is a family forum.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

The Canadian also showed repeated arctic blasts last winter. Except when we actually got cold, then it was the last to get on board.

[Jesse]

So are we heading into a long term troughy period or continuing on with the endless ridging? Seems mixed depending on who you ask.

 

I’d lean toward the latter.

[Deweydog]

I put Led Zepplin's The Rain Song on my phone about a month ago and it's barely helped at all.

[TT-SEA]

So are we heading into a long term troughy period or continuing on with the endless ridging? Seems mixed depending on who you ask.

 

I’d lean toward the latter.

Probably somewhere in the middle.

[BLI snowman]

Euro shows a washout Labor Day weekend.

[TT-SEA]

Euro shows a washout Labor Day weekend.

Euro only goes out to next Thursday.

[Front Ranger]

There have been some extraordinarily wet rainy seasons in there. Including back-to-back records. That goes on for months and months.

 

The dry weather in my area this summer now stands at 6 weeks. And there was a decent rain event in there 10 days ago.

 

I did not get to enjoy all of amazing late spring and early summer that Portland enjoyed.

 

So Jesse had pro-Tim weather and Tim had pro-Jesse weather. That sucks for both of us!

I like how you continue to act like your area completely missed late April-May.

[BLI snowman]

Euro only goes out to next Thursday.

 

Wave train is setting up nicely there. Pretty obvious that Aug. 31-Sept. 3 are going to be gray. Energy swinging down straight from Juneau. 

 

Sorry.

[TT-SEA]

I like how you continue to act like your area completely missed late April-May.

Late April was nice... we got screwed in May compared to most of the region. Lots of cloudy days that were sunny elsewhere. June as well. And we had rain and clouds on 8 of 10 days leading up to the 4th.

[TT-SEA]

Wave train is setting up nicely there. Pretty obvious that Aug. 31-Sept. 3 are going to be gray. Energy swinging down straight from Juneau.

 

Sorry.

Except that the mid range trended drier and warmer. I am sure extrapolating the ECMWF out to day 15 is going to work out great!

[GobBluth]

So are we heading into a long term troughy period or continuing on with the endless ridging? Seems mixed depending on who you ask.

 

I’d lean toward the latter.

or more zonal where the euro looks today.

[Jesse]

Except that the mid range trended drier and warmer. I am sure extrapolating the ECMWF out to day 15 is going to work out great!

Mid range trending cooler and wetter on the GFS. The Euro has been following it around a lot lately.

[Jesse]

EPS should settle this once and for all. I will assume no news from Tim is good news!

[BLI snowman]

Except that the mid range trended drier and warmer. I am sure extrapolating the ECMWF out to day 15 is going to work out great!

 

GFS rules the mid range.

 

I definitely agree that it's unfortunate that the kids are to have to suffer their last weekend of summer indoors. Wasted season.

[Jesse]

We can all troll Tim until the cows come home but the sad fact is that the weather almost invariably goes his way even when he pretends it doesn’t. Helps to have climate change in your corner.

[TT-SEA]

We can all troll Tim until the cows come home but the sad fact is that the weather almost invariably goes his way even when he pretends it doesn’t. Helps to have climate change in your corner.

 

No pretending.  

 

Feels like only July and August have gone my way lately.   The rest of the year has generally sucked worse than usual overall with some exceptions.