Craig-OmahaWX Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 Next weekend already peaking my interest. Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5" For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 : https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 Next weekend already peaking my interest. Same. Temperature is a major issue (and probably THE issue) with this one though. It is very possible that it could be 100% rain for us. Who knows, maybe the low will be a bit more South and temperature won't be an issue anymore. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 Same. Temperature is a major issue (and probably THE issue) with this one though. It is very possible that it could be 100% rain for us. Who knows, maybe the low will be a bit more South and temperature won't be an issue anymore. FV3 seeing it. Has a swath of snow moving NE across Iowa Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 It looks ineteresting Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 Iffy thermals for next weekend on many of the models this afternoon. Lots of people gonna have their foot of snow melt one week later. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 Iffy thermals for next weekend on many of the models this afternoon. Lots of people gonna have their foot of snow melt one week later. We'll have plow piles. That's officially winter down here 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 Currently at 38F w cloudy skies. Breezy conditions also. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 FV3 seeing it. Has a swath of snow moving NE across IowaI'm seeing all rain for NE and IA on FV3. Basically the only model showing that too. Rain/snow line isn't even close to here on there. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 ICON for next week's storm is.... Interesting to say the least. The low has a literal seizure in Colorado then ends up way South of other models, moving the low over Ark City. Same areas that got crushed today get crushed in that scenario. I'm discounting that right now simply because of how to low behaves in Colorado. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 Gfs takes it from OK to N IL but no cold air to work with at all Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 GEM a no-go as well. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 GFS says "what storm? Oh yeah, that one. Yeah it's gonna go way South. Anyway, here's a shortwave with light snow for you." Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig-OmahaWX Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 After the stunt the GFS pulled at 0z last night forecasting 11 inches for here i wouldn't put much stock in it this far out. Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5" For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 : https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 Ukie looks good with 995 L in IL and more cold air than the other models Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 My luck it will be a perfect track but all rain haha Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 After the stunt the GFS pulled at 0z last night forecasting 11 inches for here i wouldn't put much stock in it this far out.GFS did something similar last week. I agree, let's wait a couple days and we can decide if we want to punt or not then. If I remember correctly, I think Euro even lost today's storm for a bit. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 My luck it will be a perfect track but all rain hahaThe way it’s been going the last few years Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 I’m all in on the euro. The official total for my area was 3.1, I measured 2.5 but the euro was showing 3.5 for me 4 days in advance. I’m riding that model for this next weekends storm hopefully! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 Euro is.really juiced for next weekend Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 989 L in IL https://tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=ecmwf®ion=us&pkg=T850&runtime=2018112600&fh=144 Looks like Ukie at 144 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 12+ from NE/IA/WI on the euro Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 12+ from NE/IA/WI on the euro Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 Looks about right Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 Suppression in play with the possible system next weekend. South is the way to go again. Chicago gonna get another monster. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 Wow that Euro would be perfect for me. Too bad its 5 days out and that is another narrow snow band. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 Hopefully the Euro is on to something. Seems like it has done better lately. Regardless, that is a heck of a storm parade on the GFS. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 What is the Ukie showing for precip? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 Here are the definitions of several winter weather Watches and Warnings for much of our area Winter Storm WatchA Winter Storm Watch is issued when there is the potential for significant and hazardous winter weather within 48 hours. It does not mean that significant and hazardous winter weather will occur...it only means it is possible.Winter Storm WarningA Winter Storm Warning is issued when a significant combination of hazardous winter weather is occurring or imminent.Significant and hazardous winter weather is defined as a combination of:1) 6 inches or more of snow/sleet within a 12-hour period or 8 inches or more of snow/sleet within a 24-hour periodAND/OR2) Enough ice accumulation to cause damage to trees or powerlines.AND/OR3) a life threatening or damaging combination of snow and/or ice accumulation with wind.Blizzard WarningA Blizzard Warning means that the following conditions are occurring or expected within the next 12 to 18 hours.1) Snow and/or blowing snow reducing visibility to 1/4 mile or less for 3 hours or longerAND2) Sustained winds of 35 mph or greater or frequent gusts to 35 mph or greater.Winter Weather AdvisoryA Winter Weather Advisory will be issued for any amount of freezing rain, or when 3 to 5 inches of snow (alone or in combination with sleet and freezing rain), is expected to cause a significant inconvenience, but not serious enough to warrant a warning.Ice Storm Warning¼ inch or more of ice accumulation. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iowawx Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 12+ from NE/IA/WI on the euroGood grief. First storm misses CR 15 miles to the south and the other onec misses CR just off to the north. We can’t catch a break here. So sick of it. Here comes another sucky winter! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 Pretty good snow shower right now. That cold advection is strong. Windy and low stratus. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 Near-Jackpot for here with a sharp cutoff only a few miles Southeast of me 6 days out on Euro. What could possibly go wrong? 2 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 Good grief. First storm misses CR 15 miles to the south and the other onec misses CR just off to the north. We can’t catch a break here. So sick of it. Here comes another sucky winter!It's one model showing a storm and its 5 days away. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 Looks about rightHaha... had the same exact thought... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 Currently, snow and wind...several inches expected. Under a WWA. Temp at 34F. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 It stays cold right through the week w snow chances. The 40s try to creep in by the weekend, but don't stay too long. Next week is very cold as highs remain in the 20s and lows in the teens. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 Local met. talking about the wintry pattern upcoming. He mentioned the GFS and Euro for this weekend but says there are many possibilities in the coming weeks. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 Gfs with a good hit to almost the same area 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 Anyone thinking the next storm will be north is fooling themselves. Split flow pattern with a very strong southern stream means very little chance of anything north. Unless the setup changes, lock in the southern solutions. Not saying it can’t or won’t happen, but it doesn’t look likely atm 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 Not a lot of sunshine in my forecast...that's for sure Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 I nice little warm-up by the weekend as temps approach the 40s w rain. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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