MossMan Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 Light rain and 46 currently. Everyone ready to go back to work tomorrow and multitask with model riding? Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 I love hubris. Roasted red pepper is the best flavor. I knew you would appreciate the unsolicited rant. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 Wait, those areas did experience a nasty windstorm in April of 2017. So the weather-excitement drought has been since April of 2017, not March. The Portland area actually hasn't had any exciting weather event since January 21, 1943, a date where we had a fairly okay snowfall. Hopefully the streak ends this winter but it looks like Minot is going to steal our cold again so that's lame. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 Wasn't really that nasty. We tied everything down and didn't have any gusts strong enough to blow even the patio furniture around.So that wasn’t your patio furniture that blew into Matt’s yard? Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 Light rain and 46 currently. Everyone ready to go back to work tomorrow and multitask with model riding? Your telling me. Actually catching up on some work this evening so already getting into the flow of the week. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 So that wasn’t your patio furniture that blew into Matt’s yard? A lot of action happened on that patio swing. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 The Portland area actually hasn't had any exciting weather event since January 21, 1943, a date where we had a fairly okay snowfall. Hopefully the streak ends this winter but it looks like Minot is going to steal our cold again so that's lame. Excuse me, that's just incorrect. Please review the records, Portland hasn't had any exciting weather since 1880, when we had that minor bluster in January. No event has managed to break our streak in the years since, but maybe this will be the year. 3 Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted November 26, 2018 Author Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 Hail the size baseballs in August 10 1961 in Klamath Falls, think it smashed some windows.Ever since that evening not the darndest ever thing in this here chicken town. 1 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 21 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7 5/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 At this point it just feels like the cold will always slide east in this new climate.We will never fit in Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 It's November 25th. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 It's November 25th.Less than 6 hours from being the 26th! Seems like winter is pretty much over by these comments on here Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 Less than 6 hours from being the 26th! Seems like winter is pretty much over by these comments on hereFront loaded winters mean front loaded anxiety. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 Hail the size baseballs in August 10 1961 in Klamath Falls, think it smashed some windows. Ever since that evening not the darndest ever thing in this here chicken town. August 10th is my birthday, that would have been one awesome way to celebrate! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
van city Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 In all honesty it's been all quiet on the western front since 7-10-08. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 I knew you would appreciate the unsolicited rant. Is there any other kind? Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 Is there any other kind? Grave danger? Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 20181125_184342.jpg Wow! The 2nd map looks like a continuation of November, with a bit colder weather out here, likely due to inversions. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 PV is also looking likely to weaken a lot heading into next week. Could be what the models are catching onto heading into week two. 1 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 PV is also looking likely to weaken a lot heading into next week. Could be what the models are catching onto heading into week two. The AO has already been tanked most this month. Any fears of a roided up PV have been overblown. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 PV is also looking likely to weaken a lot heading into next week. Could be what the models are catching onto heading into week two. Correct, and it appears it will be dumping the Arctic air to the east. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 The AO has already been tanked most this month. Any fears of a roided up PV have been overblown.A ‘roided-up PV affects the system state in multiple ways. This includes the MJO/tropics and efficiency/longevity of wavecycles/blocking highs. These all play roles in PNW weather/climate tendencies. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 Correct, and it appears it will be dumping the Arctic air to the east.Leaving us in...? Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 The AO has already been tanked most this month. Any fears of a roided up PV have been overblown. Yeah...and it looks to continue for the foreseeable future. Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 A ‘roided-up PV affects the system state in multiple ways. This includes the MJO/tropics and efficiency/longevity of wavecycles/blocking highs. These all play roles in PNW weather/climate tendencies. The blocking highs have been pretty good at delivering cold to the CONUS so far! Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 Leaving us in...? Fake cold doldrums. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 Correct, and it appears it will be dumping the Arctic air to the east. For now... 1 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 The blocking highs have been pretty good at delivering cold to the CONUS so far! EPO also looks to tank as we head into December. Blocky fall meet blocky winter! 1 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 In Flatiron’s world it’s EPO or bust. Nothing else matters. The PV (aka: the cold air production system) is somehow irrelevant. Forget about the fact it’s the wave-1 structure itself that acts as the -EPO conduit. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 Fake cold doldrums.I think we will be entering a period of great potential, exciting times ahead!! 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 In Flatiron’s world it’s EPO or bust. Nothing else matters. The PV (aka: the cold air production system) is somehow irrelevant. Forget about the fact it’s the wave-1 structure itself that acts as the -EPO conduit. Here we go... I think we will be entering a period of great potential, exciting times ahead!! I sure as hell hope so!! 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 I suppose -EPO blocks randomly pop up out of nowhere for no reason at all. They’re definitely not produced via external modulation of waves’ phase speeds. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 Here we go...I’m sure he can take a joke. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 I suppose -EPO blocks randomly pop up out of nowhere for no reason at all. They’re definitely not produced via external modulation of waves’ phase speeds. So Phil...thoughts on if we will see snow flying at sea level in the Puget Sound area sometime over the next 3 weeks? 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 I'm liking the chances for below to well below average temps next month and the CFS agrees so you guys can probably just stop looking at the models now. http://i65.tinypic.com/34gaans.png 3 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 I'm liking the chances for below to well below average temps next month and the CFS agrees so you guys probably just stop looking at the models now. http://i65.tinypic.com/34gaans.png Wow that is like November except the eastern seaboard is a bit warmer than average as opposed to the west coast in November. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 So Phil...thoughts on if we will see snow flying at sea level in the Puget Sound area sometime over the next 3 weeks?I think it’s more likely than not, so long as the cycle of breaking waves (upstream blocking) doesn’t get torpedoed too soon by the PV/EAMT reversal, before the retrograde is complete. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 I'm liking the chances for below to well below average temps next month and the CFS agrees so you guys can probably just stop looking at the models now. http://i65.tinypic.com/34gaans.pngFWIW, I highly doubt the SE ends up warm in December. Maybe some northern locales flip warm at some point once the jet goes bonkers? Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 FWIW, I highly doubt the SE ends up warm in December. Maybe the NE and/or Northern Plains flip warm. But I’m not even sure about that. No one saw all this record November eastern cold/snow coming. I think it's fair to say all bets are off right now. Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 26, 2018 Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 No one saw all this record November eastern cold/snow coming. I think it's fair to say all bets are off right now.The CFS certainly didn’t. I actually thought November would start cold but trend warm in the East with time. It hasn’t exactly worked out that way, though. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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