November 2018 Weather in the Pacific Northwest

[TT-SEA]

12Z EPS...

 

5-10 day period:

 

 

 

 

10-15 day period:

 

 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

12Z EPS...

 

5-10 day period:

 

 

 

 

10-15 day period:

 

 

Hopefully 2020 will deliver.

[MossMan]

12Z EPS...

 

5-10 day period:

 

 

 

 

10-15 day period:

 

 

Looks boring.

[Jesse]

Wet!

[Jesse]

This is the kind of complete lunacy we will look back on in a couple decades and roll our eyes at. People like Paul Ehrlich never admit they are wrong or go away, but their theories and slowly fade from public consciousness. 

 

The fact even you are dubious about things like this shows you haven't entirely succumbed to groupthink, and demonstrates just how far out there these climate warriors are. 

 

I would encourage you to check out Joe Rogan episode 1191, it is an eye opening look at what passes for academia these days.

 

I think if you stripped away all the strawman stuff some of my opinions would surprise you.

[MossMan]

Wet!

White?

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Looks like as we move towards that December 15-20th period we may get some cold onshore flow. 

[TT-SEA]

White?

Maybe way up in the mountains!

[kokaneekidz]

OK. I guess I need to see the optometrist and get a eye exam. Cheers! Merry Xmas as well

No..that pattern won’t do jack squat for you unless the axis of low heights/vortex is centered slightly inland over the Yukon/Alaska. If it’s over the GOA/offshore, that’s warm W/SW flow and a blowtorch across all of western Canada. The only cool anomalies you see with that pattern are over Alaska and the far southern US.

Thankfully, the GOA vortex pattern will not last long.

[luvssnow_spokane]

12Z EPS...

 

5-10 day period:

 

 

 

 

10-15 day period:

 

 

 

Gripping!!   <_ am sure april will look great as usual. src="%7B___base_url___%7D/uploads/emoticons/default_unsure.png" alt=":unsure:">

[Phil]

12Z EPS...

 

5-10 day period:

 

 

 

 

10-15 day period:

 

 

That’s a niño-like pattern if I ever saw one.

 

Shouldn’t last too long though. The GOA vortex is almost certainly going to retrograde westward now. By New Years at latest.

[TT-SEA]

Looks like as we move towards that December 15-20th period we may get some cold onshore flow.

Its November 29th.

 

We are now hoping for mountain snow by the second half of December?

 

That is a long way off.

[Jesse]

Gripping!!   <_ am sure april will look great as usual. src="%7B___base_url___%7D/uploads/emoticons/default_unsure.png" alt=":unsure:">

 

Probably a hot and ridgy April this year.

[luvssnow_spokane]

Vote GOP or die!!!

Spoken like a true democrat

[luvssnow_spokane]

That’s a niño-like pattern if I ever saw one.

 

Shouldn’t last too long though. The GOA vortex is almost certainly going to retrograde westward now. By New Years at latest.

By MLK day at the latest. Maybe with absolute (un)certainty.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Its November 29th.

 

We are now hoping for mountain snow by the second half of December?

 

That is a long way off.

 

The mountains have snow. The Mt. Hood resorts are open I believe and will get some more snow the next few days. I am just pointing out what looks like the pattern progression. Other than being drier than normal, nothing about the observed weather we've had or will see in the next 1-2 weeks screams epic fail like 2002-03 or 1991-92. 

[Phil]

OK. I guess I need to see the optometrist and get a eye exam. Cheers! Merry Xmas as well

Likewise, my friend.

 

My guess is you’re thinking of a 2007/08 or 2011/12 type pattern where the Alaskan vortex is located inland and centers over the Yukon/northern BC instead of offshore over the GOA with higher heights offshore.

 

That type of pattern is cool and stormy with a consolidated jet. This type of pattern has the vortex offshore and split flow into the West. Not gonna do much of anything with that crap.

[luvssnow_spokane]

Probably a hot and ridgy April this year.

BUT the 500mb will be fridged and as we know that is what is most important. Screw the 850's they are so soo 2008

[TT-SEA]

Likewise, my friend.

 

My guess is you’re thinking of a 2007/08 or 2011/12 type pattern where the Alaskan vortex is located inland and centers over the Yukon/northern BC instead of offshore over the GOA with higher heights offshore.

 

That type of pattern is cool and stormy with a consolidated jet. This type of pattern has the vortex offshore and split flow into the West. Not gonna do much of anything with that crap.

 

 

That is my feeling as well.    

[Phil]

That is my feeling as well.

And if the tropics and QBO/warm pool analogs have anything to say about it, then expect those big cold shots to return to the US around New Years and beyond. Might be too far east at that point, but at least it’s something to work with.

[TT-SEA]

This is the kind of complete lunacy we will look back on in a couple decades and roll our eyes at. People like Paul Ehrlich never admit they are wrong or go away, but their theories and slowly fade from public consciousness. 

 

The fact even you are dubious about things like this shows you haven't entirely succumbed to groupthink, and demonstrates just how far out there these climate warriors are. 

 

I would encourage you to check out Joe Rogan episode 1191, it is an eye opening look at what passes for academia these days.

 

 

Back in 1975... global cooling was about to destroy mankind!  

 

https://longreads.com/2017/04/13/in-1975-newsweek-predicted-a-new-ice-age-were-still-living-with-the-consequences/

[Jesse]

Back in 1975... global cooling was about to destroy mankind!  

 

https://longreads.com/2017/04/13/in-1975-newsweek-predicted-a-new-ice-age-were-still-living-with-the-consequences/

 

Must have read the headline and not the article. All-too common problem in today's short attention span society. :'(

[Phil]

Back in 1975... global cooling was about to destroy mankind!

 

https://longreads.com/2017/04/13/in-1975-newsweek-predicted-a-new-ice-age-were-still-living-with-the-consequences/

That article is erroneous too.

 

It claims the cooling from 1940-1975 was confined to the Northern Hemisphere. That’s not true at all. It was worldwide with the exception of Antarctica (which has always been antiphased w/ short term global trends thru the Holocene).

[TT-SEA]

Must have read the headline and not the article. All-too common problem in today's short attention span society. :'(

No... I specifically read the actual Newsweek article embedded.

[Phil]

There was a lot of literature published in the 1970s blaming anthropogenic aerosols for the worldwide cooling.

 

The problem is we don’t like to admit that the climate can change radically, all on its own, without a simple explanation rooted in external radiative forcing(s). Even though almost all of the great Pleistocene climate changes occurred without such a forced trigger.

 

But that’s complicated and unnerving..so we don’t touch that s**t with a ten foot pole.

[TT-SEA]

There was a lot of literature published in the 1970s blaming anthropogenic aerosols for the worldwide cooling.

 

The problem is we don’t like to admit that the climate can change radically, all on its own, without a simple explanation rooted in external radiative forcing(s). Even though almost all of the great Pleistocene climate changes occurred without such a forced trigger.

 

But that’s complicated and unnerving..so we don’t touch that s**t with a ten foot pole.

 

 

Totally agree.  

[Jesse]

There was a lot of literature published in the 1970s blaming anthropogenic aerosols for the worldwide cooling.

 

The problem is we don’t like to admit that the climate can change radically, all on its own, without a simple explanation rooted in external radiative forcing(s). Even though almost all of the great Pleistocene climate changes occurred without such a forced trigger.

 

But that’s complicated and unnerving..so we don’t touch that s**t with a ten foot pole.

 

Totally agree.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

There was a lot of literature published in the 1970s blaming anthropogenic aerosols for the worldwide cooling.

 

The problem is we don’t like to admit that the climate can change radically, all on its own, without a simple explanation rooted in external radiative forcing(s). Even though almost all of the great Pleistocene climate changes occurred without such a forced trigger.

 

But that’s complicated and unnerving..so we don’t touch that s**t with a ten foot pole.

 

Totally agree.

[Phil]

 

I love you guys.

[Jesse]

 

I love you guys.

 

Totally agree.

[MossMan]

There was a lot of literature published in the 1970s blaming anthropogenic aerosols for the worldwide cooling.

 

The problem is we don’t like to admit that the climate can change radically, all on its own, without a simple explanation rooted in external radiative forcing(s). Even though almost all of the great Pleistocene climate changes occurred without such a forced trigger.

 

But that’s complicated and unnerving..so we don’t touch that s**t with a ten foot pole.

99% agree! The 1% is just to be different.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Still sitting at 45. If we stay there it will be our coldest high yet. D-band still dropping light rain.

[Deweydog]

There was a lot of literature published in the 1970s blaming anthropogenic aerosols for the worldwide cooling.

 

The problem is we don’t like to admit that the climate can change radically, all on its own, without a simple explanation rooted in external radiative forcing(s). Even though almost all of the great Pleistocene climate changes occurred without such a forced trigger.

 

But that’s complicated and unnerving..so we don’t touch that s**t with a ten foot pole.

Leonardo DiCaprio and a couple other people disagree.

[Deweydog]

18z looks wet when it shows rain!

[TT-SEA]

18z looks wet when it shows rain!

 

 

This looks seriously wet!   Water could be falling from the sky.    

 

[Esquimalt]

This looks seriously wet!   Water could be falling from the sky.    

 

That's a beauty of a storm in West Virginia though!

[luvssnow_spokane]

18z looks wet when it shows rain!

Must be an outlier.

[luvssnow_spokane]

This looks seriously wet!   Water could be falling from the sky.    

 

 

I think it is virga... IMHO> 

[luvssnow_spokane]

Leonardo DiCaprio and a couple other people disagree.

They are asslings!

[Bryant]

Gripping!! <_ i am sure april will look great as usual. src="%7B___base_url___%7D/uploads/emoticons/default_unsure.png" alt=":unsure:">

And so it begins...