Jesse Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 You spent all weekend attacking me for posting precip and snow maps... and then thanked him for posting a 10-day precip map and said it made you feel better. Just pointing out the irony that you can't deny exists. All weekend? I made maybe 2-3 posts about it on Sunday, and I’d be hard pressed to call them “attacks”. Then when you posted a map on Monday I said all is forgiven. Move on, dude. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 LET'S GO!You realize a SSW doesn't guarantee we get cold right? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 18z also continues the trend of shredding the precip bit by bit. Every GFS run is now a little bit drier than the last. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 All weekend? I made maybe 2-3 posts about it on Sunday, and I’d be hard pressed to call them “attacks”. Then when you posted a map on Monday I said all is forgiven. Move on, dude. It was way more than that. You had no problem being so aggressive over the weekend. Now you want it all to go away! Your praise to Shawnigan for his 10-day precip map was just dripping with irony. Sorry... I have to point that out. I assume you knew that was going to be the case of course. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 It was way more than that. You had no problem being so aggressive over the weekend. Now you want it all to go away!I’m sure everyone else does too! Your reaction was a lot worse than anything I posted. Kind of like now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 I’m sure everyone else does too! Your reaction was a lot worse than anything I posted. Kind of like now. Based on my messages over the weekend... nobody wanted to hear from you on the topic. Own it! Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 18z also continues the trend of shredding the precip bit by bit. Every GFS run is now a little bit drier than the last.Gotta put hope in the wetter Euro I suppose. Pretty hard to fathom a dry winter after the insane warm season we just had. We’ll be facing a Central California style tree die off with another year of this. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 Let it go Jesse. Your post today was very ironic. It is what it is. You don't need to argue with me about it and keep this going. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 Nice day! Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 Another 50+ day at PDX. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 Based on my messages over the weekend... nobody wanted to hear from you on the topic. Own it!The only time people want to hear from you is when they want a snow/wind map posted. Own it! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 Another 50+ day at PDX.Dew x 2. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 Gotta put hope in the wetter Euro I suppose. Pretty hard to fathom a dry winter after the insane warm season we just had. We’ll be facing a Central California style tree die off with another year of this. Yeah, drought jokes aside, it is concerning that it's now the heart of our rainy season and we still can't get a consolidated system to save our lives. We're working on Year 2 of this kind of pattern and for our area this water year is running significantly drier than last year's, up to this point. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 Dew x 2.At least we’re getting a chance to dry out too. Dew x infinity. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 The only time people want to hear from you is when they want a snow/wind map posted. Own it! Not what I heard overwhelmingly from other people over the weekend. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 Not what I heard overwhelmingly from other people over the weekend. Give yourself a pat on the back. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 At least we’re getting a chance to dry out too. Dew x infinity.Weather is MADDENING!!! All this clamoring for -EPO ecstasy yet it would only hasten or imminent demise. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 Yeah, drought jokes aside, it is concerning that it's now the heart of our rainy season and we still can't get a consolidated system to save our lives. We're working on Year 2 of this kind of pattern and for our area this water year is running significantly drier than last year's, up to this point. Additionally, 1985, 1944, and 1952 are the three driest years on record at PDX at 22.48", 23.37", and 25.70" respectively. PDX is now at 23.43" this year and if current GFS trends are to be believed, there's an outside shot that they could bump 1952 out of 3rd place. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 All this clamoring for -EPO ecstasy yet it would only hasten or imminent demise.I’m actually all for an active jet and mountain snow continuing for as long as we can scrape it together. Unfortunately neither that or any sort of meaningful cold blocking event seems to be in the cards at the moment. #fugh Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 Got about 4 inches yesterday. And more coming tonight looks like. Had fun plowing the road. Then after that had to replace water pump and timing belt on my geo tracker. Did it in 2 hrs not bad for the conditions lol. 3 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 Got about 4 inches yesterday. And more coming tonight looks like. Had fun plowing the road. Then after that had to replace water pump and timing belt on my geo tracker. Did it in 2 hrs not bad for the conditions lol.Very nice pics. If we can manage sub 1500 foot snow levels in the near future I want to take a trip up the hills behind the house to find me some snow 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 Additionally, 1985, 1944, and 1952 are the three driest years on record at PDX at 22.48", 23.37", and 25.70" respectively. PDX is now at 23.43" this year and if current GFS trends are to be believed, there's an outside shot that they could bump 1952 out of 3rd place.We still need 3.28 inches of rain to not place in the top 5. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 Got some beautiful bucks on one of my game cams. 6 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 Very nice pics. If we can manage sub 1500 foot snow levels in the near future I want to take a trip up the hills behind the house to find me some snowYeah man for sure. I dont think there has been much snow anywhere below 2k yet? Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 I’m actually all for an active jet and mountain snow continuing for as long as we can scrape it together. Unfortunately neither that or any sort of meaningful cold blocking event seems to be in the cards at the moment. #fughIt's a bummer... Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 It's a bummer...At least today was nice. Raindrops weren’t falling on my head, so you better bet your sweet a** my eyes won’t be turning red at any point in the near future! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 At least today was nice. Raindrops weren’t falling on my head, so you better bet your sweet a** my eyes won’t be turning read at any point in the near future! Breathe Jesse. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 It's a bummer... The mountain snow situation is a big time bummer. It looked so promising. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 At least today was nice. Raindrops weren’t falling on my head, so you better bet your sweet a** my eyes won’t be turning read at any point in the near future!The east wind wasn’t blowing on my face, so my eyes and sinuses won’t be drying out at any point in the near future! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 Subsurface shows it should continue to recover pretty quickly. And it's still in Nino territory, with the rest of the basin there as well. You're not seriously still doubting that we're going to have an official Nino, right? Seems like a given. ONI for the next trimonthly should be around +1.0.Yeah, I actually am still doubting it. And not for the reasons above. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 Yeah man for sure. I dont think there has been much snow anywhere below 2k yet?Not at all. Hills by my place peak at 2400 I believe, and they are bare Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 Yeah, I actually am still doubting it. And not for the reasons above. So staying warm neutral? Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 Breathe Jesse. You're trying too hard 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 Got about 4 inches yesterday. And more coming tonight looks like. Had fun plowing the road. Then after that had to replace water pump and timing belt on my geo tracker. Did it in 2 hrs not bad for the conditions lol.Nice square body you got there! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 Out through day 13 and stuck again. Here is the day 8-13 period: Weird looking pattern. I wonder how much of that is a product of ensemble spread? Then again, weird looking patterns are commonplace during SSW events, and models often fail to capture them correctly outside 5 days. I have no faith whatsoever in the clown range modeling right now. None. 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 You realize a SSW doesn't guarantee we get cold right?But it certainly improves the odds of it. Especially in a +ENSO winter, when the reduction in static stability helps keep the MJO active at the expense of the background state. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 You're trying too hard It was exasperated and very sarcastic post... just responding in kind. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 The mountain snow situation is a big time bummer. It looked so promising.I like skiing and drinking water and trees, oh my! 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 So staying warm neutral?I think it will be either warm neutral or a very weak niño, but you’re sort of splitting hairs at that point. In the grand scheme of things, this can only be described as an anemic warm ENSO event. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 I think it will be either warm neutral or a very weak niño, but you’re sort of splitting hairs at that point. In the grand scheme of things, this can only be described as an anemic warm ENSO event. Got it. And I suspect that keeps a stronger Nino next year in play as well? Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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