Phil Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 OMG! The ECMWF ensemble is even better than the 0z...particularly for keeping the cold going forever. Another major cold wave shown in the 10 to 15 day period.Maybe you won’t have to move after all. I’d be interested in someone with more knowledge/data looking into +ENSO winters that delivered in the PNW and what that may have statistically entailed in subsequent winters. The post-1950 correlations are clear but I’m curious about some of the early years, especially those in the 1860-1945 period. The relative homogeneity between the late 19th century tendencies and the 2018/19 one is quite striking. Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Getting snow flurries again. Still not sticking, but nice to see. Temperature should drop. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Getting snow flurries again. Still not sticking, but nice to see. Temperature should drop. Good sign for me. "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Will be a nice night for star watching. Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 They're probly focusing too much on EUG and areas down here that haven't been impacted and likely won't. My friends from Eugene sent me a few pics of the dusting they got. At least some parts around there did alright. Better than us anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 What do you think the odds are we get a major heavy snow event for the entire area? Talking 6-18 inches like what has been popping up on some of the runs. I think a cold ending low coming up from the SW at the end of all this would be the most likely time for that. Until then I think relatively localized events will play out well for different areas. Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 I do know one thing this area over here is wayyyy over due for a big snow event all at once like the old days. Big heavy ovee running events used to be far more common. We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 My friends from Eugene sent me a few pics of the dusting they got. At least some parts around there did alright. Better than us anyway. Missed out on that over here...rats. Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 lol in order for that to be true I would assume we are off to a poor start here as compared to all 3 of those years Depends where you are viewing it from. 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 lol in order for that to be true I would assume we are off to a poor start here as compared to all 3 of those years This pattern only really started the night before last. I'm sure you will score at some point if its anywhere near as long lasting as advertised. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Just a delight from our front window.That’s a nice post card! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 2008 started out kinda weak on the first snow event also. We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 I think (hope) it sinks a little south and west later. Still can’t complain too much. Being on the edge of it has been nice. Some huge snowflakes at times, and enough to turn the roof and most of the grass white.I hope someone here has an internet link to radar returns so we can keep an eye on it. My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Arlington down to 18F as of 5:25. It'll be really interesting to see how cold they get. I think realistically they could get within a couple degrees of 0. Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Seems like the band over Clark County is moving further northeast if anything. But a new band seems to be organizing to the SE of the metro area, over Clackamas county. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Seems like the band over Clark County is moving further northeast if anything. But a new band seems to be organizing to the SE of the metro area, over Clackamas county. That's better.... "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Depends where you are viewing it from. Sadly the records here only go back to 1939 so there is no way to know. Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Please, not 1936. Worst summer in history.A little hot for your tastes? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Sadly the records here only go back to 1939 so there is no way to know. This pattern started two days ago. Give it time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Honestly all I want is a school cancellation, even if it's only for a day. "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Down to 35 Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Thanks for fixing the bolding Fred. ...Spoke too soon Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 up vote this if you like snow You should raise our quota of downvotes so I can dislike people who don't like snow. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Yeah take the limits off just for tonight for fun. We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Radar seems to be filling a bit here. A little snow just to my east. 2 "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Solar lights still working even with all the snow on the sensors. Sun angles! 1 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Remember the old days when the NWS would issue a sws talking about a long period of cold and snow for a couple weeks? That was back then with crap models and they still were right most of the time. With this pattern shown you would think they would say something. They must really have people breathing down there necks telling them to not say a word. Prolonged periods of cold/snow lasting a couple weeks are pretty rare. Dec 2008Dec 1990Nov 1985 And that's about it for the past 40 years (isolated outflow areas excepted). 3-7 days is pretty typical historically. A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Hey at least I got to watch the sunset as the band fell apart and retreated east. Cold clean refreshing air and a pretty sunset, it could be worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Hey at least I got to watch the sunset as the band fell apart and retreated east. Cold clean refreshing air and a pretty sunset, it could be worse. Wait, radar actually doesn't look that bad. As Jesse pointed out another band seems to be forming. "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Prolonged periods of cold/snow lasting a couple weeks are pretty rare. Dec 2008Dec 1990Nov 1985 And that's about it for the past 40 years (isolated outflow areas excepted). 3-7 days is pretty typical historically.Let’s make this 1800’s territory! Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 The Seattle NWS has removed almost all mention of rain from the forecast for the next week now. Just a couple of periods say snow or rain. This upcoming trough / Arctic outbreak could be awesome. 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Let’s make this 1800’s territory!You would have absolutely hated the summers back then!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Arlington down to 18F as of 5:25. It'll be really interesting to see how cold they get. I think realistically they could get within a couple degrees of 0.Still 25F here. I'm a couple miles east of Arlington so the pesky clouds bank up against the foothills and moderate the temperature. If it clears out I wouldn't be surprised to see single digits at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Missed out on that over here...rats. You just can't catch a break Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 The Seattle NWS has removed almost all ention of rain from the forecast for th enext week now. Just a couple of periods say snow or rain. This upcoming trough / Arctic outbreak could be awesome. Again, Portland really thrives with any semblance of east wind. Is this cold really deep and impressive enough to do something like 2/12/1995 (where the cold was enough to give PDX snow)? "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 You just can't catch a break It'll flip one day 1 Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Road trip to Kalama! My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Road trip to Kalama! Now there's a destination! 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Still 25F here. I'm a couple miles east of Arlington so the pesky clouds bank up against the foothills and moderate the temperature. If it clears out I wouldn't be surprised to see single digits at all. With that heavy snow cover and this cold airmass singles should be easy if it clears. Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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